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Testing Fractional Order of Long Memory Processes: A Monte Carlo Study

Author

Listed:
  • Laurent Ferrara

    (DGEI-DAMEP - Banque de France)

  • Dominique Guegan

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Zhiping Lu

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, ECNU - ECNU - East China Normal University [Shangaï])

Abstract

Testing the fractionally integrated order of seasonal and nonseasonal unit roots is quite important for the economic and financial time series modeling. In this article, the widely used Robinson's (1994) test is applied to various well-known long memory models. Via Monte Carlo experiments, we study and compare the performances of this test using several sample sizes.

Suggested Citation

  • Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu, 2010. "Testing Fractional Order of Long Memory Processes: A Monte Carlo Study," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00486655, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:pseptp:hal-00486655
    DOI: 10.1080/03610911003646381
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00486655
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Diongue, Abdou Kâ & Guégan, Dominique & Vignal, Bertrand, 2009. "Forecasting electricity spot market prices with a k-factor GIGARCH process," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(4), pages 505-510, April.
    2. Ray, Bonnie K., 1993. "Long-range forecasting of IBM product revenues using a seasonal fractionally differenced ARMA model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 255-269, August.
    3. Ferrara, Laurent & Guegan, Dominique, 2001. "Forecasting with k-Factor Gegenbauer Processes: Theory and Applications," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(8), pages 581-601, December.
    4. Josu Arteche & Peter M. Robinson, 2000. "Semiparametric Inference in Seasonal and Cyclical Long Memory Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(1), pages 1-25, January.
    5. Franses, Philip Hans & Ooms, Marius, 1997. "A periodic long-memory model for quarterly UK inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 117-126, March.
    6. C. W. J. Granger & Roselyne Joyeux, 1980. "An Introduction To Long‐Memory Time Series Models And Fractional Differencing," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 1(1), pages 15-29, January.
    7. Vivien Guiraud & Michel Terraza & Olivier Darné, 2004. "Forecasts of the seasonal fractional integrated series," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 1-17.
    8. Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim & Mikkelsen, Hans Ole, 1996. "Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 3-30, September.
    9. Arteche, Josu & Robinson, Peter M., 1998. "Seasonal and cyclical long memory," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2241, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Wayne A. Woodward & Q. C. Cheng & H. L. Gray, 1998. "A k‐Factor GARMA Long‐memory Model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(4), pages 485-504, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dominique Guegan & Zhiping Lu, 2010. "Testing unit roots and long range dependence of foreign exchange," Post-Print halshs-00505117, HAL.
    2. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Post-Print halshs-00283710, HAL.
    3. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(29), pages 1-10.
    4. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:3:y:2008:i:29:p:1-10 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Post-Print halshs-00277379, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Long memory processes; test; Monte Carlo simulations; Processus de longue mémoire; simulation de Monte Carlo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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