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Risks, revenues and investment in electricity generation: Why policy needs to look beyond costs

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  1. Sen, Souvik & Ganguly, Sourav, 2017. "Opportunities, barriers and issues with renewable energy development – A discussion," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1170-1181.
  2. Ofori, Charles Gyamfi & Bokpin, Godfred Alufar & Aboagye, Anthony Q.Q. & Afful-Dadzie, Anthony, 2021. "A real options approach to investment timing decisions in utility-scale renewable energy in Ghana," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
  3. Heptonstall, Philip & Gross, Robert & Greenacre, Philip & Cockerill, Tim, 2012. "The cost of offshore wind: Understanding the past and projecting the future," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 815-821.
  4. Ganhammar, Kajsa, 2021. "The effect of regulatory uncertainty in green certificate markets: Evidence from the Swedish-Norwegian market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  5. Scholtens, Bert & Veldhuis, Rineke, 2015. "How does the development of the financial industry advance renewable energy? A panel regression study of 198 countries over three decades," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113114, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  6. Compernolle, Tine & Welkenhuysen, Kris & Petitclerc, Estelle & Maes, Dries & Piessens, Kris, 2019. "The impact of policy measures on profitability and risk in geothermal energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  7. Bergek, Anna & Mignon, Ingrid & Sundberg, Gunnel, 2013. "Who invests in renewable electricity production? Empirical evidence and suggestions for further research," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 568-581.
  8. Chignell, Simon & Gross, Robert J.K., 2013. "Not locked-in? The overlooked impact of new gas-fired generation investment on long-term decarbonisation in the UK," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 699-705.
  9. Marc Baudry & Clément Bonnet, 2016. "Demand pull isntruments and the development of wind power in Europe: A counter-factual analysis," Working Papers 1607, Chaire Economie du climat.
  10. Mahler, Valentin & Girard, Robin & Kariniotakis, Georges, 2022. "Data-driven structural modeling of electricity price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  11. Corrado Di Maria & Ian A. Lange & Emiliya Lazarova, 2014. "A Look Upstream: Electricity Market Restructuring, Risk, Procurement Contracts and Efficiency," CESifo Working Paper Series 5124, CESifo.
  12. Karneyeva, Yuliya & Wüstenhagen, Rolf, 2017. "Solar feed-in tariffs in a post-grid parity world: The role of risk, investor diversity and business models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 445-456.
  13. Lena Kitzing & Christoph Weber, "undated". "Support mechanisms for renewables: How risk exposure influences investment incentives," EWL Working Papers 1403, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Aug 2014.
  14. Yao, Xing & Fan, Ying & Zhu, Lei & Zhang, Xian, 2020. "Optimization of dynamic incentive for the deployment of carbon dioxide removal technology: A nonlinear dynamic approach combined with real options," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  15. Mahmoud A. Eissa & Boping Tian, 2017. "Lobatto-Milstein Numerical Method in Application of Uncertainty Investment of Solar Power Projects," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-19, January.
  16. Zappa, William & Junginger, Martin & van den Broek, Machteld, 2021. "Can liberalised electricity markets support decarbonised portfolios in line with the Paris Agreement? A case study of Central Western Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  17. Yang, Chunmeng & Bu, Siqi & Fan, Yi & Wan, Wayne Xinwei & Wang, Ruoheng & Foley, Aoife, 2023. "Data-driven prediction and evaluation on future impact of energy transition policies in smart regions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 332(C).
  18. Michail Chronopoulos, Derek Bunn, and Afzal Siddiqui, 2014. "Optionality and Policymaking in Re-Transforming the British Power Market," Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
  19. Yang, Xiaolei & He, Lingyun & Xia, Yufei & Chen, Yufeng, 2019. "Effect of government subsidies on renewable energy investments: The threshold effect," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 156-166.
  20. Saskia Ellenbeck & Andreas Beneking & Andrzej Ceglarz & Peter Schmidt & Antonella Battaglini, 2015. "Security of Supply in European Electricity Markets—Determinants of Investment Decisions and the European Energy Union," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-19, June.
  21. Fadoua CHIBA, 2016. "Optimal taxation with intermittent generation," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2016-26, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
  22. Pahle, Michael & Fan, Lin & Schill, Wolf-Peter, 2011. "How emission certificate allocations distort fossil investments: The German example," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1975-1987, April.
  23. Angelopoulos, Dimitrios & Doukas, Haris & Psarras, John & Stamtsis, Giorgos, 2017. "Risk-based analysis and policy implications for renewable energy investments in Greece," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 512-523.
  24. Blanco, Herib & Gómez Vilchez, Jonatan J. & Nijs, Wouter & Thiel, Christian & Faaij, André, 2019. "Soft-linking of a behavioral model for transport with energy system cost optimization applied to hydrogen in EU," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  25. Thomas Poulsen & Charlotte Bay Hasager, 2016. "How Expensive Is Expensive Enough? Opportunities for Cost Reductions in Offshore Wind Energy Logistics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-23, June.
  26. Wolfgang Buchholz & Jonas Frank & Hans-Dieter Karl & Johannes Pfeiffer & Karen Pittel & Ursula Triebswetter & Jochen Habermann & Wolfgang Mauch & Thomas Staudacher, 2012. "Die Zukunft der Energiemärkte: Ökonomische Analyse und Bewertung von Potenzialen und Handlungsmöglichkeiten," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 57, July.
  27. Wüstenhagen, Rolf & Menichetti, Emanuela, 2012. "Strategic choices for renewable energy investment: Conceptual framework and opportunities for further research," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-10.
  28. Harris, Grant & Heptonstall, Phil & Gross, Robert & Handley, David, 2013. "Cost estimates for nuclear power in the UK," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 431-442.
  29. Hall, Lisa M.H. & Buckley, Alastair R., 2016. "A review of energy systems models in the UK: Prevalent usage and categorisation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 607-628.
  30. Vazquez, A. & Iglesias, G., 2016. "Capital costs in tidal stream energy projects – A spatial approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 215-226.
  31. Lüthi, Sonja & Wüstenhagen, Rolf, 2012. "The price of policy risk — Empirical insights from choice experiments with European photovoltaic project developers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1001-1011.
  32. Egli, Florian, 2020. "Renewable energy investment risk: An investigation of changes over time and the underlying drivers," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  33. Steggals, Will & Gross, Robert & Heptonstall, Philip, 2011. "Winds of change: How high wind penetrations will affect investment incentives in the GB electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1389-1396, March.
  34. Liebensteiner, Mario & Wrienz, Matthias, 2020. "Do Intermittent Renewables Threaten the Electricity Supply Security?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  35. Olatayo, Kunle Ibukun & Wichers, J. Harry & Stoker, Piet W., 2018. "Energy and economic performance of small wind energy systems under different climatic conditions of South Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 376-392.
  36. Fleance George Cocker, 2025. "Mixes of Policy Instruments for the Full Decarbonisation of Energy Systems: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(1), pages 1-64, January.
  37. Lawrence Haar, 2021. "Design Flaws in United Kingdom Renewable Energy Support Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-26, March.
  38. Luis M. Abadie & José M. Chamorro, 2014. "Valuation of Wind Energy Projects: A Real Options Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(5), pages 1-38, May.
  39. Pérez Odeh, Rodrigo & Watts, David & Negrete-Pincetic, Matías, 2018. "Portfolio applications in electricity markets review: Private investor and manager perspective trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 192-204.
  40. Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Anantharama, Nandini & Kallies, Anne, 2021. "Electricity market transitions in Australia: Evidence using model-based clustering," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  41. Di Cosmo, Valeria & Malaguzzi Valeri, Laura, 2014. "The incentive to invest in thermal plants in the presence of wind generation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 306-315.
  42. Jimenez, I. Sanchez & Ribó-Pérez, D. & Cvetkovic, M. & Kochems, J. & Schimeczek, C. & de Vries, L.J., 2024. "Can an energy only market enable resource adequacy in a decarbonized power system? A co-simulation with two agent-based-models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
  43. Amir Ali Safaei Pirooz & Mohammad J. Sanjari & Young-Jin Kim & Stuart Moore & Richard Turner & Wayne W. Weaver & Dipti Srinivasan & Josep M. Guerrero & Mohammad Shahidehpour, 2023. "Adaptation of High Spatio-Temporal Resolution Weather/Load Forecast in Real-World Distributed Energy-System Operation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-16, April.
  44. Mainali, Brijesh & Silveira, Semida, 2013. "Alternative pathways for providing access to electricity in developing countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 299-310.
  45. Di Maria, Corrado & Lange, Ian & Lazarova, Emiliya, 2018. "A look upstream: Market restructuring, risk, procurement contracts and efficiency," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 35-83.
  46. Niwagira Daniel & Juyoul Kim, 2022. "A Study on Integrating SMRs into Uganda’s Future Energy System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-21, August.
  47. Rydehell, Hanna & Lantz, Björn & Mignon, Ingrid & Lindahl, Johan, 2024. "The impact of solar PV subsidies on investment over time - the case of Sweden," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  48. Salas-Fumás, Vicente & Rosell-Martínez, Jorge & Delgado-Gómez, José Manuel, 2016. "Capacity, investment and market power in the economic value of energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 28-39.
  49. Valentin Mahler & Robin Girard & Georges Kariniotakis, 2021. "Data-driven Structural Modeling of Electricity Price Dynamics," Working Papers hal-03445396, HAL.
  50. Hickey, Conor & Deane, Paul & McInerney, Celine & Ó Gallachóir, Brian, 2019. "Is there a future for the gas network in a low carbon energy system?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 480-493.
  51. Fagiani, Riccardo & Barquín, Julián & Hakvoort, Rudi, 2013. "Risk-based assessment of the cost-efficiency and the effectivity of renewable energy support schemes: Certificate markets versus feed-in tariffs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 648-661.
  52. Marc Baudry & Clément Bonnet, 2019. "Demand-Pull Instruments and the Development of Wind Power in Europe: A Counterfactual Analysis," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 73(2), pages 385-429, June.
  53. Fagiani, Riccardo & Hakvoort, Rudi, 2014. "The role of regulatory uncertainty in certificate markets: A case study of the Swedish/Norwegian market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 608-618.
  54. Blyth, Will & Gross, Robert & Rickman, Jamie & MacIver, Callum & Bell, Keith, 2023. "Transition risk: Investment signals in a decarbonising electricity system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
  55. Weaver, Tyson, 2012. "Financial appraisal of operational offshore wind energy projects," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(7), pages 5110-5120.
  56. Xiaojia Guo & Alexandros Beskos & Afzal Siddiqui, 2016. "The natural hedge of a gas-fired power plant," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 63-86, January.
  57. de la Hoz, Jordi & Martín, Helena & Ballart, Jordi & Monjo, Lluis, 2014. "Evaluating the approach to reduce the overrun cost of grid connected PV systems for the Spanish electricity sector: Performance analysis of the period 2010–2012," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 159-173.
  58. Barsha Nibedita & Mohd Irfan, 2022. "Non-linear cointegration between wholesale electricity prices and electricity generation: an analysis of asymmetric effects," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 285-303, February.
  59. Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Modeling renewable energy company risk," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 39-48.
  60. Olatayo, Kunle Ibukun & Wichers, J. Harry & Stoker, Piet W., 2020. "The advanced and moderate-growth development paths for the viability and future growth of small wind energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  61. Jacques Percebois & Stanislas Pommeret, 2021. "What can be learned from the French partial nuclear shutdown of 2016?," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2021(1), pages 5-19.
  62. Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Thurner, Paul W. & Langer, Johannes & Küchenhoff, Helmut, 2017. "Energy paths in the European Union: A model-based clustering approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 442-457.
  63. Fagiani, Riccardo & Richstein, Jörn C. & Hakvoort, Rudi & De Vries, Laurens, 2014. "The dynamic impact of carbon reduction and renewable support policies on the electricity sector," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 28-41.
  64. Azhgaliyeva, Dina & Le, Hai & Olivares, Resi Ong & Tian, Shu, 2024. "Renewable energy investments and feed-in tariffs: Firm-level evidence from Southeast Asia11An earlier version of the paper was presented at CUE2023," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 374(C).
  65. Sithole, H. & Cockerill, T.T. & Hughes, K.J. & Ingham, D.B. & Ma, L. & Porter, R.T.J. & Pourkashanian, M., 2016. "Developing an optimal electricity generation mix for the UK 2050 future," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 363-373.
  66. Grashof, Katherina, 2019. "Are auctions likely to deter community wind projects? And would this be problematic?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 20-32.
  67. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2018. "State-of-the-art generation expansion planning: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 563-589.
  68. Reboredo, Juan C. & Wen, Xiaoqian, 2015. "Are China’s new energy stock prices driven by new energy policies?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 624-636.
  69. Kitzing, Lena, 2014. "Risk implications of renewable support instruments: Comparative analysis of feed-in tariffs and premiums using a mean–variance approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 495-505.
  70. Kitzing, Lena & Juul, Nina & Drud, Michael & Boomsma, Trine Krogh, 2017. "A real options approach to analyse wind energy investments under different support schemes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 83-96.
  71. Tietjen, Oliver & Pahle, Michael & Fuss, Sabine, 2016. "Investment risks in power generation: A comparison of fossil fuel and renewable energy dominated markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 174-185.
  72. Nicola Comincioli & Mattia Guerini & Sergio Vergalli, 2024. "Carbon Taxation and Electricity Price Dynamics: Empirical Evidence from the Australian Market," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(12), pages 3131-3161, December.
  73. Janne Kettunen, Derek W. Bunn and William Blyth & Derek W. Bunn & William Blyth, 2011. "Investment Propensities under Carbon Policy Uncertainty," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 77-118.
  74. Ilka Deluque & Ekundayo Shittu & Jonathan Deason, 2018. "Evaluating the reliability of efficient energy technology portfolios," EURO Journal on Decision Processes, Springer;EURO - The Association of European Operational Research Societies, vol. 6(1), pages 115-138, June.
  75. Ronan Bolton & Timothy J Foxon & Stephen Hall, 2016. "Energy transitions and uncertainty: Creating low carbon investment opportunities in the UK electricity sector," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 34(8), pages 1387-1403, December.
  76. Pérez Odeh, Rodrigo & Watts, David & Flores, Yarela, 2018. "Planning in a changing environment: Applications of portfolio optimisation to deal with risk in the electricity sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3808-3823.
  77. Thomas Poulsen & Charlotte Bay Hasager & Christian Munk Jensen, 2017. "The Role of Logistics in Practical Levelized Cost of Energy Reduction Implementation and Government Sponsored Cost Reduction Studies: Day and Night in Offshore Wind Operations and Maintenance Logistic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-28, April.
  78. Trutnevyte, Evelina, 2016. "Does cost optimization approximate the real-world energy transition?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 182-193.
  79. de la Hoz, Jordi & Martín, Helena & Ballart, Jordi & Córcoles, Felipe & Graells, Moisès, 2013. "Evaluating the new control structure for the promotion of grid connected photovoltaic systems in Spain: Performance analysis of the period 2008–2010," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 541-554.
  80. Pineda, Salvador & Boomsma, Trine K. & Wogrin, Sonja, 2018. "Renewable generation expansion under different support schemes: A stochastic equilibrium approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(3), pages 1086-1099.
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