A study on chaos in crude oil markets before and after 2008 international financial crisis
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.09.031
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong & Gao, Xiangyun & Huang, Xuan, 2015. "Identifying the multiscale impacts of crude oil price shocks on the stock market in China at the sector level," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 434(C), pages 13-24.
- Wang, Jianzhou & Jia, Ruiling & Zhao, Weigang & Wu, Jie & Dong, Yao, 2012. "Application of the largest Lyapunov exponent and non-linear fractal extrapolation algorithm to short-term load forecasting," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(9), pages 1277-1287.
- Gilmore, Claire G., 2001. "An examination of nonlinear dependence in exchange rates, using recent methods from chaos theory," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 139-151.
- Liu, Li & Ma, Guofeng, 2014. "Cross-correlation between crude oil and refined product prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 284-293.
- Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Xie, Wen-Jie & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2014.
"Testing the weak-form efficiency of the WTI crude oil futures market,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 235-244.
- Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wen-Jie Xie & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2012. "Testing the weak-form efficiency of the WTI crude oil futures market," Papers 1211.4686, arXiv.org.
- Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong & Gao, Xiangyun & Huang, Xuan, 2016. "Time–frequency featured co-movement between the stock and prices of crude oil and gold," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 444(C), pages 985-995.
- Jana, Debaldev & Agrawal, Rashmi & Upadhyay, Ranjit Kumar, 2014. "Top-predator interference and gestation delay as determinants of the dynamics of a realistic model food chain," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 50-63.
- Alvarez-Ramirez, J. & Alvarez, J. & Rodríguez, E., 2015. "Asymmetric long-term autocorrelations in crude oil markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 424(C), pages 330-341.
- Lahmiri, Salim, 2015. "Long memory in international financial markets trends and short movements during 2008 financial crisis based on variational mode decomposition and detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 437(C), pages 130-138.
- Wei, Yu, 2012. "Forecasting volatility of fuel oil futures in China: GARCH-type, SV or realized volatility models?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(22), pages 5546-5556.
- Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2009. "Testing for long-range dependence in the Brazilian term structure of interest rates," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1559-1573.
- Çoban, Gürsan & Büyüklü, Ali H., 2009. "Deterministic flow in phase space of exchange rates: Evidence of chaos in filtered series of Turkish Lira–Dollar daily growth rates," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 1062-1067.
- Zhang, Tao & Ma, Guofeng & Liu, Guangsheng, 2015. "Nonlinear joint dynamics between prices of crude oil and refined products," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 444-456.
- Zhang, Yu & Shao, Jun & Krausert, Christopher R. & Zhang, Sai & Jiang, Jack J., 2011. "High-speed image analysis reveals chaotic vibratory behaviors of pathological vocal folds," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 169-177.
- Ferreira, Bianca Borem & de Paula, Aline Souza & Savi, Marcelo Amorim, 2011. "Chaos control applied to heart rhythm dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 44(8), pages 587-599.
- Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
- Yang, Liansheng & Zhu, Yingming & Wang, Yudong, 2016. "Multifractal characterization of energy stocks in China: A multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 357-365.
- Gu, Rongbao & Chen, Hongtao & Wang, Yudong, 2010. "Multifractal analysis on international crude oil markets based on the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2805-2815.
- Xia, Jianan & Shang, Pengjian & Lu, Dan & Yin, Yi, 2016. "A comprehensive segmentation analysis of crude oil market based on time irreversibility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 104-114.
- Zhong, Weiqiong & An, Haizhong & Gao, Xiangyun & Sun, Xiaoqi, 2014. "The evolution of communities in the international oil trade network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 42-52.
- Al-Hdaibat, Bashir & Govaerts, Willy & Neirynck, Niels, 2015. "On periodic and chaotic behavior in a two-dimensional monopoly model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 27-37.
- Morales, Raffaello & Di Matteo, T. & Gramatica, Ruggero & Aste, Tomaso, 2012. "Dynamical generalized Hurst exponent as a tool to monitor unstable periods in financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(11), pages 3180-3189.
- Yuan, Ying & Zhuang, Xin-tian & Liu, Zhi-ying & Huang, Wei-qiang, 2014. "Analysis of the temporal properties of price shock sequences in crude oil markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 235-246.
- Sensoy, A., 2013. "Effects of monetary policy on the long memory in interest rates: Evidence from an emerging market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 85-88.
- Sviridova, Nina & Sakai, Kenshi, 2015. "Human photoplethysmogram: new insight into chaotic characteristics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 53-63.
- Arulgnanam, A. & Prasad, Awadhesh & Thamilmaran, K. & Daniel, M., 2015. "Multilayered bubbling route to SNA in a quasiperiodically forced electronic circuit with experimental and analytical confirmation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 96-110.
- Liu, Li, 2014. "Cross-correlations between crude oil and agricultural commodity markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 395(C), pages 293-302.
- Ruan, Qingsong & Wang, Yao & Lu, Xinsheng & Qin, Jing, 2016. "Cross-correlations between Baltic Dry Index and crude oil prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 278-289.
- BenSaïda, Ahmed & Litimi, Houda, 2013. "High level chaos in the exchange and index markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 90-95.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2017. "Disturbances and complexity in volatility time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 38-42.
- Zhang, Yali & Wang, Jun, 2019. "Linkage influence of energy market on financial market by multiscale complexity synchronization," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 254-266.
- Melike Bildirici & Nilgun Guler Bayazit & Yasemen Ucan, 2021. "Modelling Oil Price with Lie Algebras and Long Short-Term Memory Networks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(14), pages 1-10, July.
- Baumöhl, Eduard & Kočenda, Evžen & Lyócsa, Štefan & Výrost, Tomáš, 2018.
"Networks of volatility spillovers among stock markets,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1555-1574.
- Eduard Baumohl & Evzen Kocenda & Stefan Lyocsa & Tomas Vyrost, 2016. "Networks of volatility spillovers among stock markets," KIER Working Papers 941, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Eduard Baumöhl & Evžen Kocenda & Stefan Lyócsa & Tomás Vyrost, 2017. "Networks of Volatility Spillovers among Stock Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 6476, CESifo.
- Hong, Yanran & Wang, Lu & Ye, Xiaoqing & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Dynamic asymmetric impact of equity market uncertainty on energy markets: A time-varying causality analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 535-546.
- Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios & Bezzina, Frank, 2020. "Multi-fluctuation nonlinear patterns of European financial markets based on adaptive filtering with application to family business, green, Islamic, common stocks, and comparison with Bitcoin, NASDAQ, ," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 538(C).
- Melike Bildirici & Nilgun Guler Bayazit & Yasemen Ucan, 2020. "Analyzing Crude Oil Prices under the Impact of COVID-19 by Using LSTARGARCHLSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, June.
- Antonio J. Garz n & Luis . Hierro, 2018. "Fracking, Wars and Stock Market Crashes: The Price of Oil During the Great Recession," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 20-30.
- Lucía Inglada-Pérez & Pablo Coto-Millán, 2021. "A Chaos Analysis of the Dry Bulk Shipping Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(17), pages 1-35, August.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017.
"Neglected chaos in international stock markets: Bayesian analysis of the joint return–volatility dynamical system,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 95-107.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Neglected chaos in international stock markets: Bayesian analysis of the joint return–volatility dynamical system," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 80749, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "On fractality and chaos in Moroccan family business stock returns and volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 29-39.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Bayesian analysis of chaos: The joint return-volatility dynamical system," MPRA Paper 80632, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Josselin Garnier & Knut Solna, 2018. "Emergence of Turbulent Epochs in Oil Prices," Papers 1808.09382, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
- Achraf Ghorbel & Wajdi Frikha & Yasmine Snene Manzli, 2022. "Testing for asymmetric non-linear short- and long-run relationships between crypto-currencies and stock markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 387-425, September.
- Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2018. "Chaos, randomness and multi-fractality in Bitcoin market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 28-34.
- Karasu, Seçkin & Altan, Aytaç, 2022. "Crude oil time series prediction model based on LSTM network with chaotic Henry gas solubility optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
- Karasu, Seçkin & Altan, Aytaç & Bekiros, Stelios & Ahmad, Wasim, 2020. "A new forecasting model with wrapper-based feature selection approach using multi-objective optimization technique for chaotic crude oil time series," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
- Alves, P.R.L. & Duarte, L.G.S. & da Mota, L.A.C.P., 2018. "Detecting chaos and predicting in Dow Jones Index," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 232-238.
- Garnier, Josselin & Solna, Knut, 2019. "Emergence of turbulent epochs in oil prices," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 281-292.
- Yue-Jun Zhang & Shu-Hui Li, 2019. "The impact of investor sentiment on crude oil market risks: evidence from the wavelet approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(8), pages 1357-1371, August.
- Lahmiri, Salim & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Bekiros, Stelios, 2017. "Clustering of short and long-term co-movements in international financial and commodity markets in wavelet domain," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 947-955.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "On fractality and chaos in Moroccan family business stock returns and volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 29-39.
- Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "Investigating existence of chaos in short and long term dynamics of Moroccan exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 655-661.
- García-Carranco, Sergio M. & Bory-Reyes, Juan & Balankin, Alexander S., 2016. "The crude oil price bubbling and universal scaling dynamics of price volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 452(C), pages 60-68.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Bayesian analysis of chaos: The joint return-volatility dynamical system," MPRA Paper 80632, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017.
"Neglected chaos in international stock markets: Bayesian analysis of the joint return–volatility dynamical system,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 95-107.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Neglected chaos in international stock markets: Bayesian analysis of the joint return–volatility dynamical system," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 80749, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "Cointegration and causal linkages in fertilizer markets across different regimes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 181-189.
- Tao Yin & Yiming Wang, 2019. "Predicting the Price of WTI Crude Oil Using ANN and Chaos," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-14, October.
- Ruan, Qingsong & Bao, Junjie & Zhang, Manqian & Fan, Limin, 2019. "The effects of exchange rate regime reform on RMB markets: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 522(C), pages 122-134.
- Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "Asymmetric and persistent responses in price volatility of fertilizers through stable and unstable periods," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 466(C), pages 405-414.
- Yahya, Muhammad & Oglend, Atle & Dahl, Roy Endré, 2019. "Temporal and spectral dependence between crude oil and agricultural commodities: A wavelet-based copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 277-296.
- Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2018. "Chaos, randomness and multi-fractality in Bitcoin market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 28-34.
- Sensoy, Ahmet & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2014. "Time-varying long range dependence in energy futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 318-327.
- Polanco Martínez, Josué M. & Abadie, Luis M. & Fernández-Macho, J., 2018. "A multi-resolution and multivariate analysis of the dynamic relationships between crude oil and petroleum-product prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1550-1560.
- Pal, Debdatta & Mitra, Subrata K., 2017. "Time-frequency contained co-movement of crude oil and world food prices: A wavelet-based analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 230-239.
- Lu, Xinsheng & Li, Jianfeng & Zhou, Ying & Qian, Yubo, 2017. "Cross-correlations between RMB exchange rate and international commodity markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 168-182.
- Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Yousaf, Imran & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Asymmetric efficiency in petroleum markets before and during COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
- Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "Multifractal analysis of Moroccan family business stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 183-191.
- Zhuang, Xiaoyang & Wei, Yu & Ma, Feng, 2015. "Multifractality, efficiency analysis of Chinese stock market and its cross-correlation with WTI crude oil price," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 430(C), pages 101-113.
- Cheng, Sheng & Cao, Yan, 2019. "On the relation between global food and crude oil prices: An empirical investigation in a nonlinear framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 422-432.
- Esparcia, Carlos & Jareño, Francisco & Umar, Zaghum, 2022. "Revisiting the safe haven role of Gold across time and frequencies during the COVID-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
More about this item
Keywords
Crude oil market; Chaos; Lyapunov exponent; International financial crisis;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:466:y:2017:i:c:p:389-395. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.