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Trend estimation and de-trending via rational square-wave filters

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Cited by:

  1. Ard den Reijer, 2006. "The Dutch business cycle: which indicators should we monitor?," DNB Working Papers 100, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  2. Lars-H. R. Siemers, 2024. "On the Hamilton-HP Filter Controversy: Evidence from German Business Cycles," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202421, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  3. Johannes W. Fedderke & Daniel K. Mengisteab, 2017. "Estimating South Africa's Output Gap and Potential Growth Rate," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 85(2), pages 161-177, June.
  4. José Eduardo Gómez G. & Jair Ojeda Joya & Fernando Tenjo Galarza & Héctor Manuel Zárate Solano, 2013. "The Interdependence between Credit and Real Business Cycles in Latin American Economies," Borradores de Economia 768, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  5. Blöchl, Andreas, 2014. "Penalized Splines as Frequency Selective Filters - Reducing the Excess Variability at the Margins," Discussion Papers in Economics 20687, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  6. Marcel Schroder, 2013. "Should developing countries undervalue their currencies?," Departmental Working Papers 2013-12, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
  7. Dimitrios D. Thomakos, 2008. "Optimal Linear Filtering, Smoothing and Trend Extraction for Processes with Unit Roots and Cointegration," Working Paper series 14_08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  8. Terence Mills, 2007. "A Note on Trend Decomposition: The 'Classical' Approach Revisited with an Application to Surface Temperature Trends," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(8), pages 963-972.
  9. McElroy, Tucker & Sutcliffe, Andrew, 2006. "An iterated parametric approach to nonstationary signal extraction," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2206-2231, May.
  10. Tommaso Proietti, 2009. "On the Model-Based Interpretation of Filters and the Reliability of Trend-Cycle Estimates," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1-3), pages 186-208.
  11. Sabaj, Ernil, 2018. "Cyclical Behavior of Fiscal Policy in the Western Balkans," MPRA Paper 84279, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  12. Kose, M. Ayhan & Kurlat, Sergio & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2022. "A cross-country database of fiscal space," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  13. David Shepherd & Rebeca I. Muñoz Torres & George Saridakis, 2019. "Monetary policy rules with PID control features: evidence from the UK, USA and EU," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(6), pages 737-755, November.
  14. Johannes W. Fedderke, 2020. "Is the Phillips curve framework still useful for understanding inflation dynamics in South Africa," Working Papers 10142, South African Reserve Bank.
  15. Pollock, D.S.G., 2006. "Introduction to the special issue on statistical signal extraction and filtering," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2137-2145, May.
  16. Van Norden, Simon, 2004. "Filtres pour l’analyse courante," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 80(2), pages 523-546, Juin-Sept.
  17. Luca Benati, 2001. "Band-pass filtering, cointegration, and business cycle analysis," Bank of England working papers 142, Bank of England.
  18. Proietti, Tommaso, 2007. "Signal extraction and filtering by linear semiparametric methods," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 935-958, October.
  19. Iryna Sotnyk & Tetiana Kurbatova & Oleksandr Kubatko & Olha Prokopenko & Gunnar Prause & Yevhen Kovalenko & Galyna Trypolska & Uliana Pysmenna, 2021. "Energy Security Assessment of Emerging Economies under Global and Local Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-20, September.
  20. Qing Pei & David D Zhang & Harry F Lee & Guodong Li, 2014. "Climate Change and Macro-Economic Cycles in Pre-Industrial Europe," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(2), pages 1-8, February.
  21. Priyadarshi Dash, 2017. "Predicting Financial Crises: A Study of Asian Economies," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(5), pages 1262-1277, October.
  22. André Nunes Maranhão, 2024. "Brazilian Business Cycle Analysis in a High-Dimensional and Time-Irregular Span Context," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(1), pages 1-58, August.
  23. Pollock Stephen D.S.G., 2009. "Statistical Fourier Analysis: Clarifications and Interpretations," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-49, April.
  24. Panayotis G. Michaelides & Efthymios G. Tsionas & Angelos T. Vouldis & Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panagiotis Patrinos, 2018. "A Semi-Parametric Non-linear Neural Network Filter: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(3), pages 637-675, March.
  25. Lechman, Ewa & Dominiak, Piotr, 2016. "Entrepreneurship vulnerability to business cycle. A new methodology for identification pro-cyclical and counter-cyclical patterns of entrepreneurial activity," MPRA Paper 68793, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  26. Claudio E. V. Borio & Andrew Filardo, 2007. "Globalisation and inflation: New cross-country evidence on the global determinants of domestic inflation," BIS Working Papers 227, Bank for International Settlements.
  27. Pollock, D.S.G., 2006. "Econometric methods of signal extraction," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2268-2292, May.
  28. repec:ers:journl:v:xxiv:y:2021:i:special1:p:875-890 is not listed on IDEAS
  29. Nibbering, Didier & Paap, Richard & van der Wel, Michel, 2018. "What do professional forecasters actually predict?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 288-311.
  30. D. S. G. Pollock, 2002. "A review of TSW: the Windows version of the TRAMO-SEATS program," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 291-299.
  31. Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2014. "Is there any relationship between the rates of interest and profit in the U.S. economy?," Studies in Economics 1416, School of Economics, University of Kent.
  32. Tadeusz Kufel, 2021. "Covid-19 Pandemic Lockdown vs. Business Cycle Clock Registration of New Passenger Cars in European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 875-890.
  33. D. S. G. Pollock, 2016. "Econometric Filters," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 48(4), pages 669-691, December.
  34. Andrew Phiri, 2014. "Nonlinear Co-Integration Between Unemployment and Economic Growth in South Africa," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 12(4 (Winter), pages 303-324.
  35. Pollock, D. S. G., 2003. "Recursive estimation in econometrics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 37-75, October.
  36. Siliverstovs Boriss, 2013. "Dating Business Cycles in Historical Perspective: Evidence for Switzerland," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 233(5-6), pages 661-679, October.
  37. Pinilla Barrera, Alejandro & Hurtado Rendón, Álvaro & Velásquez Ceballos, Hermilson, 2024. "Variation Index of the Output Gap (VIOG): A New Way of Testing Potential GDP Estimations," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 2, Universidad EAFIT.
  38. Combey, Adama, 2014. "Le Policy mix de la zone UEMOA garantit-il la Stabilité Intérieure et la Croissance ? [Does the WAEMU Zone Policy mix Guarantees Internal Stability and growth?]," MPRA Paper 54064, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  39. Kaiser, Regina & Maravall, Agustin, 2005. "Combining filter design with model-based filtering (with an application to business-cycle estimation)," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 691-710.
  40. Anelí Bongers & José L. Torres & Jesús Rodríguez, 2010. "Caracterización del ciclo económico en Andalucía 1980 - 2008," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2010/08, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
  41. Vadim Kufenko, 2020. "Hide-and-Seek with time-series filters: a model-based Monte Carlo study," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2335-2361, November.
  42. Tommaso Proietti, 2012. "Seasonality, Forecast Extensions And Business Cycle Uncertainty," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 555-569, September.
  43. Ishita Ghoshal, 2022. "Cost-Push and Demand-Pull Inflation in India ? A Frequency Domain Analysis," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 13015641, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
  44. Godolphin, E.J. & Triantafyllopoulos, Kostas, 2006. "Decomposition of time series models in state-space form," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2232-2246, May.
  45. Túlio Cravo, 2011. "Are Small Firms more cyclically Sensitive than Large Ones? National, Regional and Sectoral Evidence from Brazil," ERSA conference papers ersa10p507, European Regional Science Association.
  46. Vitor Castro & Boris Fisera, 2022. "Determinants of the Duration of Economic Recoveries: The Role of ´Too Much Finance´," Working Papers IES 2022/33, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2022.
  47. Simon van Norden, 2002. "Filtering for Current Analysis," Staff Working Papers 02-28, Bank of Canada.
  48. Lukáš Kučera, 2014. "Investment of Czech Institutional Sectors in the Business Cycle," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(1), pages 41-61.
  49. Phuong Nguyen-Hoang, 2015. "Volatile earmarked revenues and state highway expenditures in the United States," Transportation, Springer, vol. 42(2), pages 237-256, March.
  50. Kristian Jönsson, 2020. "Cyclical Dynamics and Trend/Cycle Definitions: Comparing the HP and Hamilton Filters," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 151-162, November.
  51. D. Stephen G. Pollock, 2021. "Enhanced Methods of Seasonal Adjustment," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
  52. Stephen Pollock, 2001. "Signal Extraction, Maximum Likelihood Estimation and the Start-up Problem," Working Papers 433, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  53. Thornton, Michael A., 2013. "Removing seasonality under a changing regime: Filtering new car sales," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 4-14.
  54. Schröder, Marcel, 2013. "Should developing countries undervalue their currencies?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 140-151.
  55. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty and the U.S. economic cycle," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
  56. Stephen Pollock, 2005. "Econometric Methods of Signal Extraction," Working Papers 530, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  57. Pollock, D. S. G., 2003. "Recursive estimation in econometrics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 37-75, October.
  58. Lukáš Kučera & Karel Brůna, 2014. "Dynamika změny stavu zásob a její synchronizace s cyklem úspor a importu v české republice v letech 1999-2012 [A Dynamics of Inventories and Its Synchronization with a Cycle of Savings and Import i," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(5), pages 605-629.
  59. Iolanda Lo Cascio & Stephen Pollock, 2007. "Comparative Economic Cycles," Working Papers 599, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  60. Jorge E. Galán, 2019. "Measuring credit-to-gdp gaps. The hodrick-prescott filter revisited," Occasional Papers 1906, Banco de España.
  61. Stephen Pollock, 2001. "Signal Extraction, Maximum Likelihood Estimation and the Start-up Problem," Working Papers 433, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  62. Zhao, Shan & Wei, G. W., 2003. "Jump process for the trend estimation of time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(1-2), pages 219-241, February.
  63. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2019. "“Sakura” has not grown in a day: infrastructure investment and economic growth in Japan under different tax regimes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 541-567, August.
  64. Phiri, Andrew, 2014. "Re-evaluating Okun's law in South Africa: A nonlinear co-integration approach," MPRA Paper 57398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  65. Crafts, Nicholas & Mills, Terence C., 2004. "Was 19th century British growth steam-powered?: the climacteric revisited," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 156-171, April.
  66. Stephen Pollock, 2002. "Recursive Estimation in Econometrics," Working Papers 462, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  67. D.S.G. Pollock, 2009. "IDEOLOG: A Program for Filtering Econometric Data -- A Synopsis of Alternative Methods," EHUCHAPS, in: Ignacio Díaz-Emparanza & Petr Mariel & María Victoria Esteban (ed.), Econometrics with gretl. Proceedings of the gretl Conference 2009, edition 1, chapter 2, pages 15-44, Universidad del País Vasco - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
  68. Michal Andrle, 2013. "What Is in Your Output Gap? Unified Framework & Decomposition into Observables," IMF Working Papers 2013/105, International Monetary Fund.
  69. Iolanda Lo Cascio & Stephen Pollock, 2007. "Comparative Economic Cycles," Working Papers 599, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  70. D.S.G. Pollock, 2018. "The Manual for IDEOLOG.PAS. A Program for Filtering Econometric Data," Discussion Papers in Economics 19/09, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
  71. Sarah Lima & Marco Malgarini, 2016. "Does a Survey Based Capacity Utilization Measure Help Predicting Brazilian Output Gap in Real-Time?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(1), pages 119-139, September.
  72. Schröder, Marcel, 2017. "Mercantilism and China's hunger for international reserves," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 15-33.
  73. Lukáš Kučera, 2018. "Investice v transmisním mechanismu cílování inflace verifikace zdrojů variability investic v České republice [Investment in the Transmission Mechanism of Inflation Targeting - Verification of Sourc," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(2), pages 201-217.
  74. Terence C. Mills & David I. Harvey, 2003. "Modelling trends in central England temperatures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 35-47.
  75. Proietti, Tommaso, 2005. "New algorithms for dating the business cycle," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 477-498, April.
  76. D.S.G. Pollock, 2013. "Filtering macroeconomic data," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 5, pages 95-136, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  77. Huang, Ho-Chuan & Lin, Pei-Chien, 2016. "The trade effects of counter-cyclical fiscal policies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 82-95.
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