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Bayesian Model Averaging and exchange rate forecasts
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Cited by:
- Jäckel, Christoph, 2013. "Model uncertainty and expected return proxies," MPRA Paper 51978, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2013.
"Advances in Forecasting under Instability,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324,
Elsevier.
- Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers 11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Aye, Goodness & Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong, 2015.
"Forecasting the price of gold using dynamic model averaging,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 257-266.
- Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim, 2014. "Forecasting the Price of Gold Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 201415, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rockey, James & Temple, Jonathan, 2016.
"Growth econometrics for agnostics and true believers,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 86-102.
- Temple, Jonathan & Rockey, James, 2015. "Growth Econometrics for Agnostics and True Believers," CEPR Discussion Papers 10590, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- James Rockey & Jonathan Temple, 2015. "Growth Econometrics for Agnostics and True Believers," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 15/656, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
- Ghysels, Eric & Ozkan, Nazire, 2015. "Real-time forecasting of the US federal government budget: A simple mixed frequency data regression approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1009-1020.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013.
"Exchange Rate Predictability,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1063-1119, December.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 690, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers 9575, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange rate predictability," Economics Working Papers 1369, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Luis Fernando Melo & Rubén Albeiro Loaiza Maya, 2012.
"Bayesian Forecast Combination for Inflation Using Rolling Windows: An Emerging Country Case,"
Borradores de Economia
705, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Luis Fernando Melo & Rubén Albeiro Loaiza Maya, 2012. "Bayesian Forecast Combination for Inflation Using Rolling Windows: An Emerging Country Case," Borradores de Economia 9511, Banco de la Republica.
- Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2005. "How Useful is Bagging in Forecasting Economic Time Series? A Case Study of US CPI Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 5304, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Raheem, Ibrahim, 2020. "Global financial cycles and exchange rate forecast: A factor analysis," MPRA Paper 105358, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Behnamian, Mehdi & Shojaee, Abdul Nasser & Haji, Gholamali, 2021. "Investigating the Effective Factors in the Growth of Private Sector Investment in Iran," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 7(4), pages 84-57, February.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2013.
"Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 240-251, April.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2010. "Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?," Working Paper series 42_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos & Elena Andreou, 2012. "Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?," 2012 Meeting Papers 1196, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2010. "Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 09-2010, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Wu, Jyh-Lin & Wang, Yi-Chiuan, 2013. "Fundamentals, forecast combinations and nominal exchange-rate predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 129-145.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2020.
"Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 168-186, March.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Working Papers in Economics 2018-8, University of Salzburg.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 276, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp276, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Papers 1811.08818, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
- Hasan, Iftekhar & Horvath, Roman & Mares, Jan, 2020.
"Finance and wealth inequality,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Iftekhar Hasan & Roman Horvath & Jan Mares, 2018. "Finance and Wealth Inequality," Working Papers 378, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).
- Iftekhar Hasan & Roman Horvath & Jan Mares, 2018. "Finance and Wealth Inequality," Working Papers IES 2018/35, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2018.
- Buncic, Daniel & Piras, Gion Donat, 2016.
"Heterogeneous agents, the financial crisis and exchange rate predictability,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 313-359.
- Buncic, Daniel & Piras, Gion Donat, 2014. "Heterogeneous Agents, the Financial Crisis and Exchange Rate Predictability," Economics Working Paper Series 1436, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised Oct 2015.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-24, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013.
"Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 148-150.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-80, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Bayesian forecasting with highly correlated predictors," Working Papers 2012_12, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Bayesian Forecasting with Highly Correlated Predictors," Working Paper series 67_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- P. A. Nazarov & Kazakova, Maria, 2014. "Theoretical Basis of Prediction of Main Budget Parameters of Country," Published Papers r90221, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017.
"The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 296-316.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2016. "The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts," Ruhr Economic Papers 637, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Pablo Pincheira, 2012. "Are Forecast Combinations Efficient?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 661, Central Bank of Chile.
- Abe, Ryosuke & Kato, Hironori, 2017. "What led to the establishment of a rail-oriented city? Determinants of urban rail supply in Tokyo, Japan, 1950–2010," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 72-79.
- Kapetanios, George & Labhard, Vincent & Price, Simon, 2008.
"Forecasting Using Bayesian and Information-Theoretic Model Averaging: An Application to U.K. Inflation,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 33-41, January.
- George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard & Simon Price, 2005. "Forecasting using Bayesian and information theoretic model averaging: an application to UK inflation," Bank of England working papers 268, Bank of England.
- Kapetanios, G. & Labhard, V. & Price, S., 2007. "Forecasting using Bayesian and information theoretic model averaging: an application to UK inflation," Working Papers 07/15, Department of Economics, City University London.
- George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard & Simon Price, 2006. "Forecasting using Bayesian and Information Theoretic Model Averaging: An Application to UK Inflation," Working Papers 566, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Ruipeng Liu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do Bivariate Multifractal Models Improve Volatility Forecasting in Financial Time Series? An Application to Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets," Working Papers 201728, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Melo, Luis F. & Loaiza, Rubén A. & Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio, 2016.
"Bayesian combination for inflation forecasts: The effects of a prior based on central banks’ estimates,"
Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 387-397.
- Luis F. Melo Velandia & Rubén A. Loaiza Maya & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2014. "Bayesian Combination for Inflation Forecasts: The Effects of a Prior Based on Central Banks’ Estimates," Borradores de Economia 12323, Banco de la Republica.
- Melo-Velandia, Luis Fernando & Loaiza, Rubén & Villamizar-Villegas, Mauricio, 2019. "Bayesian Combination for Inflation Forecasts: The Effects of a Prior Based on Central Banks’ Estimates," Working papers 8, Red Investigadores de Economía.
- Luis F. Melo Velandia & Rubén A. Loaiza Maya & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2014. "Bayesian Combination for Inflation Forecasts: The Effects of a Prior Based on Central Banks’ Estimates," Borradores de Economia 853, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them,"
Working Papers
1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them," Economics Working Papers 1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Chen, Yi-Ting & Liu, Chu-An, 2023.
"Model averaging for asymptotically optimal combined forecasts,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 592-607.
- Yi-Ting Chen & Chu-An Liu, 2021. "Model Averaging for Asymptotically Optimal Combined Forecasts," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 21-A002, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
- Del Negro, Marco & Hasegawa, Raiden B. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2016.
"Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 391-405.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," NBER Working Papers 20575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive 14-034, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic prediction pools: an investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Staff Reports 695, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Hai Long Vo & Duc Hong Vo, 2023. "The purchasing power parity and exchange‐rate economics half a century on," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 446-479, April.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark E. Wohar, 2016.
"Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 229-250, April.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bastos, Guadalupe & García-Martos, Carolina, 2017. "Electricity prices forecasting by averaging dynamic factor models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 24028, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Charlotte Christiansen & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2012.
"A comprehensive look at financial volatility prediction by economic variables,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 956-977, September.
- Charlotte Christiansen & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2010. "A Comprehensive Look at Financial Volatility Prediction by Economic Variables," CREATES Research Papers 2010-58, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Charlotte Christiansen & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2012. "A Comprehensive Look at Financial Volatility Prediction by Economic Variables," BIS Working Papers 374, Bank for International Settlements.
- Brock, William A. & Durlauf, Steven N. & West, Kenneth D., 2007.
"Model uncertainty and policy evaluation: Some theory and empirics,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 629-664, February.
- William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf & Kenneth D. West, 2005. "Model uncertainty and policy evaluation: some theory and empirics," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf & Kenneth D. West, 2004. "Model Uncertainty and Policy Evaluation: Some Theory and Empirics," NBER Working Papers 10916, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Brock,W.A. & Durlauf,S.N. & West,K.D., 2004. "Model uncertainty and policy evaluation : some theory and empirics," Working papers 19, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
- Eicher, Theo S. & García-Peñalosa, Cecilia & Kuenzel, David J., 2018.
"Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 182-209.
- Theo S. Eicher & Cecilia García-Peñalosa & David J. Kuenzel, 2018. "Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2018-004, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
- Theo Eicher & Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa & David Kuenzel, 2018. "Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructure," Post-Print hal-01981017, HAL.
- Siemsen, Thomas & Vilsmeier, Johannes, 2017. "A stress test framework for the German residential mortgage market: Methodology and application," Discussion Papers 37/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Katrin Wölfel & Christoph S. Weber, 2017.
"Searching for the Fed’s reaction function,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 191-227, February.
- Katrin Woelfel & Christoph S. Weber, 2014. "Searching for the FED's Reaction Function," Working Papers 154, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
- Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2013.
"Adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 493-509.
- Leonardo Morales-Arias & Alexander Dross, 2010. "Adaptive Forecasting of Exchange Rates with Panel Data," Research Paper Series 285, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Nima Zarrabi & Stuart Snaith & Jerry Coakley, 2022. "Exchange rate forecasting using economic models and technical trading rules," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(10), pages 997-1018, July.
- Cheng, Xu & Hansen, Bruce E., 2015.
"Forecasting with factor-augmented regression: A frequentist model averaging approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 280-293.
- Xu Cheng & Bruce E. Hansen, 2012. "Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Regression: A Frequentist Model Averaging Approach," PIER Working Paper Archive 12-046, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Yang Zhao & Charalampos Stasinakis & Georgios Sermpinis & Filipa Da Silva Fernandes, 2019. "Revisiting Fama–French factors' predictability with Bayesian modelling and copula‐based portfolio optimization," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 1443-1463, October.
- Wang, Shengjie & Kang, Yanfei & Petropoulos, Fotios, 2024. "Combining probabilistic forecasts of intermittent demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(3), pages 1038-1048.
- Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2012. "The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 428-445.
- Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D., 2014.
"Forecasting China's foreign exchange reserves using dynamic model averaging: The roles of macroeconomic fundamentals, financial stress and economic uncertainty,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 170-189.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2013. "Forecasting China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Using Dynamic Model Averaging: The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Financial Stress and Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201338, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mr. Tamim Bayoumi & Mr. Andrew J Swiston, 2008. "Spillovers Across NAFTA," IMF Working Papers 2008/003, International Monetary Fund.
- Cameron Fen & Samir Undavia, 2022. "Improving Macroeconomic Model Validity and Forecasting Performance with Pooled Country Data using Structural, Reduced Form, and Neural Network Model," Papers 2203.06540, arXiv.org.
- Han Lin Shang, 2012. "Point and interval forecasts of age-specific life expectancies," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 27(21), pages 593-644.
- P. A. Nazarov & Kazakova, Maria, 2014. "Development of Prediction Model of Basic Budget Parameters in Russian Federation," Published Papers r90220, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
- Andrés M. Alonso & Guadalupe Bastos & Carolina García-Martos, 2016. "Electricity Price Forecasting by Averaging Dynamic Factor Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-21, July.
- Li, Gang & Li, Yong, 2015. "Forecasting copper futures volatility under model uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 167-176.
- Liao, Jun & Zou, Guohua, 2020. "Corrected Mallows criterion for model averaging," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Baele, Lieven & De Bruyckere, Valerie & De Jonghe, Olivier & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2015.
"Model uncertainty and systematic risk in US banking,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 49-66.
- Baele, L.T.M. & De Bruyckere, Valerie & De Jonghe, O.G. & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2015. "Model uncertainty and systematic risk in US banking," Other publications TiSEM 64ca79ee-d480-4d66-a8b6-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Mark F. J. Steel, 2020.
"Model Averaging and Its Use in Economics,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(3), pages 644-719, September.
- Steel, Mark F. J., 2017. "Model Averaging and its Use in Economics," MPRA Paper 81568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Steel, Mark F. J., 2017. "Model Averaging and its Use in Economics," MPRA Paper 90110, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2018.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L. & Arora, Vipin, 2020. "The relationship between oil prices and exchange rates: Revisiting theory and evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Wachter, Jessica A. & Warusawitharana, Missaka, 2015.
"What is the chance that the equity premium varies over time? Evidence from regressions on the dividend-price ratio,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 74-93.
- Jessica A. Wachter & Missaka Warusawitharana, 2011. "What is the Chance that the Equity Premium Varies over Time? Evidence from Regressions on the Dividend-Price Ratio," NBER Working Papers 17334, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hong, Han & Preston, Bruce, 2012.
"Bayesian averaging, prediction and nonnested model selection,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(2), pages 358-369.
- Han Hong & Bruce Preston, 2008. "Bayesian Averaging, Prediction and Nonnested Model Selection," NBER Working Papers 14284, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2017. "Selecting exchange rate fundamentals by bootstrap," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 894-914.
- Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
- Rodney W. Strachan & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2013.
"Evidence On Features Of A Dsge Business Cycle Model From Bayesian Model Averaging,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 54(1), pages 385-402, February.
- Rodney Strachan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Evidence on Features of a DSGE Business Cycle Model from Bayesian Model Averaging," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-025/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Joscha Beckmann & Rainer Schüssler, 2014. "Forecasting Exchange Rates under Model and Parameter Uncertainty," CQE Working Papers 3214, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- de Souza Vasconcelos, Camila & Hadad Júnior, Eli, 2023. "Forecasting exchange rate: A bibliometric and content analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 607-628.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
- Amat, Christophe & Michalski, Tomasz & Stoltz, Gilles, 2018.
"Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-24.
- Christophe Amat & Tomasz Michalski & Gilles Stoltz, 2018. "Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods," Working Papers halshs-01003914, HAL.
- Jorge Selaive & Vicente Tuesta, 2004.
"Can Fluctuations in the Consumption-Wealth Ratio Help to Predict Exchange Rates?,"
International Finance
0404014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jorge Selaive & Vicente Tuesta R, 2005. "Can Fluctuations in the Consumption-Wealth Ratio Help to Predict Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 2005-002, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Rumi Masih & A. Mansur M. Masih & Kilian Mie, 2010. "Model uncertainty and asset return predictability: an application of Bayesian model averaging," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(15), pages 1963-1972.
- Angela He & Alan Wan, 2009. "Predicting daily highs and lows of exchange rates: a cointegration analysis," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(11), pages 1191-1204.
- Siemsen, Thomas & Vilsmeier, Johannes, 2018. "On a quest for robustness: About model risk, randomness and discretion in credit risk stress tests," Discussion Papers 31/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Kapetanios, George & Labhard, Vincent & Price, Simon, 2006.
"Forecasting using predictive likelihood model averaging,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(3), pages 373-379, June.
- George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard & Simon Price, 2006. "Forecasting Using Predictive Likelihood Model Averaging," Working Papers 567, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Groen, Jan J.J. & Kapetanios, George, 2016.
"Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 221-239.
- Jan J.J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers 624, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Staff Reports 327, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Bernd Hayo & Britta Niehof, 2014.
"Analysis of Monetary Policy Responses After Financial Market Crises in a Continuous Time New Keynesian Model,"
MAGKS Papers on Economics
201421, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Niehof, Britta & Hayo, Bernd, 2014. "Analysis of Monetary Policy Responses after Financial Market Crises in a Continuous Time New Keynesian Model," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100410, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Forecasting in macroeconomics," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 17, pages 381-408, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Riane de Bruyn & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden, 2013. "Forecasting The Rand-Dollar And Rand-Pound Exchange Rates Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 201307, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Liu, Jing & Wei, Yu & Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M., 2017. "Forecasting the realized range-based volatility using dynamic model averaging approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 12-26.
- Samuels, Jon D. & Sekkel, Rodrigo M., 2017. "Model Confidence Sets and forecast combination," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 48-60.
- Kim, Hyun Hak & Swanson, Norman R., 2014.
"Forecasting financial and macroeconomic variables using data reduction methods: New empirical evidence,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 352-367.
- Huyn Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2011. "Forecasting Financial and Macroeconomic Variables Using Data Reduction Methods: New Empirical Evidence," Departmental Working Papers 201119, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Montgomery, Jacob M. & Hollenbach, Florian M. & Ward, Michael D., 2015. "Calibrating ensemble forecasting models with sparse data in the social sciences," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 930-942.
- Enrique Moral-Benito, 2010.
"Model Averaging in Economics,"
Working Papers
wp2010_1008, CEMFI.
- Moral-Benito, Enrique, 2010. "Model averaging in economics," MPRA Paper 26047, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Enrique Moral-Benito, 2011. "Model averaging in economics," Working Papers 1123, Banco de España.
- Sun, Shaolong & Wang, Shouyang & Wei, Yunjie, 2019. "A new multiscale decomposition ensemble approach for forecasting exchange rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 49-58.
- Chen Yu-Chin & Rogoff Kenneth, 2012.
"Are The Commodity Currencies An Exception To The Rule?,"
Global Journal of Economics (GJE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 1-28.
- Yu-chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff, 2006. "Are the Commodity Currencies an Exception to the Rule?," Working Papers UWEC-2006-28, University of Washington, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2012.
- Conrad, Christian, 2017. "When does information on forecast variance improve the performance of a combined forecast?," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168200, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Aristidou, Chrystalleni & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder, 2022. "Fundamentals, regimes and exchange rate forecasts: Insights from a meta exchange rate model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Kapetanios, George & Labhard, Vincent & Price, Simon, 2008.
"Forecast combination and the Bank of England's suite of statistical forecasting models,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 772-792, July.
- George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard & Simon Price, 2007. "Forecast combination and the Bank of England’s suite of statistical forecasting models," Bank of England working papers 323, Bank of England.
- Jing Zeng, 2015. "Combining Country-Specific Forecasts when Forecasting Euro Area Macroeconomic Aggregates," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2015-11, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Theo S. Eicher & Christian Henn & Chris Papageorgiou, 2012.
"Trade creation and diversion revisited: Accounting for model uncertainty and natural trading partner effects,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 296-321, March.
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