Robust estimation of fractional seasonal processes: Modeling and forecasting daily average SO2 concentrations
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2017.10.004
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Philip Hans Franses & Marius Ooms & Charles S. Bos, 1999.
"Long memory and level shifts: Re-analyzing inflation rates,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 427-449.
- Charles S. Bos & Philip Hans Franses & Marius Ooms, 1998. "Long Memory and Level Shifts: Re-Analyzing Inflation Rates," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 98-039/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Ooms, M. & Bos, C.S., 1998. "Long memory and level shifts: re-analysing inflation rates," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 9811, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Henghsiu Tsai & Heiko Rachinger & Edward M.H. Lin, 2015. "Inference of Seasonal Long-memory Time Series with Measurement Error," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(1), pages 137-154, March.
- Jussi Tolvi, 2003. "Long memory and outliers in stock market returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(7), pages 495-502.
- Chan, Wai-sum, 1995. "Outliers and financial time series modelling: A cautionary note," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 425-430.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 1995. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 253-263, July.
- Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano, 1994. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," NBER Technical Working Papers 0169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Velasco, Carlos, 2000. "Non-Gaussian Log-Periodogram Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(1), pages 44-79, February.
- Reisen, Valderio Anselmo & Rodrigues, Alexandre L. & Palma, Wilfredo, 2006. "Estimation of seasonal fractionally integrated processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 568-582, January.
- Ray, Bonnie K., 1993. "Long-range forecasting of IBM product revenues using a seasonal fractionally differenced ARMA model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 255-269, August.
- Ye, Xunyu & Gao, Ping & Li, Handong, 2015. "Improving estimation of the fractionally differencing parameter in the SARFIMA model using tapered periodogram," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 167-179.
- Reisen, Valdério A. & Zamprogno, Bartolomeu & Palma, Wilfredo & Arteche, Josu, 2014. "A semiparametric approach to estimate two seasonal fractional parameters in the SARFIMA model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-17.
- Sarnaglia, A.J.Q. & Reisen, V.A. & Lévy-Leduc, C., 2010. "Robust estimation of periodic autoregressive processes in the presence of additive outliers," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(9), pages 2168-2183, October.
- Wilfredo Palma & Ngai Hang Chan, 2005. "Efficient Estimation of Seasonal Long‐Range‐Dependent Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(6), pages 863-892, November.
- Barbara Olbermann & Sílvia Lopes & Valdério Reisen, 2006. "Invariance of the first difference in ARFIMA models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 445-461, December.
- Lobato, I. & Robinson, P. M., 1996. "Averaged periodogram estimation of long memory," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 303-324, July.
- Céline Lévy‐Leduc & Hélène Boistard & Eric Moulines & Murad S. Taqqu & Valderio A. Reisen, 2011. "Robust estimation of the scale and of the autocovariance function of Gaussian short‐ and long‐range dependent processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 135-156, March.
- Iglesias, Pilar & Jorquera, Hector & Palma, Wilfredo, 2006. "Data analysis using regression models with missing observations and long-memory: an application study," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(8), pages 2028-2043, April.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Ana Pérez & Esther Ruiz, 2002.
"Modelos de memoria larga para series económicas y financieras,"
Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 26(3), pages 395-445, September.
- Pérez, Ana, 2001. "Modelos de memoria larga para series económicas y financieras," DES - Documentos de Trabajo. EstadÃstica y EconometrÃa. DS ds010101, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Reisen, Valdério A. & Zamprogno, Bartolomeu & Palma, Wilfredo & Arteche, Josu, 2014. "A semiparametric approach to estimate two seasonal fractional parameters in the SARFIMA model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-17.
- Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Modeling US historical time-series prices and inflation using alternative long-memory approaches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1491-1511, April.
- Ye, Xunyu & Gao, Ping & Li, Handong, 2015. "Improving estimation of the fractionally differencing parameter in the SARFIMA model using tapered periodogram," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 167-179.
- Henghsiu Tsai & Heiko Rachinger & Edward M.H. Lin, 2015. "Inference of Seasonal Long-memory Time Series with Measurement Error," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(1), pages 137-154, March.
- Asai, Manabu & Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael, 2017.
"Realized stochastic volatility with general asymmetry and long memory,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 199(2), pages 202-212.
- Asai, M. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility with General Asymmetry and Long Memory," Econometric Institute Research Papers TI 2017-038/III, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility with General Asymmetry and Long Memory," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-038/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Carlos Barros & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana, 2014.
"Long Memory in Angolan Macroeconomic Series: Mean Reversion versus Explosive Behaviour,"
African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 26(1), pages 59-73.
- Carlos P. Barros & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2014. "Long Memory in Angolan Macroeconomic Series: Mean Reversion versus Explosive Behaviour," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 26(1), pages 59-73, March.
- Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña & Carlos Pestana Barros & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2014. "Long memory in Angolan macroeconomic series: mean reversion versus explosive behaviour," NCID Working Papers 01/2014, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Juncal Cuñado & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2013.
"Modelling long-run trends and cycles in financial time series data,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 405-421, May.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2008. "Modelling Long-Run Trends and Cycles in Financial Time Series Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 2330, CESifo.
- Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cuñado & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2012. "Modelling Long Run Trends and Cycles in Financial Time Series Data," Faculty Working Papers 13/12, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Boubaker Heni & Canarella Giorgio & Gupta Rangan & Miller Stephen M., 2021.
"Long-memory modeling and forecasting: evidence from the U.S. historical series of inflation,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(5), pages 289-310, December.
- Heni Boubaker & Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "Long-Memory Modeling and Forecasting: Evidence from the U.S. Historical Series of Inflation," Working Papers 201869, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christopher F. Baum & John Barkoulas, 2006.
"Long-memory forecasting of US monetary indices,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 291-302.
- John Barkoulas & Christopher F. Baum, 2003. "Long-Memory Forecasting of U.S. Monetary Indices," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 558, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Voges, Michelle & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2021. "Cyclical fractional cointegration," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 114-129.
- Dufrenot, Gilles & Guegan, Dominique & Peguin-Feissolle, Anne, 2005.
"Long-memory dynamics in a SETAR model - applications to stock markets,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 391-406, December.
- Gilles Dufrénot & Dominique Guegan & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2005. "Long-memory dynamics in a SETAR model - Applications to stock markets," Post-Print halshs-00179339, HAL.
- Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2008.
"Tourism in the Canary Islands: forecasting using several seasonal time series models,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 621-636.
- Juncal Cuñado & Luis A. Gil-Alaña, 2007. "Tourism in the Canary Islands: Forecasting Using Several Seasonal Time Series Models," Faculty Working Papers 02/07, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Boutahar, Mohamed & Mootamri, Imène & Péguin-Feissolle, Anne, 2009.
"A fractionally integrated exponential STAR model applied to the US real effective exchange rate,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 335-341, March.
- Mohamed Boutahar & Imene Mootamri & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2008. "A fractionally integrated exponential STAR model applied to the US real effective exchange rate," Working Papers halshs-00340831, HAL.
- Imene Mootamri & Mohamed Boutahar & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2008. "A fractionally integrated exponential STAR model applied to the US real effective exchange rate," Post-Print halshs-00390134, HAL.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil‐Alana, 2014.
"Long‐Run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 147-161, March.
- L.A. Gil-Alana & G.M. caporale, 2004. "Long-run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 344, Econometric Society.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2005. "Long Run And Cyclical Dynamics In The Us Stock Market," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 05-09, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2007. "Long Run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 2046, CESifo.
- Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2004. "Long-run and Cyclical Dynamics in the US Stock Market," Economics Series 155, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael & Peiris, Shelton, 2020.
"Realized stochastic volatility models with generalized Gegenbauer long memory,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 42-54.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J. & Peiris, S., 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2017-29, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Shelton Peiris & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2017-26, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Shelton Peiris, 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-105/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Reisen Valderio A & Cribari-Neto Francisco & Jensen Mark J, 2003. "Long Memory Inflationary Dynamics: The Case of Brazil," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, October.
- Nasr, Adnen Ben & Lux, Thomas & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Gupta, Rangan, 2016.
"Forecasting the volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Stock Market Index: Long memory vs. regime switching,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 559-571.
- Nasr, Adnen Ben & Lux, Thomas & Ajm, Ahdi Noomen & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of the dow jones islamic stock market index: Long memory vs. regime switching," Economics Working Papers 2014-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Ben Nasr, Adnen & Lux, Thomas & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Gupta, Rangan, 2014. "Forecasting the Volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Stock Market Index: Long Memory vs. Regime Switching," FinMaP-Working Papers 2, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Adnen Ben Nasr & Thomas Lux & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting the Volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Stock Market Index: Long Memory vs. Regime Switching," Working Papers 201412, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Adnen Ben Nasr & Thomas Lux & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting the Volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Stock Market Index: Long Memory vs. Regime Switching," Working Papers 2014-236, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guégan, 2008.
"Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(29), pages 1-10.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00283710, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00283710, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00277379, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Business surveys modelling with seasonal-cyclical long memory models," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08035, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
- Ferrara, L. & Guégan, D., 2008. "Business surveys modelling with Seasonal-Cyclical Long Memory models," Working papers 224, Banque de France.
- Li, Ming & Zhang, Peidong & Leng, Jianxing, 2016. "Improving autocorrelation regression for the Hurst parameter estimation of long-range dependent time series based on golden section search," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 445(C), pages 189-199.
More about this item
Keywords
Forecasting; Robust periodogram; Outliers; SO2 pollutant; Long-memory;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:146:y:2018:i:c:p:27-43. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/mathematics-and-computers-in-simulation/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.