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Forecasting short-term renewable energy consumption of China using a novel fractional nonlinear grey Bernoulli model

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Cited by:

  1. Wang, Yong & Yang, Zhongsen & Wang, Li & Ma, Xin & Wu, Wenqing & Ye, Lingling & Zhou, Ying & Luo, Yongxian, 2022. "Forecasting China's energy production and consumption based on a novel structural adaptive Caputo fractional grey prediction model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
  2. Libo Zhang & Qian Du & Dequn Zhou, 2021. "Grid Parity Analysis of China’s Centralized Photovoltaic Generation under Multiple Uncertainties," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
  3. He, Xinbo & Wang, Yong & Zhang, Yuyang & Ma, Xin & Wu, Wenqing & Zhang, Lei, 2022. "A novel structure adaptive new information priority discrete grey prediction model and its application in renewable energy generation forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
  4. Gao, Mingyun & Yang, Honglin & Xiao, Qinzi & Goh, Mark, 2022. "A novel method for carbon emission forecasting based on Gompertz's law and fractional grey model: Evidence from American industrial sector," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 803-819.
  5. Tang, Liwei & Lu, Yayun, 2020. "Study of the grey Verhulst model based on the weighted least square method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
  6. Hang Jiang & Peng Jiang & Peiyi Kong & Yi-Chung Hu & Cheng-Wen Lee, 2020. "A Predictive Analysis of China’s CO 2 Emissions and OFDI with a Nonlinear Fractional-Order Grey Multivariable Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-14, May.
  7. Wang, Zheng-Xin & Jv, Yue-Qi, 2021. "A non-linear systematic grey model for forecasting the industrial economy-energy-environment system," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  8. Wu, Wen-Ze & Zeng, Liang & Liu, Chong & Xie, Wanli & Goh, Mark, 2022. "A time power-based grey model with conformable fractional derivative and its applications," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
  9. Liu, Chong & Wu, Wen-Ze & Xie, Wanli & Zhang, Jun, 2020. "Application of a novel fractional grey prediction model with time power term to predict the electricity consumption of India and China," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  10. Wen-Ze Wu & Chong Liu & Wanli Xie & Mark Goh & Tao Zhang, 2023. "Predictive analysis of the industrial water-waste-energy system using an optimised grey approach: A case study in China," Energy & Environment, , vol. 34(5), pages 1639-1656, August.
  11. Xiong, Xin & Hu, Xi & Tian, Tian & Guo, Huan & Liao, Han, 2022. "A novel Optimized initial condition and Seasonal division based Grey Seasonal Variation Index model for hydropower generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
  12. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  13. Wang, Zheng-Xin & Wang, Zhi-Wei & Li, Qin, 2020. "Forecasting the industrial solar energy consumption using a novel seasonal GM(1,1) model with dynamic seasonal adjustment factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
  14. Ding, Song & Tao, Zui & Zhang, Huahan & Li, Yao, 2022. "Forecasting nuclear energy consumption in China and America: An optimized structure-adaptative grey model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
  15. Ding, Song & Cai, Zhijian & Qin, Xinghuan & Shen, Xingao, 2024. "Comparative assessment and policy analysis of forecasting quarterly renewable energy demand: Fresh evidence from an innovative seasonal approach with superior matching algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 367(C).
  16. Wang, Yong & He, Xinbo & Zhou, Ying & Luo, Yongxian & Tang, Yanbing & Narayanan, Govindasami, 2024. "A novel structure adaptive grey seasonal model with data reorganization and its application in solar photovoltaic power generation prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
  17. Peng Zhang & Xin Ma & Kun She, 2019. "Forecasting Japan’s Solar Energy Consumption Using a Novel Incomplete Gamma Grey Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-23, October.
  18. Peng Zhang & Xin Ma & Kun She, 2019. "A Novel Power-Driven Grey Model with Whale Optimization Algorithm and Its Application in Forecasting the Residential Energy Consumption in China," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-22, November.
  19. Yijue Sun & Fenglin Zhang, 2022. "Grey Multivariable Prediction Model of Energy Consumption with Different Fractional Orders," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-17, December.
  20. Zhou, Weijie & Wu, Xiaoli & Ding, Song & Pan, Jiao, 2020. "Application of a novel discrete grey model for forecasting natural gas consumption: A case study of Jiangsu Province in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
  21. Tong, Mingyu & Dong, Jingrong & Luo, Xilin & Yin, Dejun & Duan, Huiming, 2022. "Coal consumption forecasting using an optimized grey model: The case of the world's top three coal consumers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
  22. Shen, Jian-jian & Cheng, Chun-tian & Jia, Ze-bin & Zhang, Yang & Lv, Quan & Cai, Hua-xiang & Wang, Bang-can & Xie, Meng-fei, 2022. "Impacts, challenges and suggestions of the electricity market for hydro-dominated power systems in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 743-759.
  23. Meixia Wang, 2024. "Predicting China’s Energy Consumption and CO 2 Emissions by Employing a Novel Grey Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-25, October.
  24. Huiping Wang & Yi Wang, 2022. "Estimating per Capita Primary Energy Consumption Using a Novel Fractional Gray Bernoulli Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-22, February.
  25. Ding, Song & Li, Ruojin & Wu, Shu & Zhou, Weijie, 2021. "Application of a novel structure-adaptative grey model with adjustable time power item for nuclear energy consumption forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
  26. Yi-Chung Hu, 2022. "Demand forecasting of green metal materials using non-equidistant grey prediction with robust nonlinear interval regression analysis," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 9809-9831, August.
  27. Hu, Huanling & Wang, Lin & Peng, Lu & Zeng, Yu-Rong, 2020. "Effective energy consumption forecasting using enhanced bagged echo state network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  28. Lao, Tongfei & Sun, Yanrui, 2022. "Predicting the production and consumption of natural gas in China by using a new grey forecasting method," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 295-315.
  29. Huiping Wang & Zhun Zhang, 2022. "Forecasting CO 2 Emissions Using A Novel Grey Bernoulli Model: A Case of Shaanxi Province in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-22, April.
  30. Yi-Chung Hu & Peng Jiang & Jung-Fa Tsai & Ching-Ying Yu, 2021. "An Optimized Fractional Grey Prediction Model for Carbon Dioxide Emissions Forecasting," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-12, January.
  31. Şahin, Utkucan & Ballı, Serkan & Chen, Yan, 2021. "Forecasting seasonal electricity generation in European countries under Covid-19-induced lockdown using fractional grey prediction models and machine learning methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
  32. Xiong, Xin & Zhu, Zhenghao & Tian, Junhao & Guo, Huan & Hu, Xi, 2024. "A novel Seasonal Fractional Incomplete Gamma Grey Bernoulli Model and its application in forecasting hydroelectric generation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  33. Jiandong Chen & Chong Xu & Yinyin Wu & Zihao Li & Malin Song, 2022. "Drivers and trajectories of China’s renewable energy consumption," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 441-459, June.
  34. Wang, Yong & Sun, Lang & Yang, Rui & He, Wenao & Tang, Yanbing & Zhang, Zejia & Wang, Yunhui & Sapnken, Flavian Emmanuel, 2023. "A novel structure adaptive fractional derivative grey model and its application in energy consumption prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
  35. Yang, Hufang & Jiang, Ping & Wang, Ying & Li, Hongmin, 2022. "A fuzzy intelligent forecasting system based on combined fuzzification strategy and improved optimization algorithm for renewable energy power generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
  36. Liu, Yitong & Xue, Dingyu & Yang, Yang, 2021. "Two types of conformable fractional grey interval models and their applications in regional electricity consumption prediction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P2).
  37. Wang, Yong & Chi, Pei & Nie, Rui & Ma, Xin & Wu, Wenqing & Guo, Binghong, 2022. "Self-adaptive discrete grey model based on a novel fractional order reverse accumulation sequence and its application in forecasting clean energy power generation in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
  38. Qian, Wuyong & Wang, Jue, 2020. "An improved seasonal GM(1,1) model based on the HP filter for forecasting wind power generation in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  39. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2022. "Exploring the spatial distribution of distributed energy in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  40. Xia, Lin & Ren, Youyang & Wang, Yuhong & Pan, Yangyang & Fu, Yiyang, 2024. "Forecasting China's renewable energy consumption using a novel dynamic fractional-order discrete grey multi-power model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
  41. Kang, Yuxiao & Mao, Shuhua & Zhang, Yonghong, 2022. "Fractional time-varying grey traffic flow model based on viscoelastic fluid and its application," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 149-174.
  42. Muhammad Ikram, 2021. "Models for Predicting Non-Renewable Energy Competing with Renewable Source for Sustainable Energy Development: Case of Asia and Oceania Region," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 22(2), pages 133-160, December.
  43. Xie, Wanli & Wu, Wen-Ze & Liu, Chong & Zhao, Jingjie, 2020. "Forecasting annual electricity consumption in China by employing a conformable fractional grey model in opposite direction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  44. Zhenguo Xu & Wanli Xie & Caixia Liu, 2023. "An Optimized Fractional Nonlinear Grey System Model and Its Application in the Prediction of the Development Scale of Junior Secondary Schools in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-12, February.
  45. Xiong, Pingping & Li, Kailing & Shu, Hui & Wang, Junjie, 2021. "Forecast of natural gas consumption in the Asia-Pacific region using a fractional-order incomplete gamma grey model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
  46. Yongwei, Cheng & Dong, Mu & Huanyu, Ren & Tijun, Fan & Jianbang, Du, 2020. "Using a temporal input-output approach to analyze the ripple effect of China’s energy consumption," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  47. Zeng, Bo & Yin, Fengfeng & Yang, Yingjie & Wu, You & Mao, Cuiwei, 2023. "Application of the novel-structured multivariable grey model with various orders to forecast the bending strength of concrete," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  48. Wenqing Wu & Xin Ma & Bo Zeng & Yuanyuan Zhang & Wanpeng Li, 2021. "Forecasting short-term solar energy generation in Asia Pacific using a nonlinear grey Bernoulli model with time power term," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(5), pages 759-783, August.
  49. Jiang, Ping & Yang, Hufang & Li, Hongmin & Wang, Ying, 2021. "A developed hybrid forecasting system for energy consumption structure forecasting based on fuzzy time series and information granularity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
  50. Li, Zekai & Hu, Xi & Guo, Huan & Xiong, Xin, 2023. "A novel Weighted Average Weakening Buffer Operator based Fractional order accumulation Seasonal Grouping Grey Model for predicting the hydropower generation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
  51. Wang, Yong & Yang, Zhongsen & Ye, Lingling & Wang, Li & Zhou, Ying & Luo, Yongxian, 2023. "A novel self-adaptive fractional grey Euler model with dynamic accumulation order and its application in energy production prediction of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
  52. He, Jing & Mao, Shuhua & Kang, Yuxiao, 2023. "Augmented fractional accumulation grey model and its application: Class ratio and restore error perspectives," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 220-247.
  53. Yin, Chen & Mao, Shuhua, 2023. "Fractional multivariate grey Bernoulli model combined with improved grey wolf algorithm: Application in short-term power load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
  54. Hu, Yi-Chung, 2023. "Air passenger flow forecasting using nonadditive forecast combination with grey prediction," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  55. Yang, Zhongsen & Wang, Yong & Zhou, Ying & Wang, Li & Ye, Lingling & Luo, Yongxian, 2023. "Forecasting China's electricity generation using a novel structural adaptive discrete grey Bernoulli model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
  56. Xie, Wanli & Liu, Caixia & Wu, Wen-Ze & Li, Weidong & Liu, Chong, 2020. "Continuous grey model with conformable fractional derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  57. Luo, Xilin & Duan, Huiming & He, Leiyuhang, 2020. "A Novel Riccati Equation Grey Model And Its Application In Forecasting Clean Energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
  58. Ma, Xin & Mei, Xie & Wu, Wenqing & Wu, Xinxing & Zeng, Bo, 2019. "A novel fractional time delayed grey model with Grey Wolf Optimizer and its applications in forecasting the natural gas and coal consumption in Chongqing China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 487-507.
  59. Ofosu-Adarkwa, Jeffrey & Xie, Naiming & Javed, Saad Ahmed, 2020. "Forecasting CO2 emissions of China's cement industry using a hybrid Verhulst-GM(1,N) model and emissions' technical conversion," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
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