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Is the business cycle characterized by deterministic chaos?

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Cited by:

  1. M. Matilla-Garcia & P. Sanz & F. J. Vazquez, 2004. "Dimension estimation with the BDS-G statistic," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(11), pages 1219-1223.
  2. David Kiefer, 1996. "Searching For Endogenous Business Cycles In The U.S. Postwar Economy," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1), pages 34-56, February.
  3. Chang-Kon Choi, 1998. "Asymmetric Fluctuations and the Third Moments in the Real Business Cycle Theory," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 35-53.
  4. Loretta Mastroeni & Pierluigi Vellucci, 2016. "“Butterfly Effect" vs Chaos in Energy Futures Markets," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0209, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
  5. Eduardo Pozo & Lucia Amboj, 2001. "Noise reduction methods and the Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm. A simulation study," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 71-75.
  6. Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos & Serletis, Demitre, 2015. "Nonlinear And Complex Dynamics In Economics," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(8), pages 1749-1779, December.
  7. Samir Saadi & Devinder Gandhi & Khaled Elmawazini, 2006. "On the validity of conventional statistical tests given evidence of non-synchronous trading and non-linear dynamics in returns generating process," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 301-305.
  8. Kiran Sharma & Shreyansh Shah & Anindya S. Chakrabarti & Anirban Chakraborti, 2016. "Sectoral co-movements in the Indian stock market: A mesoscopic network analysis," Papers 1607.05514, arXiv.org.
  9. Paul Brockman & Mustafa Chowdhury, 1997. "Deterministic versus stochastic volatility: implications for option pricing models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(5), pages 499-505.
  10. Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M, 1999. "Dynamic Asymmetries in U.S. Unemployment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 17(3), pages 298-312, July.
  11. Olkhov, Victor, 2018. "Expectations, Price Fluctuations and Lorenz Attractor," MPRA Paper 89105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2000. "Martingales, nonlinearity, and chaos," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(5-7), pages 703-724, June.
  13. repec:jss:jstsof:07:i09 is not listed on IDEAS
  14. Vijay Varadi & C. Vanlalramsanga, 2012. "Assessment of the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2012_06, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
  15. Matilla-García, Mariano & Marín, Manuel Ruiz, 2010. "A new test for chaos and determinism based on symbolic dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 600-614, December.
  16. Dapontas Dimitrios & Evangelopoulos Panagiotis, 2013. "Has the NAFTA Foundation Affected Business Cycles Length? An Introduction," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 60(1), pages 145-153, July.
  17. Peter Kugler, 1990. "Sind Wechselkursfluktuationen zufällig oder chaotisch?," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 126(II), pages 113-129, June.
  18. Cars Hommes & Sebastiano Manzan, 2006. "Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time. A Comment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-030/1, Tinbergen Institute.
  19. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Holt, Matthew T., 1995. "Nonlinear Dynamics And Economic Instability: The Optimal Management Of A Biological Population," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 1-16, December.
  20. Takala, Kari & Virén, Matti, 1995. "Testing nonlinear dynamics, long memory and chaotic behaviour with macroeconomic data," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/1995, Bank of Finland.
  21. Catherine Araujo Bonjean, 1998. "Les marchés mondiaux des produits agricoles sont-ils efficients ?," Économie rurale, Programme National Persée, vol. 243(1), pages 8-15.
  22. İçen, Hüseyin & Yerdelen Tatoğlu, Ferda, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of changes in price and income on renewable and nonrenewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 144-152.
  23. Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2008. "Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? some evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 639-669.
  24. Petre CARAIANI, 2015. "Testing For Nonlinearity In Unemployment Rates Via Delay Vector Variance," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 81-92, March.
  25. Steven R. Cunningham, 1993. "Unit Root Testing: A Critique From Chaos Theory," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(1), pages 1-18, September.
  26. Kyrtsou, Catherine & Serletis, Apostolos, 2006. "Univariate tests for nonlinear structure," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 154-168, March.
  27. Maurice Peat & Max Stevenson, 1995. "Testing for Nonlinearities in Economic and Financial Time Series," Working Paper Series 48, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
  28. Saeed Moshiri & Faezeh Foroutan, 2006. "Forecasting Nonlinear Crude Oil Futures Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 81-96.
  29. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Pelloni, Gianluigi, 2007. "Nonlinearity In The Canadian And U.S. Labor Markets: Univariate And Multivariate Evidence From A Battery Of Tests," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(5), pages 613-637, November.
  30. Szpiro, George G., 1997. "Noise in unspecified, non-linear time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 229-255, June.
  31. H. Siddiqi, 2015. "The Routes To Chaos In The Bitcoins Market," Review of Business and Economics Studies // Review of Business and Economics Studies, Финансовый Университет // Financial University, vol. 3(3), pages 32-38.
  32. Asea, Patrick K. & Blomberg, Brock, 1998. "Lending cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1-2), pages 89-128.
  33. Theodore Panagiotidis, 2002. "Testing the assumption of Linearity," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(29), pages 1-9.
  34. Diego Valderrama, 2003. "Statistical Nonlinearities in the Business Cycle," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 219, Society for Computational Economics.
  35. Takala, Kari & Virén, Matti, 1995. "Testing nonlinear dynamics, long memory and chaotic behaviour with macroeconomic data," Research Discussion Papers 9/1995, Bank of Finland.
  36. Mariano Matilla-Garcia & Paloma Sanz & Francisco Vazquez, 2005. "The BDS test and delay time," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 109-113.
  37. Philip M. Bodman, 1998. "Asymmetry and Duration Dependence in Australian GDP and Unemployment," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 74(227), pages 399-411, December.
  38. Matthews, Kent & Minford, Patrick & Naraidoo, Ruthira, 2008. "Vicious and virtuous circles -- The political economy of unemployment in interwar UK and USA," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 605-614, September.
  39. repec:zbw:bofrdp:1995_009 is not listed on IDEAS
  40. Dale, Charles, 1990. "From Kondratieff to Chaos: Some Perspectives on Long-Term and Short-Term Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 46229, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  41. T Tang, 2009. "Testing for Non-linearity in the Balancing Item of Balance of Payments Accounts: The Case of 20 Industrial Countries," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 14(2), pages 107-124, September.
  42. Bahram Adrangi & Richard D. Gritta & Kambiz Raffiee, 2013. "Volatility Spillovers and Nonlinear Dynamics between Jet Fuel Prices and Air Carrier Revenue Passenger Miles in the US," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 3, pages 01-18, August.
  43. Mototsugu Shintani & Oliver Linton, 2003. "Is There Chaos in the World Economy? A Nonparametric Test Using Consistent Standard Errors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 44(1), pages 331-357, February.
  44. Ignacio Olmeda & Joaquin Pérez, 1995. "Non-linear dynamics and chaos in the Spanish stock market," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 19(2), pages 217-248, May.
  45. Jaditz, Ted, 1995. "Time series prediction: Forecasting the future and understanding the past : Andreas S. Weigend and Neil A. Gershenfeld, eds., (Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley Publishing Co., 1949) pp. xvii + 643, $29.95," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 302-305, March.
  46. Loretta Mastroeni & Pierluigi Vellucci, 2016. ""Butterfly Effect" vs Chaos in Energy Futures Markets," Papers 1610.05697, arXiv.org.
  47. Balke, Nathan S & Fomby, Thomas B, 1994. "Large Shocks, Small Shocks, and Economic Fluctuations: Outliers in Macroeconomic Time Series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(2), pages 181-200, April-Jun.
  48. Luis A. Aguirre & Antonio Aguirre, 1997. "A tutorial introduction to nonlinear dynamics in economics," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 7(2), pages 9-47.
  49. Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2017. "Current Issues in Time-Series Analysis for the Energy-Growth Nexus; Asymmetries and Nonlinearities Case Study: Pakistan," MPRA Paper 82221, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Oct 2017.
  50. Liu, Yamei, 2000. "Overfitting and forecasting: linear versus non-linear time series models," ISU General Staff Papers 2000010108000014914, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  51. Orzeszko, Witold, 2008. "The new method of measuring the effects of noise reduction in chaotic data," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 1355-1368.
  52. Neugart, Michael, 2004. "Complicated dynamics in a flow model of the labor market," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 193-213, February.
  53. Marisa Faggini, 2011. "Chaotic Time Series Analysis in Economics: Balance and Perspectives," Working papers 25, Former Department of Economics and Public Finance "G. Prato", University of Torino.
  54. Ossama Mikhail & Curtis Eberwein & Jagdish Handa, 2005. "On the evidence of non-linear structure in Canadian unemployment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 101-104.
  55. Mayer-Foulkes, David, 1995. "A statistical correlation dimension," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 277-293, September.
  56. Matilla-García, M. & Rodríguez Ruiz, J., 2005. "Aplicabilidad del test BDS al análisis de series económicas/Aplicadility of las test to economic time series analysis," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 23, pages 507-519, Agosto.
  57. Madhavan, Vinodh, 2013. "Nonlinearity in investment grade Credit Default Swap (CDS) Indices of US and Europe: Evidence from BDS and close-returns tests," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 266-279.
  58. Stavrinides, Stavros G. & Hanias, Michael P. & Gonzalez, Mireia B. & Campabadal, Francesca & Contoyiannis, Yiannis & Potirakis, Stelios M. & Al Chawa, Mohamad Moner & de Benito, Carol & Tetzlaff, Rona, 2022. "On the chaotic nature of random telegraph noise in unipolar RRAM memristor devices," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
  59. Domenico Mignacca & Mauro Gallegati, 1994. "Is US Real GNP Chaotic? On Using the BDS test to Decide Whether an ARMA Model forthe US GNP Genreates I.I.D. Residuals," International Finance 9410002, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Nov 1994.
  60. Adrangi, Bahram & Chatrath, Arjun & Dhanda, Kanwalroop Kathy & Raffiee, Kambiz, 2001. "Chaos in oil prices? Evidence from futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 405-425, July.
  61. Wu, Y. & Zhang, D.Z., 2007. "Demand fluctuation and chaotic behaviour by interaction between customers and suppliers," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 250-259, May.
  62. Sorger, Gerhard, 1998. "Imperfect foresight and chaos: an example of a self-fulfilling mistake," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 33(3-4), pages 363-383, January.
  63. Marisa Faggini & Bruna Bruno & Anna Parziale, 2019. "Does Chaos Matter in Financial Time Series Analysis?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 18-24.
  64. Gordon R. Richards, 2004. "A fractal forecasting model for financial time series," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(8), pages 586-601.
  65. Peat, Maurice & Stevenson, Max, 1996. "Asymmetry in the business cycle: Evidence from the Australian labour market," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 353-368, September.
  66. Alan Speight, 1997. "Testing for business cycle asymmetry: some international evidence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(10), pages 603-606.
  67. Hommes, C.H. & Manzan, S., 2005. "Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time Series: A Comment," CeNDEF Working Papers 05-14, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  68. ngene, Geoffrey & Hassan, Mohammad Kabir, 2012. "Momentum and Nonlinear Price Discovery in Sovereign Credit Risk and Equity Markets of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Countries," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 46(2), pages 101-114.
  69. Brock, W.A. & Hommes, C.H., 1997. "Models of Compelxity in Economics and Finance," Working papers 9706, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
  70. Tancrède Voituriez, 1998. "Dynamique non linéaire du marché mondial des huiles et des graisses," Économie rurale, Programme National Persée, vol. 243(1), pages 22-29.
  71. Zuzanna Karolak, 2021. "Energy prices forecasting using nonlinear univariate models," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 52(6), pages 577-598.
  72. Bacsi, Zsuzsanna, 1997. "Modelling chaotic behaviour in agricultural prices using a discrete deterministic nonlinear price model," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 445-459, November.
  73. Olmedo, Elena, 2011. "Is there chaos in the Spanish labour market?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 44(12), pages 1045-1053.
  74. Valderrama, Diego, 2007. "Statistical nonlinearities in the business cycle: A challenge for the canonical RBC model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 2957-2983, September.
  75. Lee, Cheng-Feng & Hu, Te-Chung & Li, Ping-Cheng & Tsong, Ching-Chuan, 2013. "Asymmetric behavior of unemployment rates: Evidence from the quantile covariate unit root test," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 72-84.
  76. John Ammer & Allan D. Brunner, 1995. "When is monetary policy effective?," International Finance Discussion Papers 520, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  77. Chen, Wei-Shing, 2011. "Use of recurrence plot and recurrence quantification analysis in Taiwan unemployment rate time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(7), pages 1332-1342.
  78. Elena Olmedo, 2014. "Forecasting Spanish Unemployment Using Near Neighbour and Neural Net Techniques," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 43(2), pages 183-197, February.
  79. Arjun Chatrath & Bahram Adrangi & Todd Shank, 2001. "Nonlinear Dependence in Gold and Silver Futures: Is it Chaos?," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 45(2), pages 25-32, October.
  80. Halkos, George & Tsilika, Kyriaki, 2014. "Nonlinear time series analysis of annual temperatures concerning the global Earth climate," MPRA Paper 59140, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  81. Diego Valderrama, 2002. "Nonlinearities in international business cycles," Working Paper Series 2002-23, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  82. Samet Gunay & Bojan Georgievski, 2018. "Effectiveness of Interest Rate Policy of the Fed in Management of Subprime Mortgage Crisis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, February.
  83. Chatrath, Arjun & Adrangi, Bahram & Dhanda, Kanwalroop Kathy, 2002. "Are commodity prices chaotic?," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 27(2), pages 123-137, August.
  84. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/9848 is not listed on IDEAS
  85. Costas Siriopoulos & Alexandros Leontitsis, 2002. "Nonlinear Noise Estimation in International Capital Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 6(1), pages 43-63, March.
  86. Mills, Terence C., 1995. "Business cycle asymmetries and non-linearities in U.K. macroeconomic time series," Ricerche Economiche, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 97-124, June.
  87. Belongia, Michael & Hinich, Melvin, 2009. "The evolving role and definition of the federal funds rate in the conduct of U.S. monetary policy," MPRA Paper 18970, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2009.
  88. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/9848 is not listed on IDEAS
  89. Saeed Moshiri & Forough Seifi, 2008. "Nonlinearity in Exchange Rates and Forecasting," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 13(1), pages 83-105, spring.
  90. Koller, Wolfgang & Fischer, Manfred M., 2001. "Testing for Non-Linear Dependence in Univariate Time Series An Empirical Investigation of the Austrian Unemployment Rate," MPRA Paper 77809, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  91. Potter, Simon M, 1995. "A Nonlinear Approach to US GNP," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(2), pages 109-125, April-Jun.
  92. Brock, W.A. & Dechert, W.D. & LeBaron, B. & Scheinkman, J.A., 1995. "A Test for Independence Based on the Correlation Dimension," Working papers 9520, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
  93. Ali Moeini & Mehdi Ahrari & Saeed Sadat Madarshahi3, 2007. "Investigating Chaos in Tehran Stock Exchange Index," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 12(1), pages 103-120, winter.
  94. Bahram Adrangi & Mary E. Allender & Kambiz Raffiee, 2011. "Exchange Rates and Inflation Rates: Exploring Nonlinear Relationships," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 1, pages 1-16, April.
  95. McKenzie, Michael D., 2001. "Chaotic behavior in national stock market indices: New evidence from the close returns test," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 35-53.
  96. Mizrach, Bruce, 1996. "Determining delay times for phase space reconstruction with application to the FF/DM exchange rate," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 369-381, September.
  97. William Barnett & Barry E. Jones & Milka Kirova & Travis D. Nesmith & Meenakshi Pasupathy1, 2004. "The Nonlinear Skeletons in the Closet," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200403, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised May 2004.
  98. Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998. "A Framework for Studying Economic Interactions (with applications to corruption and business cycles)," Game Theory and Information 9809006, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Oct 1998.
  99. Franz Alberto Hamann, 1996. "Puede Explicarse el Precio Externo del Café con un Modelo Econométrico no Lineal?," Borradores de Economia 065, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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  101. D. P. O'Brien, 1992. "Economists and Data," British Journal of Industrial Relations, London School of Economics, vol. 30(2), pages 253-285, June.
  102. Baek, Khung G. & Brock, William A., 1989. "A Nonparametric Test For Independence Of A Multivariate Time Series," ISU General Staff Papers 198912010800001205, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  103. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/9848 is not listed on IDEAS
  104. Peter Martey Addo & Monica Billio & Dominique Guegan, 2012. "Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Wavelets for Business Cycle Analysis," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 12023r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Nov 2013.
  105. Gilmore, Claire G., 2001. "An examination of nonlinear dependence in exchange rates, using recent methods from chaos theory," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 139-151.
  106. Nijkamp, Peter & Reggiani, Aura, 1995. "Non-linear evolution of dynamic spatial systems. The relevance of chaos and ecologically-based models," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 183-210, April.
  107. Lindstrom, Tomas, 1998. "A fuzzy design of the willingness to invest in Sweden," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 1-17, July.
  108. Arora Siddharth & Little Max A. & McSharry Patrick E., 2013. "Nonlinear and nonparametric modeling approaches for probabilistic forecasting of the US gross national product," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 395-420, September.
  109. Isabelle Girerd-Potin & Ollivier Taramasco, 1994. "Les rentabilités à la bourse de Paris sont-elles chaotiques ?," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 45(2), pages 215-238.
  110. David E. A. Giles, 1997. "Testing for Asymmetry in the Measured and Underground Business Cycles in New Zealand," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 73(222), pages 225-232, September.
  111. Sella Lisa, 2008. "Old and New Spectral Techniques for Economic Time Series," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 200809, University of Turin.
  112. repec:rim:rimwps:06-07 is not listed on IDEAS
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