IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecolet/v243y2024ics0165176524004257.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Defaults on government guaranteed loans by potential high growth firms: Evidence from the COVID-19 period

Author

Listed:
  • Kacer, Marek
  • Wilson, Nicholas
  • Zouari, Sana

Abstract

Equity finance is used to fund innovative and growth-oriented businesses because of its resilience during economic downturns and investors' willingness to undertake higher risks compared to other financing. During the pandemic, 6500 equity-funded firms obtained government-guaranteed loans from traditional banks and new lenders. Our analysis of the determinants of loan default revealed that new lenders experienced a significantly higher default rate than the main banking sector. Additionally, firms funded by equity crowdfunding have a higher loan default rate than those backed by other equity providers. We explore the factors influencing defaults and variations by lender and investor type.

Suggested Citation

  • Kacer, Marek & Wilson, Nicholas & Zouari, Sana, 2024. "Defaults on government guaranteed loans by potential high growth firms: Evidence from the COVID-19 period," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:243:y:2024:i:c:s0165176524004257
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111941
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176524004257
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111941?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Glennon, Dennis & Nigro, Peter, 2005. "Measuring the Default Risk of Small Business Loans: A Survival Analysis Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(5), pages 923-947, October.
    2. Goedecke, Jann, 2018. "Contagious loan default," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 14-18.
    3. Fenech, Jean Pierre & Yap, Ying Kai & Shafik, Salwa, 2016. "Modelling the recovery outcomes for defaulted loans: A survival analysis approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 79-82.
    4. C. Mirjam van Praag, 2003. "Business Survival and Success of Young Small Business Owners," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-050/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    5. Caselli, Stefano & Corbetta, Guido & Cucinelli, Doriana & Rossolini, Monica, 2021. "A survival analysis of public guaranteed loans: Does financial intermediary matter?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Audretsch, David B & Mahmood, Talat, 1995. "New Firm Survival: New Results Using a Hazard Function," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 77(1), pages 97-103, February.
    7. Wilson, Nick & Wright, Mike & Kacer, Marek, 2018. "The equity gap and knowledge-based firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 626-649.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Enrique Batiz‐Zuk & Fabrizio López‐Gallo & Abdulkadir Mohamed & Fátima Sánchez‐Cajal, 2022. "Determinants of loan survival rates for small and medium‐sized enterprises: Evidence from an emerging economy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4741-4755, October.
    2. Marchetta, Francesca, 2012. "Return Migration and the Survival of Entrepreneurial Activities in Egypt," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(10), pages 1999-2013.
    3. Marco Caliendo & Steffen K�nn, 2014. "Regional Effect Heterogeneity of Start-up Subsidies for the Unemployed," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 1108-1134, June.
    4. Henryk Gurgul & Roland Mestel & Robert Syrek, 2013. "The testing of causal stock returns-trading volume dependencies with the aid of copulas," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 13, pages 21-44.
    5. Pawel Zajac, 2013. "The New Approach to estimation of the Hazard Function in Business Demography on example of Data from New Zealand," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 13, pages 99-110.
    6. Kathryn Stafford & Vibha Bhargava & Sharon Danes & George Haynes & Katherine Brewton, 2010. "Factors Associated with Long-Term Survival of Family Businesses: Duration Analysis," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 442-457, December.
    7. Metzger, Georg, 2007. "Personal Experience: A Most Vicious and Limited Circle!? On the Role of Entrepreneurial Experience for Firm Survival," ZEW Discussion Papers 07-046 [rev.], ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. Bátiz-Zuk Enrique & González-Holden Alexa, 2023. "Identifying Gender Disparities on the Time to Repay Microfinance Group Loans: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2023-07, Banco de México.
    9. Tasssew Woldehanna & Wolday Amha & Manex B. Yonis, 2018. "Correlates of business survival: empirical evidence on youth-owned micro and small enterprises in Urban Ethiopia," IZA Journal of Migration and Development, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 8(1), pages 1-26, December.
    10. Carmen Cotei & Joseph Farhat, 2018. "The M&A exit outcomes of new, young firms," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 545-567, March.
    11. Masatoshi Kato & Yuji Honjo, 2015. "Entrepreneurial human capital and the survival of new firms in high- and low-tech sectors," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 925-957, November.
    12. Christophe Schalck & Meryem Yankol-Schalck, 2021. "Predicting French SME failures: new evidence from machine learning techniques," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(51), pages 5948-5963, November.
    13. Zając, Paweł, 2013. "The New Approach to Estimation of the Hazard Function in Business Demography on Example of Data from New Zealand," MPRA Paper 68600, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2013.
    14. Alexandra Tsvetkova & Jean-Claude Thill & Deborah Strumsky, 2014. "Metropolitan innovation, firm size, and business survival in a high-tech industry," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 661-676, October.
    15. Henryk Gurgul & Marcin Suder, 2013. "Modeling of withdrawals from selected ATMs of the "Euronet" network," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 13, pages 65-82.
    16. Henryk Gurgul & Machno Artur & Roland Mestel, 2013. "Modeling of returns and trading volume by regime switching copulas," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 13, pages 45-64.
    17. Dennis Glennon & Peter Nigro, 2005. "An Analysis of SBA Loan Defaults by Maturity Structure," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 28(1), pages 77-111, October.
    18. Kwangchul Ji & Hong-Youl Ha, 2021. "Empirical Evidence of Risks of Public-Loan Finance: Comparison between Self-Employers and SMEs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-21, June.
    19. Guimarães Barbosa, Evaldo, 2016. "Determinants of Small Business Survival: The Case of Very Small Enterprises of the Traditional Manufacturing Sectors in Brazil," MPRA Paper 72304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Kaiser, Ulrich & Kuhn, Johan M., 2020. "The value of publicly available, textual and non-textual information for startup performance prediction," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 14(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Guaranteed loan; Equity-funded companies; Loan default; Lender type; Investor type; COVID-19 crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • L26 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Entrepreneurship

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:243:y:2024:i:c:s0165176524004257. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.