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Dynamika změny stavu zásob a její synchronizace s cyklem úspor a importu v české republice v letech 1999-2012
[A Dynamics of Inventories and Its Synchronization with a Cycle of Savings and Import in the Czech Republic in 1999-2012]

Author

Listed:
  • Lukáš Kučera
  • Karel Brůna

Abstract

The article deals with a problem of changes in inventories, its variability and its synchronization with changing savings and import in the Czech Republic in 1999-2012. In theoretical part both macroeconomic and microeconomic aspects of changes in inventories are discussed in the context of expected and unexpected demand shocks. In empirical part sources of GDP variability are analyzed using trend and cyclical data. Trend variability of changes in inventories is less important for trend GDP variability than in case of cyclical variability and vice versa for cyclical GDP and changes in inventories. Parameters of VAR model of cyclical changes in inventories, savings and import are also estimated. The results show that change in savings is a source of unexpected demand shock with impact on inventories. Reaction of import confirms that savings influence more domestic products consumption than imported products which are more driven by exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Lukáš Kučera & Karel Brůna, 2014. "Dynamika změny stavu zásob a její synchronizace s cyklem úspor a importu v české republice v letech 1999-2012 [A Dynamics of Inventories and Its Synchronization with a Cycle of Savings and Import i," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(5), pages 605-629.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2014:y:2014:i:5:id:972:p:605-629
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.972
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Nickel, Christiane, 2008. "Fiscal policies, the current account and Ricardian equivalence," Working Paper Series 935, European Central Bank.
    2. Eichenbaum, Martin, 1989. "Some Empirical Evidence on the Production Level and Production Cost Smoothing Models of Inventory Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 853-864, September.
    3. Terry J. Fitzgerald, 1997. "Inventories and the business cycle: an overview," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Q III, pages 11-22.
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    6. Martin Mandel & Vladimír Tomšík, 2008. "External Balance in a Transition Economy: The Role of Foreign Direct Investments," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 5-26, July.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    savings; GDP; import; variability; inventories; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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