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A Bayesian Method for Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting of Photovoltaic Generation in Smart Grid Operation and Control

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Cited by:

  1. Athanasios I. Salamanis & Georgia Xanthopoulou & Napoleon Bezas & Christos Timplalexis & Angelina D. Bintoudi & Lampros Zyglakis & Apostolos C. Tsolakis & Dimosthenis Ioannidis & Dionysios Kehagias & , 2020. "Benchmark Comparison of Analytical, Data-Based and Hybrid Models for Multi-Step Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-31, November.
  2. José Miguel Paredes-Parra & Antonio Mateo-Aroca & Guillermo Silvente-Niñirola & María C. Bueso & Ángel Molina-García, 2018. "PV Module Monitoring System Based on Low-Cost Solutions: Wireless Raspberry Application and Assessment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-20, November.
  3. Pedro, Hugo T.C. & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2015. "Nearest-neighbor methodology for prediction of intra-hour global horizontal and direct normal irradiances," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 770-782.
  4. Parhum Delgoshaei & James D. Freihaut, 2019. "Development of a Control Platform for a Building-Scale Hybrid Solar PV-Natural Gas Microgrid," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-30, November.
  5. Happy Aprillia & Hong-Tzer Yang & Chao-Ming Huang, 2020. "Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Using a Convolutional Neural Network–Salp Swarm Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-20, April.
  6. Cheema, Armaghan & Shaaban, M.F. & Ismail, Mahmoud H., 2021. "A novel stochastic dynamic modeling for photovoltaic systems considering dust and cleaning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
  7. Barukčić, M. & Hederić, Ž. & Hadžiselimović, M. & Seme, S., 2018. "A simple stochastic method for modelling the uncertainty of photovoltaic power production based on measured data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 246-256.
  8. Chu, Yinghao & Wang, Yiling & Yang, Dazhi & Chen, Shanlin & Li, Mengying, 2024. "A review of distributed solar forecasting with remote sensing and deep learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
  9. Somi Jung & Dongwoo Kim, 2017. "Pareto-Efficient Capacity Planning for Residential Photovoltaic Generation and Energy Storage with Demand-Side Load Management," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-20, March.
  10. Tobias Rösch & Peter Treffinger, 2019. "Cluster Analysis of Distribution Grids in Baden-Württemberg," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-25, October.
  11. Yoldaş, Yeliz & Önen, Ahmet & Muyeen, S.M. & Vasilakos, Athanasios V. & Alan, İrfan, 2017. "Enhancing smart grid with microgrids: Challenges and opportunities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 205-214.
  12. Antonio Bracale & Pasquale De Falco, 2015. "An Advanced Bayesian Method for Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting of the Generation of Wind Power," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-22, September.
  13. Zhenyu Wang & Cuixia Tian & Qibing Zhu & Min Huang, 2018. "Hourly Solar Radiation Forecasting Using a Volterra-Least Squares Support Vector Machine Model Combined with Signal Decomposition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, January.
  14. Kelachukwu J. Iheanetu, 2022. "Solar Photovoltaic Power Forecasting: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-31, December.
  15. Pan, Pengcheng & Sun, Yuwei & Yuan, Chengqing & Yan, Xinping & Tang, Xujing, 2021. "Research progress on ship power systems integrated with new energy sources: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  16. Qiang Ni & Shengxian Zhuang & Hanmin Sheng & Song Wang & Jian Xiao, 2017. "An Optimized Prediction Intervals Approach for Short Term PV Power Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, October.
  17. Chu, Yinghao & Li, Mengying & Pedro, Hugo T.C. & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2015. "Real-time prediction intervals for intra-hour DNI forecasts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 234-244.
  18. Fatemi, Seyyed A. & Kuh, Anthony & Fripp, Matthias, 2018. "Parametric methods for probabilistic forecasting of solar irradiance," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(PA), pages 666-676.
  19. Jabar H. Yousif & Hussein A. Kazem & John Boland, 2017. "Predictive Models for Photovoltaic Electricity Production in Hot Weather Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-19, July.
  20. Chu, Yinghao & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2017. "Short-term probabilistic forecasts for Direct Normal Irradiance," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 526-536.
  21. Seungbeom Nam & Jin Hur, 2018. "Probabilistic Forecasting Model of Solar Power Outputs Based on the Naïve Bayes Classifier and Kriging Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, November.
  22. Alessandrini, S. & Delle Monache, L. & Sperati, S. & Cervone, G., 2015. "An analog ensemble for short-term probabilistic solar power forecast," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 95-110.
  23. Pyeong-Ik Hwang & Seung-Il Moon & Seon-Ju Ahn, 2016. "A Conservation Voltage Reduction Scheme for a Distribution Systems with Intermittent Distributed Generators," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-18, August.
  24. Laura Canale & Anna Rita Di Fazio & Mario Russo & Andrea Frattolillo & Marco Dell’Isola, 2021. "An Overview on Functional Integration of Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems in Multi-Energy Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-33, February.
  25. Kihan Kim & Jin Hur, 2019. "Weighting Factor Selection of the Ensemble Model for Improving Forecast Accuracy of Photovoltaic Generating Resources," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-13, August.
  26. Anh Ngoc-Lan Huynh & Ravinesh C. Deo & Duc-Anh An-Vo & Mumtaz Ali & Nawin Raj & Shahab Abdulla, 2020. "Near Real-Time Global Solar Radiation Forecasting at Multiple Time-Step Horizons Using the Long Short-Term Memory Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-30, July.
  27. Dong-Dong Yuan & Ming Li & Heng-Yi Li & Cheng-Jian Lin & Bing-Xiang Ji, 2022. "Wind Power Prediction Method: Support Vector Regression Optimized by Improved Jellyfish Search Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-19, September.
  28. Luca Massidda & Marino Marrocu, 2018. "Quantile Regression Post-Processing of Weather Forecast for Short-Term Solar Power Probabilistic Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, July.
  29. Wolfram Rozas & Rafael Pastor-Vargas & Angel Miguel García-Vico & José Carpio, 2023. "Consumption–Production Profile Categorization in Energy Communities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-27, October.
  30. Mitrentsis, Georgios & Lens, Hendrik, 2022. "An interpretable probabilistic model for short-term solar power forecasting using natural gradient boosting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
  31. Ferruzzi, Gabriella & Cervone, Guido & Delle Monache, Luca & Graditi, Giorgio & Jacobone, Francesca, 2016. "Optimal bidding in a Day-Ahead energy market for Micro Grid under uncertainty in renewable energy production," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 194-202.
  32. Ahmad, Muhammad Waseem & Mourshed, Monjur & Rezgui, Yacine, 2018. "Tree-based ensemble methods for predicting PV power generation and their comparison with support vector regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 465-474.
  33. Nam, SeungBeom & Hur, Jin, 2019. "A hybrid spatio-temporal forecasting of solar generating resources for grid integration," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 503-510.
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