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Long-range forecasting of IBM product revenues using a seasonal fractionally differenced ARMA model

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Josu Arteche, 2012. "Standard and seasonal long memory in volatility: an application to Spanish inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 693-712, June.
  2. Reisen, Valdério A. & Zamprogno, Bartolomeu & Palma, Wilfredo & Arteche, Josu, 2014. "A semiparametric approach to estimate two seasonal fractional parameters in the SARFIMA model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-17.
  3. Baillie, Richard T., 1996. "Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 5-59, July.
  4. Palma, Wilfredo & Bondon, Pascal, 2003. "On the eigenstructure of generalized fractional processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 93-101, November.
  5. Soares, Lacir Jorge & Souza, Leonardo Rocha, 2006. "Forecasting electricity demand using generalized long memory," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 17-28.
  6. Luis Gil-Alana, 2003. "Seasonal Misspecification in the Context of Fractionally Integrated Univariate Time Series," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 22(1), pages 65-74, August.
  7. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(29), pages 1-10.
  8. Lovcha, Yuliya & Perez-Laborda, Alejandro, 2015. "The Hours Worked–Productivity Puzzle: Identification In A Fractional Integration Setting," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(7), pages 1593-1621, October.
  9. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2012. "A Non-Linear Approach with Long Range Dependence Based on Chebyshev Polynomials," Working Papers 2012013, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
  10. Cuestas Juan Carlos & Gil-Alana Luis Alberiko, 2016. "Testing for long memory in the presence of non-linear deterministic trends with Chebyshev polynomials," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 57-74, February.
  11. Ana Pérez & Esther Ruiz, 2002. "Modelos de memoria larga para series económicas y financieras," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 26(3), pages 395-445, September.
  12. José Manuel Madeira Belbute, 2015. "Does Final Energy Demand in Portugal Exhibit Long Memory? A Fractional Integration Analysis," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers 2015_04, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal).
  13. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu, 2008. "Testing fractional order of long memory processes: a Monte Carlo study," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08012, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  14. C. Bisognin & S. R. C. Lopes, 2007. "Estimating and forecasting the long-memory parameter in the presence of periodicity," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 405-427.
  15. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu, 2008. "Testing fractional order of long memory processes : a Monte Carlo study," Post-Print halshs-00259193, HAL.
  16. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Post-Print halshs-00283710, HAL.
  17. Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2010. "International Arrivals in the Canary Islands: Persistence, Long Memory, Seasonality and other Implicit Dynamics," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(2), pages 287-302, June.
  18. John Barkoulas & Christopher Baum & Nickolaos Travlos, 2000. "Long memory in the Greek stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 177-184.
  19. Rocha Souza, Leonardo & Jorge Soares, Lacir, 2007. "Electricity rationing and public response," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 296-311, March.
  20. Henghsiu Tsai & Heiko Rachinger & Edward M.H. Lin, 2015. "Inference of Seasonal Long-memory Time Series with Measurement Error," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(1), pages 137-154, March.
  21. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
  22. John T. Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum, 1997. "Fractional Differencing Modeling And Forecasting Of Eurocurrency Deposit Rates," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 20(3), pages 355-372, September.
  23. Christopher F. Baum & John Barkoulas, 2006. "Long-memory forecasting of US monetary indices," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 291-302.
  24. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2008:i:29:p:1-10 is not listed on IDEAS
  25. Wilfredo Palma & Ngai Hang Chan, 2005. "Efficient Estimation of Seasonal Long‐Range‐Dependent Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(6), pages 863-892, November.
  26. Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara, 2008. "Fractional and seasonal filtering," Post-Print halshs-00646178, HAL.
  27. L. A. Gil-Alana & P. M. Robinson, 2001. "Testing of seasonal fractional integration in UK and Japanese consumption and income," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(2), pages 95-114.
  28. repec:dau:papers:123456789/9331 is not listed on IDEAS
  29. Jan G. de Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-068/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  30. José Manuel Belbute & Alfredo Marvão Pereira, 2016. "Does final energy demand in Portugal exhibit long memory? A fractional integration analysis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 15(2), pages 59-77, August.
  31. Lohre, Michael & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2001. "Persistenz und saisonale Abhängigkeiten in Abflüssen des Rheins," Technical Reports 2001,38, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
  32. Ye, Xunyu & Gao, Ping & Li, Handong, 2015. "Improving estimation of the fractionally differencing parameter in the SARFIMA model using tapered periodogram," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 167-179.
  33. Franses, Philip Hans & Ooms, Marius, 1997. "A periodic long-memory model for quarterly UK inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 117-126, March.
  34. Régis Bourbonnais & Magda Mara Maftei, 2012. "ARFIMA Process : Tests and Applications at a White Noise Process, A Random Walk Process and the Stock Exchange Index CAC 40," Post-Print hal-01491880, HAL.
  35. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2006. "Fractional seasonality: Models and Application to Economic Activity in the Euro Area," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00185370, HAL.
  36. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Post-Print halshs-00277379, HAL.
  37. Voges, Michelle & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2021. "Cyclical fractional cointegration," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 114-129.
  38. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2008. "Tourism in the Canary Islands: forecasting using several seasonal time series models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 621-636.
  39. Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu, 2009. "Wavelet Method for Locally Stationary Seasonal Long Memory Processes," Post-Print halshs-00375531, HAL.
  40. Voges, Michelle & Leschinski, Christian & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2017. "Seasonal long memory in intraday volatility and trading volume of Dow Jones stocks," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-599, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
  41. Souza, Leonardo Rocha & Soares, Lacir Jorge, 2003. "Forecasting electricity load demand: analysis of the 2001 rationing period in Brazil," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 491, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
  42. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2006. "Fractional seasonality: Models and Application to Economic Activity in the Euro Area," Post-Print halshs-00185370, HAL.
  43. Masaki Narukawa, 2016. "Semiparametric Whittle estimation of a cyclical long-memory time series based on generalised exponential models," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 272-295, June.
  44. Nicholas Apergis & Andrea Mervar & James E. Payne, 2017. "Forecasting disaggregated tourist arrivals in Croatia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(1), pages 78-98, February.
  45. Hidalgo, Javier, 1998. "Consistent specification testing of stationary processes with long-range dependence: asymptotic and bootstrap tests," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 4673, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  46. J. Cunado & L.A. Gil-Alana & F. Péarez de Gracia, 2005. "The Nature of Seasonality in Spanish Tourism Time Series," Tourism Economics, , vol. 11(4), pages 483-499, December.
  47. Gil-Alana, L.A., 2008. "Testing of seasonal integration and cointegration with fractionally integrated techniques: An application to the Danish labour demand," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 326-339, March.
  48. Reisen, Valdério Anselmo & Monte, Edson Zambon & da Conceição Franco, Glaura & Sgrancio, Adriano Marcio & Molinares, Fábio Alexander Fajardo & Bondon, Pascal & Ziegelmann, Flávio Augusto & Abraham, Bo, 2018. "Robust estimation of fractional seasonal processes: Modeling and forecasting daily average SO2 concentrations," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 27-43.
  49. Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.
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