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Dynamical generalized Hurst exponent as a tool to monitor unstable periods in financial time series

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Cited by:

  1. Ladislav Kristoufek & Miloslav Vosvrda, 2014. "Measuring capital market efficiency: long-term memory, fractal dimension and approximate entropy," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 87(7), pages 1-9, July.
  2. Buonocore, R.J. & Aste, T. & Di Matteo, T., 2016. "Measuring multiscaling in financial time-series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 38-47.
  3. Garcin, Matthieu, 2017. "Estimation of time-dependent Hurst exponents with variational smoothing and application to forecasting foreign exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 483(C), pages 462-479.
  4. Barunik, Jozef & Aste, Tomaso & Di Matteo, T. & Liu, Ruipeng, 2012. "Understanding the source of multifractality in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(17), pages 4234-4251.
  5. Sensoy, Ahmet & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2016. "Dynamic efficiency of stock markets and exchange rates," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 353-371.
  6. Mehrabbeik, Mahtab & Shams-Ahmar, Mohammad & Levine, Alexandra T. & Jafari, Sajad & Merrikhi, Yaser, 2022. "Distinctive nonlinear dimensionality of neural spiking activity in extrastriate cortex during spatial working memory; a Higuchi fractal analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  7. P. Peirano & D. Challet, 2012. "Baldovin-Stella stochastic volatility process and Wiener process mixtures," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 85(8), pages 1-12, August.
  8. Matthieu Garcin, 2019. "Fractal analysis of the multifractality of foreign exchange rates [Analyse fractale de la multifractalité des taux de change]," Working Papers hal-02283915, HAL.
  9. Tsionas, Mike G. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Neglected chaos in international stock markets: Bayesian analysis of the joint return–volatility dynamical system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 95-107.
  10. Oussama Tilfani & My Youssef El Boukfaoui, 2020. "Multifractal Analysis of African Stock Markets During the 2007–2008 US Crisis," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(04), pages 1-31, January.
  11. Riccardo Junior Buonocore & Tomaso Aste & Tiziana Di Matteo, 2015. "Measuring multiscaling in financial time-series," Papers 1509.05471, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2015.
  12. Mishelle Doorasamy & Prince Kwasi Sarpong, 2018. "Fractal Market Hypothesis and Markov Regime Switching Model: A Possible Synthesis and Integration," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(1), pages 93-100.
  13. Tsionas, Mike G. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Bayesian analysis of chaos: The joint return-volatility dynamical system," MPRA Paper 80632, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Tzouras, Spilios & Anagnostopoulos, Christoforos & McCoy, Emma, 2015. "Financial time series modeling using the Hurst exponent," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 425(C), pages 50-68.
  15. Corzo Santamaría, Teresa & Martin-Bujack, Karin & Portela, Jose & Sáenz-Diez, Rocio, 2022. "Early market efficiency testing among hydrogen players," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 723-742.
  16. Petr Jizba & Jan Korbel, 2016. "Techniques for multifractal spectrum estimation in financial time series," Papers 1610.07028, arXiv.org.
  17. Alvarez-Ramirez, J. & Rodriguez, E., 2018. "AR(p)-based detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 49-57.
  18. Chiarucci, Riccardo & Loffredo, Maria I. & Ruzzenenti, Franco, 2017. "Evidences for a structural change in the oil market before a financial crisis: The flat horizon effect," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 912-921.
  19. Hasan, Rashid & Mohammad, Salim M., 2015. "Multifractal analysis of Asian markets during 2007–2008 financial crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 746-761.
  20. Pakrashi, Vikram & Kelly, Joe & Harkin, Julie & Farrell, Aidan, 2013. "Hurst exponent footprints from activities on a large structural system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(8), pages 1803-1817.
  21. Rypdal, Martin & Sirnes, Espen & Løvsletten, Ola & Rypdal, Kristoffer, 2013. "Assessing market uncertainty by means of a time-varying intermittency parameter for asset price fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(16), pages 3335-3343.
  22. Adam Karp & Gary Van Vuuren, 2019. "Investment Implications Of The Fractal Market Hypothesis," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(01), pages 1-27, March.
  23. Ayoub Ammy-Driss & Matthieu Garcin, 2021. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Working Papers hal-02903655, HAL.
  24. Salat, Hadrien & Murcio, Roberto & Arcaute, Elsa, 2017. "Multifractal methodology," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 467-487.
  25. Kukacka, Jiri & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2021. "Does parameterization affect the complexity of agent-based models?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 324-356.
  26. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2018. "Multifractal cross-correlations between the World Oil and other Financial Markets in 2012-2017," Papers 1812.08548, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
  27. Souza, Thársis T.P. & Aste, Tomaso, 2019. "Predicting future stock market structure by combining social and financial network information," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
  28. Vogl, Markus, 2023. "Hurst exponent dynamics of S&P 500 returns: Implications for market efficiency, long memory, multifractality and financial crises predictability by application of a nonlinear dynamics analysis framewo," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
  29. Anagnostidis, P. & Varsakelis, C. & Emmanouilides, C.J., 2016. "Has the 2008 financial crisis affected stock market efficiency? The case of Eurozone," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 447(C), pages 116-128.
  30. Zunino, Luciano & Bariviera, Aurelio F. & Guercio, M. Belén & Martinez, Lisana B. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2016. "Monitoring the informational efficiency of European corporate bond markets with dynamical permutation min-entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 1-9.
  31. Ayoub Ammy-Driss & Matthieu Garcin, 2020. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Papers 2007.10727, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  32. Wątorek Marcin & Stawiarski Bartosz, 2016. "Log-Periodic Power Law and Generalized Hurst Exponent Analysis in Estimating an Asset Bubble Bursting Time," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 12(3), pages 49-58, October.
  33. Ioannis P. Antoniades & Leonidas P. Karakatsanis & Evgenios G. Pavlos, 2020. "Dynamical Characteristics of Global Stock Markets Based on Time Dependent Tsallis Non-Extensive Statistics and Generalized Hurst Exponents," Papers 2012.06856, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
  34. Sensoy, Ahmet & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2015. "Time-varying long term memory in the European Union stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 436(C), pages 147-158.
  35. Sensoy, A., 2013. "Time-varying long range dependence in market returns of FEAS members," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 39-45.
  36. Kukacka, Jiri & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2020. "Do ‘complex’ financial models really lead to complex dynamics? Agent-based models and multifractality," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  37. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araújo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, Igor E.M., 2020. "The (in)efficiency of NYMEX energy futures: A multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
  38. Bikramaditya Ghosh & Spyros Papathanasiou & Dimitrios Kenourgios, 2022. "Cross-Country Linkages and Asymmetries of Sovereign Risk Pluralistic Investigation of CDS Spreads," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-10, October.
  39. Sensoy, A., 2013. "Effects of monetary policy on the long memory in interest rates: Evidence from an emerging market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 85-88.
  40. Jizba, Petr & Korbel, Jan, 2014. "Multifractal diffusion entropy analysis: Optimal bin width of probability histograms," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 438-458.
  41. Morales, Raffaello & Di Matteo, T. & Aste, Tomaso, 2013. "Non-stationary multifractality in stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(24), pages 6470-6483.
  42. Kristoufek, Ladislav & Vosvrda, Miloslav, 2013. "Measuring capital market efficiency: Global and local correlations structure," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(1), pages 184-193.
  43. Ammy-Driss, Ayoub & Garcin, Matthieu, 2023. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: Time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
  44. Antoniades, I.P. & Karakatsanis, L.P. & Pavlos, E.G., 2021. "Dynamical characteristics of global stock markets based on time dependent Tsallis non-extensive statistics and generalized Hurst exponents," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
  45. Douglas Castilho & Tharsis T. P. Souza & Soong Moon Kang & Jo~ao Gama & Andr'e C. P. L. F. de Carvalho, 2021. "Forecasting Financial Market Structure from Network Features using Machine Learning," Papers 2110.11751, arXiv.org.
  46. Brandi, Giuseppe & Di Matteo, T., 2022. "Multiscaling and rough volatility: An empirical investigation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  47. Lee, Hojin & Chang, Woojin, 2015. "Multifractal regime detecting method for financial time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 117-129.
  48. Huang, Jingjing & Shang, Pengjian, 2015. "Multiscale multifractal diffusion entropy analysis of financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 420(C), pages 221-228.
  49. Hasan, Rashid & Mohammed Salim, M., 2017. "Power law cross-correlations between price change and volume change of Indian stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 620-631.
  50. Sensoy, Ahmet & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2014. "Time-varying long range dependence in energy futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 318-327.
  51. Lotfalinezhad, Hamze & Maleki, Ali, 2020. "TTA, a new approach to estimate Hurst exponent with less estimation error and computational time," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
  52. Mostafa Raeisi Sarkandiz & Robabeh Bahlouli, 2019. "The Stock Market between Classical and Behavioral Hypotheses: An Empirical Investigation of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 4(2), pages 67-88, December.
  53. Mulligan, Robert F., 2017. "The multifractal character of capacity utilization over the business cycle: An application of Hurst signature analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 147-152.
  54. Petr Jizba & Jan Korbel, 2014. "Multifractal Diffusion Entropy Analysis: Optimal Bin Width of Probability Histograms," Papers 1401.3316, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2014.
  55. Siokis, Fotios M., 2014. "European economies in crisis: A multifractal analysis of disruptive economic events and the effects of financial assistance," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 395(C), pages 283-292.
  56. Francesco Caravelli & James Requeima & Cozmin Ududec & Ali Ashtari & Tiziana Di Matteo & Tomaso Aste, 2015. "Multi-scaling of wholesale electricity prices," Papers 1507.06219, arXiv.org.
  57. Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "A study on chaos in crude oil markets before and after 2008 international financial crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 466(C), pages 389-395.
  58. Tao Yin & Yiming Wang, 2019. "Predicting the Price of WTI Crude Oil Using ANN and Chaos," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-14, October.
  59. Franco Ruzzenenti, 2015. "Changes in the relationship between the financial and real sector and the present economic financial crisis: study of energy sector and market," Working papers wpaper105, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
  60. Ladislav Kristoufek, 2012. "Fractal Markets Hypothesis And The Global Financial Crisis: Scaling, Investment Horizons And Liquidity," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(06), pages 1-13.
  61. Andrey Shternshis & Piero Mazzarisi, 2024. "Variance of entropy for testing time-varying regimes with an application to meme stocks," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 47(1), pages 215-258, June.
  62. Li, Tingyi & Xue, Leyang & Chen, Yu & Chen, Feier & Miao, Yuqi & Shao, Xinzeng & Zhang, Chenyi, 2018. "Insights from multifractality analysis of tanker freight market volatility with common external factor of crude oil price," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 374-384.
  63. Lee, Hojin & Song, Jae Wook & Chang, Woojin, 2016. "Multifractal Value at Risk model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 113-122.
  64. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Araújo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, Igor E.M. & Leite, Urbanno P.S. & de Lima, Neílson F. & Stosic, Tatijana & Ferreira, Tiago A.E., 2020. "Multifractal behavior in the dynamics of Brazilian inflation indices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 550(C).
  65. Th'arsis T. P. Souza & Tomaso Aste, 2018. "Predicting future stock market structure by combining social and financial network information," Papers 1812.01103, arXiv.org.
  66. Mulligan, Robert F., 2014. "Multifractality of sectoral price indices: Hurst signature analysis of Cantillon effects in disequilibrium factor markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 403(C), pages 252-264.
  67. Bianchi, Sergio & Pianese, Augusto, 2018. "Time-varying Hurst–Hölder exponents and the dynamics of (in)efficiency in stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 64-75.
  68. Laura Raisa Miloş & Cornel Haţiegan & Marius Cristian Miloş & Flavia Mirela Barna & Claudiu Boțoc, 2020. "Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) of Stock Market Indexes. Empirical Evidence from Seven Central and Eastern European Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, January.
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