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A microscopic model of the stock market : Cycles, booms, and crashes

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Cited by:

  1. Johann Lussange & Ivan Lazarevich & Sacha Bourgeois-Gironde & Stefano Palminteri & Boris Gutkin, 2021. "Modelling Stock Markets by Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 113-147, January.
  2. Misha Perepelitsa & Ilya Timofeyev, 2022. "Self-sustained price bubbles driven by digital currency innovations and adaptive market behavior," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 1-15, March.
  3. Jozef Barunik & Jiri Kukacka, 2015. "Realizing stock market crashes: stochastic cusp catastrophe model of returns under time-varying volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 959-973, June.
  4. Palczewski, Jan & Schenk-Hoppé, Klaus Reiner & Wang, Tongya, 2016. "Itchy feet vs cool heads: Flow of funds in an agent-based financial market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 53-68.
  5. Jo~ao P. da Cruz & Pedro G. Lind, 2012. "Heavy-tails in economic data: fundamental assumptions, modelling and analysis," Papers 1202.0142, arXiv.org.
  6. Jo~ao P. da Cruz & Pedro G. Lind, 2011. "The bounds of heavy-tailed return distributions in evolving complex networks," Papers 1109.2803, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2013.
  7. Maximilian Beikirch & Simon Cramer & Martin Frank & Philipp Otte & Emma Pabich & Torsten Trimborn, 2018. "Simulation of Stylized Facts in Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models," Papers 1812.02726, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
  8. Ehrentreich, Norman, 2006. "Technical trading in the Santa Fe Institute Artificial Stock Market revisited," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 61(4), pages 599-616, December.
  9. Giulio Bottazzi & Mikhail Anufriev, 2005. "Price and Wealth Dynamics in a Speculative Market with an Arbitrary Number of Generic Technical Trading Strategies," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 375, Society for Computational Economics.
  10. C. Chiarella & X-Z. He, 2001. "Asset price and wealth dynamics under heterogeneous expectations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(5), pages 509-526.
  11. LeBaron, Blake, 2012. "Heterogeneous gain learning and the dynamics of asset prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 424-445.
  12. Torsten Trimborn & Lorenzo Pareschi & Martin Frank, 2017. "Portfolio Optimization and Model Predictive Control: A Kinetic Approach," Papers 1711.03291, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2019.
  13. Hommes, C.H., 2005. "Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance, In: Handbook of Computational Economics II: Agent-Based Computational Economics, edited by Leigh Tesfatsion and Ken Judd , Elsevier, Amsterdam 2006," CeNDEF Working Papers 05-03, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  14. Anufriev, M. & Bottazzi, G., 2006. "Price and Wealth Dynamics in a Speculative Market with Generic Procedurally Rational Traders," CeNDEF Working Papers 06-02, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  15. Lux, Thomas & Alfarano, Simone, 2016. "Financial power laws: Empirical evidence, models, and mechanisms," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 3-18.
  16. LeBaron, Blake, 2000. "Agent-based computational finance: Suggested readings and early research," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(5-7), pages 679-702, June.
  17. Mikhail Anufriev & Giulio Bottazzi & Francesca Pancotto, 2004. "Price and Wealth Asymptotic Dynamics with CRRA Technical Trading Strategies," LEM Papers Series 2004/23, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  18. Anufriev, Mikhail & Bottazzi, Giulio & Pancotto, Francesca, 2006. "Equilibria, stability and asymptotic dominance in a speculative market with heterogeneous traders," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(9-10), pages 1787-1835.
  19. Vishwesha Guttal & Srinivas Raghavendra & Nikunj Goel & Quentin Hoarau, 2016. "Lack of Critical Slowing Down Suggests that Financial Meltdowns Are Not Critical Transitions, yet Rising Variability Could Signal Systemic Risk," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, January.
  20. Troy Tassier, 2013. "Handbook of Research on Complexity, by J. Barkley Rosser, Jr. and Edward Elgar," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 132-133.
  21. Mizuta, Hideyuki & Steiglitz, Ken & Lirov, Erez, 2003. "Effects of price signal choices on market stability," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 235-251, October.
  22. Thomas Lux, 2009. "Applications of Statistical Physics in Finance and Economics," Chapters, in: J. Barkley Rosser Jr. (ed.), Handbook of Research on Complexity, chapter 9, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  23. E. Samanidou & E. Zschischang & D. Stauffer & T. Lux, 2007. "Agent-based Models of Financial Markets," Papers physics/0701140, arXiv.org.
  24. Anufriev, Mikhail & Dindo, Pietro, 2010. "Wealth-driven selection in a financial market with heterogeneous agents," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 73(3), pages 327-358, March.
  25. Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Applications of statistical physics in finance and economics," Kiel Working Papers 1425, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  26. Siokis, Fotios M., 2012. "Stock market dynamics: Before and after stock market crashes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1315-1322.
  27. Hommes, C.H. & Wagener, F.O.O., 2008. "Complex evolutionary systems in behavioral finance," CeNDEF Working Papers 08-05, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  28. J.-H. Steffi Yang & Satchell, S.E., 2002. "The Impact of Technical Analysis on Asset Price Dynamics," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0219, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  29. Zhao, Zhijun & Zhang, Xiaoqi, 2022. "A continuous heterogeneous-agent model for the co-evolution of asset price and wealth distribution in financial market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
  30. Mikhail Anufriev & Pietro Dindo, 2006. "Equilibrium Return and Agents’ Survival in a Multiperiod Asset Market: Analytic Support of a Simulation Model," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Charlotte Bruun (ed.), Advances in Artificial Economics, chapter 19, pages 269-282, Springer.
  31. Staccioli, Jacopo & Napoletano, Mauro, 2021. "An agent-based model of intra-day financial markets dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 331-348.
  32. Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He, 2008. "Heterogeneity, Market Mechanisms, and Asset Price Dynamics," Research Paper Series 231, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  33. Meudt, Frederik & Schmitt, Thilo A. & Schäfer, Rudi & Guhr, Thomas, 2016. "Equilibrium pricing in an order book environment: Case study for a spin model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 228-235.
  34. Levy, Moshe, 2005. "Social phase transitions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 71-87, May.
  35. Thomas Holtfort, 2019. "From standard to evolutionary finance: a literature survey," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 207-232, June.
  36. E. Samanidou & E. Zschischang & D. Stauffer & T. Lux, 2001. "Microscopic Models of Financial Markets," Papers cond-mat/0110354, arXiv.org.
  37. Misha Perepelitsa, 2021. "Psychological dimension of adaptive trading in cryptocurrency markets," Papers 2109.12166, arXiv.org.
  38. Didier SORNETTE, 2014. "Physics and Financial Economics (1776-2014): Puzzles, Ising and Agent-Based Models," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 14-25, Swiss Finance Institute.
  39. Maximilian Beikirch & Simon Cramer & Martin Frank & Philipp Otte & Emma Pabich & Torsten Trimborn, 2020. "Robust Mathematical Formulation And Probabilistic Description Of Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(06), pages 1-41, September.
  40. Torsten Trimborn & Philipp Otte & Simon Cramer & Maximilian Beikirch & Emma Pabich & Martin Frank, 2020. "SABCEMM: A Simulator for Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(2), pages 707-744, February.
  41. Iwao Maeda & David deGraw & Michiharu Kitano & Hiroyasu Matsushima & Hiroki Sakaji & Kiyoshi Izumi & Atsuo Kato, 2020. "Deep Reinforcement Learning in Agent Based Financial Market Simulation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-17, April.
  42. Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He, 2011. "The dynamic behaviour of asset prices in disequilibrium: a survey," International Journal of Behavioural Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2), pages 101-139.
  43. G. Toscani & C. Brugna & S. Demichelis, 2012. "Kinetic models for the trading of goods," Papers 1208.6305, arXiv.org.
  44. Georges, Christophre, 2006. "Learning with misspecification in an artificial currency market," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 70-84, May.
  45. Maximilian Beikirch & Simon Cramer & Martin Frank & Philipp Otte & Emma Pabich & Torsten Trimborn, 2019. "Robust Mathematical Formulation and Probabilistic Description of Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models," Papers 1904.04951, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
  46. Detlef Seese & Christof Weinhardt & Frank Schlottmann (ed.), 2008. "Handbook on Information Technology in Finance," International Handbooks on Information Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-49487-4, November.
  47. Alfarano, Simone & Lux, Thomas & Wagner, Friedrich, 2008. "Time variation of higher moments in a financial market with heterogeneous agents: An analytical approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 101-136, January.
  48. Mikhail Anufriev & Giulio Bottazzi, 2005. "Price and Wealth Dynamics in a Speculative Market with an Arbitrary Number of Generic Technical Traders," LEM Papers Series 2005/06, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  49. Chiarella, Carl & He, Xue-Zhong & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2014. "Heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing: Empirical evidence from the S&P500," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 1-16.
  50. Guo, Xu & McAleer, Michael & Wong, Wing-Keung & Zhu, Lixing, 2017. "A Bayesian approach to excess volatility, short-term underreaction and long-term overreaction during financial crises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 346-358.
  51. Anufriev, M. & Dindo, P.D.E., 2007. "Wealth Selection in a Financial Market with Heterogeneous Agents," CeNDEF Working Papers 07-10, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  52. Torsten Trimborn, 2018. "A Macroscopic Portfolio Model: From Rational Agents to Bounded Rationality," Papers 1805.11036, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
  53. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5mqflt6amg8gab4rlqn6sbko4b is not listed on IDEAS
  54. Samuel N. Cohen & Derek Snow & Lukasz Szpruch, 2021. "Black-box model risk in finance," Papers 2102.04757, arXiv.org.
  55. Levy, Moshe, 2008. "Stock market crashes as social phase transitions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 137-155, January.
  56. Mikhail Anufriev & Giulio Bottazzi, 2006. "Behavioral Consistent Market Equilibria under Procedural Rationality," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 225, Society for Computational Economics.
  57. Mikhail Perepelitsa, 2022. "Two Models of Speculative Bubbles Dynamics for Cryptocurrency Prices," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(4), pages 3646-3646, November.
  58. Solomon Sorin & Golo Natasa, 2013. "Minsky Financial Instability, Interscale Feedback, Percolation and Marshall–Walras Disequilibrium," Accounting, Economics, and Law: A Convivium, De Gruyter, vol. 3(3), pages 167-260, October.
  59. Aoki, Masanao & Hawkins, Raymond J., 2010. "Non-self-averaging and the statistical mechanics of endogenous macroeconomic fluctuations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1543-1546, November.
  60. Brugna, Carlo & Toscani, Giuseppe, 2018. "Kinetic models for goods exchange in a multi-agent market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 362-375.
  61. David Byrd & Sruthi Palaparthi & Maria Hybinette & Tucker Hybinette Balch, 2020. "The Importance of Low Latency to Order Book Imbalance Trading Strategies," Papers 2006.08682, arXiv.org.
  62. Hommes, Cars H., 2006. "Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 23, pages 1109-1186, Elsevier.
  63. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5mqflt6amg8gab4rlqn6sbko4b is not listed on IDEAS
  64. Frederik Meudt & Thilo A. Schmitt & Rudi Schafer & Thomas Guhr, 2015. "Equilibrium Pricing in an Order Book Environment: Case Study for a Spin Model," Papers 1502.01125, arXiv.org.
  65. Anufriev Mikhail & Bottazzi Giulio, 2012. "Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 1-38, October.
  66. Maximilian Beikirch & Torsten Trimborn, 2020. "Novel Insights in the Levy-Levy-Solomon Agent-Based Economic Market Model," Papers 2002.10222, arXiv.org.
  67. Lux, Thomas, 2006. "Financial power laws: Empirical evidence, models, and mechanism," Economics Working Papers 2006-12, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  68. Haim Levy & Moshe Levy, 2021. "Prospect theory, constant relative risk aversion, and the investment horizon," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-21, April.
  69. Baosheng Yuan & Kan Chen, 2006. "Impact of investor’s varying risk aversion on the dynamics of asset price fluctuations," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 1(2), pages 189-214, November.
  70. Fusillo, Fabrizio, 2015. "Simulating Stock Markets: Risk-Aversion as a Cognitive Bias," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 201527, University of Turin.
  71. Gusev, Maxim & Kroujiline, Dimitri & Govorkov, Boris & Sharov, Sergey V. & Ushanov, Dmitry & Zhilyaev, Maxim, 2014. "Predictable markets? A news-driven model of the stock market," MPRA Paper 58831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  72. Misha Perepelitsa, 2018. "A model of adaptive, market behavior generating positive returns, volatility and system risk," Papers 1809.09601, arXiv.org.
  73. Perepelitsa, Misha & Timofeyev, Ilya, 2019. "Asynchronous stochastic price pump," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 356-364.
  74. Mikhail Anufriev & Giulio Bottazzi, 2004. "Asset Pricing Model with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons," LEM Papers Series 2004/22, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  75. Baosheng Yuan & Kan Chen, 2005. "Impact of Investor's Varying Risk Aversion on the Dynamics of Asset Price Fluctuations," Papers physics/0506224, arXiv.org.
  76. LeBaron, Blake, 2006. "Agent-based Computational Finance," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 24, pages 1187-1233, Elsevier.
  77. Serena Brianzoni & Cristiana Mammana & Elisabetta Michetti, 2010. "Updating Wealth in an Asset Pricing Model with Heterogeneous Agents," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2010, pages 1-27, November.
  78. Zhong, Yue & Lai, Shaoyong & Hu, Chunhua, 2021. "Investigations to the dynamics of wealth distribution in a kinetic exchange model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 404(C).
  79. Sorin Solomon & Moshe Levy, 2000. "Market Ecology, Pareto Wealth Distribution and Leptokurtic Returns in Microscopic Simulation of the LLS Stock Market Model," Papers cond-mat/0005416, arXiv.org.
  80. Antonio Doria, Francisco, 2011. "J.B. Rosser Jr. , Handbook of Research on Complexity, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK--Northampton, MA, USA (2009) 436 + viii pp., index, ISBN 978 1 84542 089 5 (cased)," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(1-2), pages 196-204, April.
  81. Blake LeBaron, 2011. "Active and Passive Learning in Agent-based Financial Markets," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 37(1), pages 35-43.
  82. Misha Perepelitsa, 2021. "Investing in crypto: speculative bubbles and cyclic stochastic price pumps," Papers 2111.11315, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
  83. Torsten Trimborn & Philipp Otte & Simon Cramer & Max Beikirch & Emma Pabich & Martin Frank, 2018. "SABCEMM-A Simulator for Agent-Based Computational Economic Market Models," Papers 1801.01811, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
  84. Derveeuw, Julien, 2005. "Market dynamics and agents behaviors: a computational approach," MPRA Paper 4916, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  85. Alex Kindler & Michael Golosovsky & Sorin Solomon, 2019. "Early prediction of the outcome of Kickstarter campaigns: is the success due to virality?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 5(1), pages 1-6, December.
  86. Misha Perepelitsa & Ilya Timofeyev, 2018. "Asynchronous stochastic price pump," Papers 1809.09273, arXiv.org.
  87. Maldarella, Dario & Pareschi, Lorenzo, 2012. "Kinetic models for socio-economic dynamics of speculative markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(3), pages 715-730.
  88. Misha Perepelitsa & Ilya Timofeyev, 2020. "Self-sustained price bubbles driven by Bitcoin innovations and adaptive behavior," Papers 2012.14860, arXiv.org.
  89. Crepaldi, Antonio F. & Neto, Camilo Rodrigues & Ferreira, Fernando F. & Francisco, Gerson, 2009. "Multifractal regime transition in a modified minority game model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 1364-1371.
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