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Measuring the Default Risk of Small Business Loans: A Survival Analysis Approach

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Cited by:

  1. Moro Russ A. & Härdle Wolfgang K. & Schäfer Dorothea, 2017. "Company rating with support vector machines," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 34(1-2), pages 55-67, June.
  2. DeYoung, Robert & Glennon, Dennis & Nigro, Peter, 2008. "Borrower-lender distance, credit scoring, and loan performance: Evidence from informational-opaque small business borrowers," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 113-143, January.
  3. Federico Huneeus & Joseph Kaboski & Mauricio Larrain & Sergio Schmukler & Mario Vera, 2022. "The Distribution of Crisis Credit: Effects on Firm Indebtedness and Aggregate Risk," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 942, Central Bank of Chile.
  4. Andrew T. Young & Matthew J. Higgins & Donald J. Lacombe & Briana Sell, 2014. "The Direct and Indirect Effects of Small Business Administration Lending on Growth: Evidence from U.S. County-Level Data," NBER Working Papers 20543, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Filipe, Sara Ferreira & Grammatikos, Theoharry & Michala, Dimitra, 2016. "Forecasting distress in European SME portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 112-135.
  6. Diego Valderrama & Katheryn N. Russ, 2009. "A Theory of Banks, Bonds, and the Distribution of Firm Size," Working Papers 4, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
  7. Min Bai & Samir Harith, 2023. "Measuring SMEs Risk – Evidence from Malaysia," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(7), pages 1-32, July.
  8. Bátiz-Zuk Enrique & Mohamed Abdulkadir & Sánchez-Cajal Fátima, 2021. "Exploring the sources of loan default clustering using survival analysis with frailty," Working Papers 2021-14, Banco de México.
  9. Guido Max Mantovani & Gregory Gadzinski, 2022. "How to Rate the Financial Performance of Private Companies? A Tailored Integrated Rating Methodology Applied to North-Eastern Italian Districts," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-18, October.
  10. Wolff, Christian & Bams, Dennis & Pisa, Magdalena, 2012. "Modeling default correlation in a US retail loan portfolio," CEPR Discussion Papers 9205, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  11. Matthew J. Higgins & Donald J. Lacombe & Briana S. Stenard & Andrew T. Young, 2021. "Evaluating the effects of Small Business Administration lending on growth," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 23-45, June.
  12. Yehning Chen & Rachel Huang & John Tsai & Larry Tzeng, 2015. "Soft Information and Small Business Lending," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 47(1), pages 115-133, February.
  13. Dendramis, Y. & Tzavalis, E. & Varthalitis, P. & Athanasiou, E., 2020. "Predicting default risk under asymmetric binary link functions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1039-1056.
  14. Neus Herranz & Stefan Krasa & Anne P. Villamil, 2015. "Entrepreneurs, Risk Aversion, and Dynamic Firms," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 123(5), pages 1133-1176.
  15. Ilyes Abid & Farid Mkaouar & Olfa Kaabia, 2018. "Dynamic analysis of the forecasting bankruptcy under presence of unobserved heterogeneity," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 262(2), pages 241-256, March.
  16. Simon Cornée, 2012. "The Relevance of Soft Information for Predicting Small Business Credit Default: Evidence from a Social Bank," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 201226, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS, revised Sep 2015.
  17. Bastien Lextrait, 2021. "Scaling up SME's credit scoring scope with LightGBM," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-25, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  18. Dimitra Michala & Theoharry Grammatikos & Sara Ferreira Filipe, 2013. "Forecasting distress in European SME portfolios," DEM Discussion Paper Series 13-2, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
  19. Mariusz Górajski & Dobromił Serwa & Zuzanna Wośko, 2019. "Measuring expected time to default under stress conditions for corporate loans," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 31-52, July.
  20. Kilian R. Dinkelaker & Andreas-Walter Mattig & Stefan Morkoetter, 2019. "A Closer Look at Credt Rating Processes: Uncovering the Impact of Analyst Rotation," Working Papers on Finance 1911, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  21. Rebeca Peláez & Ricardo Cao & Juan M. Vilar, 2022. "Bootstrap Bandwidth Selection and Confidence Regions for Double Smoothed Default Probability Estimation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-25, May.
  22. Field, Erica & Holland, Abraham & Pande, Rohini, 2016. "Microcredit: Points of Promise," Working Paper Series 16-036, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
  23. Ewa Wycinka, 2015. "Modelling Time to Default Or Early Repayment as Competing Risks (Modelowanie czasu do zaprzestania splat rat kredytu lub wczesniejszej splaty kredytu jako zdarzen konkurujacych )," Problemy Zarzadzania, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 13(55), pages 146-157.
  24. Dennis Glennon & Peter Nigro, 2005. "An Analysis of SBA Loan Defaults by Maturity Structure," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 28(1), pages 77-111, October.
  25. Russ, Katheryn N. & Valderrama, Diego, 2012. "A theory of bank versus bond finance and intra-industry reallocation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 652-673.
  26. Erica Field & Rohini Pande & John Papp & Natalia Rigol, 2013. "Does the Classic Microfinance Model Discourage Entrepreneurship among the Poor? Experimental Evidence from India," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(6), pages 2196-2226, October.
  27. Moro, Russ & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Aliakbari, Saeideh & Hoffmann, Linda, 2011. "Forecasting corporate distress in the Asian and Pacific region," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-023, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  28. Neus Herranz & Stefan Krasa & Anne Villamil, 2009. "Small firms in the SSBF," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 341-359, June.
  29. Dimitra Michala & Theoharry Grammatikos & Sara Ferreira Filipe, 2013. "Forecasting distress in European SME portfolios," LSF Research Working Paper Series 13-2, Luxembourg School of Finance, University of Luxembourg.
  30. Rebeca Peláez Suárez & Ricardo Cao Abad & Juan M. Vilar Fernández, 2021. "Probability of default estimation in credit risk using a nonparametric approach," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 30(2), pages 383-405, June.
  31. Nitani, Miwako & Legendre, Nicolas, 2021. "Cooperative lenders and the performance of small business loans," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  32. Mohammad S. Uddin & Guotai Chi & Mazin A. M. Al Janabi & Tabassum Habib, 2022. "Leveraging random forest in micro‐enterprises credit risk modelling for accuracy and interpretability," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3713-3729, July.
  33. Bruneau, C. & de Bandt, O. & El Amri, W., 2012. "Macroeconomic fluctuations and corporate financial fragility," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 219-235.
  34. Diego Valderrama & Katheryn N. Russ, "undated". "A Theory of Banks, Bonds, and the Distribution of Firm Size," Working Papers 915, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
  35. Jaekyung Lee & Hyunwoo Kim & Hyungkyoo Kim, 2021. "Commercial Vacancy Prediction Using LSTM Neural Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-17, May.
  36. Peláez, Rebeca & Van Keilegom, Ingrid & Cao, Ricardo & Vilar, Juan M., 2024. "Probability of default estimation in credit risk using mixture cure models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  37. Bruce L. Dixon & Bruce L. Ahrendsen & Brandon R. McFadden & Diana M. Danforth & Monica Foianini & Sandra J. Hamm, 2011. "Competing risks models of Farm Service Agency seven‐year direct operating loans," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 71(1), pages 5-24, May.
  38. Dranev Yury & Maxim Babushkin, 2014. "Asymmetric exchange-rate exposure in BRIC countries," HSE Working papers WP BRP 27/FE/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  39. Dendramis, Y. & Tzavalis, E. & Adraktas, G., 2018. "Credit risk modelling under recessionary and financially distressed conditions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 160-175.
  40. Raymond Posey & Alan K. Reichert, 2011. "Terms Of Lending For Small Business Lines Of Credit: The Role Of Loan Guarantees," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 5(1), pages 91-102.
  41. Kgoroeadira, Reabetswe & Burke, Andrew & Di Pietro, Francesca & van Stel, André, 2023. "Determinants of firms’ default on unsecured loans in the P2P crowdfunding market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  42. Ellis Kofi, Akwaa-Sekyi & Portia, Bosompra, 2015. "Determinants of business loan default in Ghana," MPRA Paper 71961, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  43. Sarah Sanya & Mr. Montfort Mlachila, 2010. "Post-Crisis Bank Behavior: Lessons From Mercosur," IMF Working Papers 2010/001, International Monetary Fund.
  44. Nguyen, Harvey & Pham, Anh Viet & Pham, Man Duy (Marty) & Pham, Mia Hang, 2023. "Business resilience: Lessons from government responses to the global COVID-19 crisis," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(5).
  45. Neus Herranz & Stefan Krasa & Anne P. Villamil, 2017. "Entrepreneurs, legal institutions and firm dynamics," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 63(1), pages 263-285, January.
  46. Enrique Batiz‐Zuk & Fabrizio López‐Gallo & Abdulkadir Mohamed & Fátima Sánchez‐Cajal, 2022. "Determinants of loan survival rates for small and medium‐sized enterprises: Evidence from an emerging economy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4741-4755, October.
  47. Wolff, Christian & Bams, Dennis & Pisa, Magdalena, 2015. "Credit risk characteristics of US small business portfolios," CEPR Discussion Papers 10889, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  48. Caselli, Stefano & Corbetta, Guido & Cucinelli, Doriana & Rossolini, Monica, 2021. "A survival analysis of public guaranteed loans: Does financial intermediary matter?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  49. Bátiz-Zuk Enrique & González-Holden Alexa, 2023. "Identifying Gender Disparities on the Time to Repay Microfinance Group Loans: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2023-07, Banco de México.
  50. Debadutta Panda & Sriharsha Reddy, 2020. "Predictors of microcredit default in Indian self‐help groups," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 91(2), pages 303-318, June.
  51. Yuetong Zhao & Deqin Lin, 2023. "Prediction of Micro- and Small-Sized Enterprise Default Risk Based on a Logistic Model: Evidence from a Bank of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-13, February.
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