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Fiscal developments and financial stress: a threshold VAR analysis

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Cited by:

  1. Thomas Warmedinger & Cristina Checherita-Westphal & Pablo Hernández de Cos, 2015. "Fiscal Multipliers and Beyond," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 215(4), pages 139-168, December.
  2. Christian R. Proaño & Christian Schoder & Willi Semmler, 2013. "Financial Stress, Sovereign Debt and Economic Activity in Industrialized Countries: Evidence from Nonlinear Dynamic Panels," Working Papers 1304, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
  3. Mahjus Ekananda & Tulus Suryanto, 2021. "The Influence of Global Financial Liquidity on the Indonesian Economy: Dynamic Analysis with Threshold VAR," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-20, October.
  4. Piotr Krajewski & Agata Szymanska, 2019. "The effectiveness of fiscal policy within business cycle-Ricardians vs. non-Ricardians approach," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 19(2), pages 195-215.
  5. Konstantin Makrelov & Channing Arndt & Rob Davies & Laurence Harris, 2018. "Fiscal multipliers in South Africa: The importance of financial sector dynamics," WIDER Working Paper Series 006, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  6. Fabio Bertolotti & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2019. "Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 972-993, September.
  7. Seewon Kim, 2018. "Effects of Monetary Policy during Financial Market Crises and Regime Changes: An Empirical Evaluation Using a Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Model," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 32(2), pages 105-123, June.
  8. Park, Cyn-Young & Mercado, Rogelio V., 2014. "Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 199-224.
  9. Makrelov, Konstantin & Arndt, Channing & Davies, Rob & Harris, Laurence, 2020. "Balance sheet changes and the impact of financial sector risk-taking on fiscal multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 322-343.
  10. Svetlana Vtyurina & Zulima Leal, 2016. "Fiscal Multipliers and Institutions in Peru: Getting the Largest Bang for the Sol," IMF Working Papers 2016/144, International Monetary Fund.
  11. Ansgar Belke & Christian Dreger & Irina Dubova, 2019. "On the exposure of the BRIC countries to global economic shocks," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1), pages 122-142, January.
  12. Gian Paulo Soave, 2015. "Choques fiscais e instabilidade financeira no Brasil: uma abordagem TVAR," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2015_02, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
  13. Alejandro López-Vera & Andrés D. Pinchao-Rosero & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2018. "Non-Linear Fiscal Multipliers for Public Expenditure and Tax Revenue in Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 36(85), pages 48-64, November.
  14. Kraemer-Eis, Helmut & Botsari, Antonia & Lang, Frank & Pal, Kristian & Pavlova, Elitsa & Signore, Simone & Torfs, Wouter, 2020. "The market sentiment in European private equity and venture capital: Impact of COVID-19," EIF Working Paper Series 2020/64, European Investment Fund (EIF).
  15. Christian Proano & Christian Schoder & Willi Semmler, 2013. "The Role of Financial Stress in Debt and Recovery," SCEPA policy note series. 2012-02, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
  16. Jaramillo Rodríguez Jorge & Pech Moreno Luis Alberto & Ramírez Claudia & Sanchez-Amador David, 2019. "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Mexico," Working Papers 2019-16, Banco de México.
  17. Javier Andrés & José Emilio Boscá & Javier Ferri, 2011. "Household Leverage and Fiscal Multipliers," Working Papers 1103, International Economics Institute, University of Valencia.
  18. Julius Loermann, 2021. "The impact of CHF/EUR exchange rate uncertainty on Swiss exports to the Eurozone: evidence from a threshold VAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1363-1385, March.
  19. Anca Mihaela COPACIU & Alexandra HOROBET, 2022. "Spillovers in the Presence of Financial Stress – An Application to Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 29-43, April.
  20. Rozina Shaheen, 2020. "Credit market conditions and impact of monetary policy in a developing economy context," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 409-425, May.
  21. Brana, Sophie & Prat, Stéphanie, 2016. "The effects of global excess liquidity on emerging stock market returns: Evidence from a panel threshold model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 26-34.
  22. Jocelyn Boussard & Francisco de Castro & Matteo Salto, 2012. "Fiscal Multipliers and Public Debt Dynamics in Consolidations," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 460, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  23. Ying Chen & Bo Li & Linlin Niu, 2013. "A Local Vector Autoregressive Framework and its Applications to Multivariate Time Series Monitoring and Forecasting," Working Papers 2013-12-05, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
  24. Kraemer-Eis, Helmut & Botsari, Antonia & Gvetadze, Salome & Lang, Frank & Torfs, Wouter, 2020. "European Small Business Finance Outlook 2020: The impact of COVID-19 on SME financing markets," EIF Working Paper Series 2020/67, European Investment Fund (EIF).
  25. Afonso, António & Jalles, João Tovar, 2013. "Growth and productivity: The role of government debt," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 384-407.
  26. Matteo Ruzzante, 2018. "Financial Crises, Macroeconomic Shocks, and the Government Balance Sheet: A Panel Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2018/093, International Monetary Fund.
  27. Didem Gunes & Ferhat Camlica, 2016. "Financial Stress and Economic Activity : A Threshold VAR Analysis for Turkey," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1628, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  28. Shijaku, Gerti, 2014. "Fiscal policy, output and financial stress in the case of developing and emerging European economies: a threshold VAR approach," MPRA Paper 79139, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  29. Afonso, António & Carvalho, Francisco Tiago, 2022. "Time-varying cyclicality of fiscal policy: The case of the Euro area," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  30. George Apostolakis & Athanasios P. Papadopoulos, 2019. "Financial Stability, Monetary Stability and Growth: a PVAR Analysis," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 157-178, February.
  31. repec:ecb:ecbops:2011162 is not listed on IDEAS
  32. Fazzari Steven M. & Morley James & Panovska Irina, 2015. "State-dependent effects of fiscal policy," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 285-315, June.
  33. Yusuf Yildirim & Anirban Sanyal, 2023. "Financial Stress and Effect on Real Economy: Turkish Experience," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(1), pages 46-67.
  34. Michael B. Devereux, 2018. "International Fiscal Spillovers: A Review Essay," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 34, pages 29-50.
  35. António Afonso & António Jorge Silva, 2014. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Euro Area: has it changed with the EMU? A VAR approach, with fiscal policy and financial stress considerations," Working Papers Department of Economics 2014/10, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
  36. Ernst, Ekkehard & Semmler, Willi & Haider, Alexander, 2017. "Debt-deflation, financial market stress and regime change – Evidence from Europe using MRVAR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-139.
  37. Svetlana Drobyazko & Anna Barwinska-Malajowicz & Boguslaw Slusarczyk & Olga Chubukova & Taliat Bielialov, 2020. "Risk Management in the System of Financial Stability of the Service Enterprise," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-15, November.
  38. Lalik, Magdalena, 2017. "Interactions between fiscal multipliers and sovereign risk premium during fiscal consolidation: model based assessment for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2016, European Central Bank.
  39. Kriti Kulshrestha & Saumitra N. Bhaduri, 2019. "The Joint Dynamics of Liquidity and Volatility Across Small- and Large- index Indian Funds," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 18(2_suppl), pages 167-182, August.
  40. Felix Reichling & Charles Whalen, 2015. "The Fiscal Multiplier and Economic Policy Analysis in the United States: Working Paper 2015-02," Working Papers 49925, Congressional Budget Office.
  41. Eduardo Garzón Espinosa & Bibiana Medialdea García & Esteban Cruz Hidalgo, 2021. "Fiscal Policy Approaches: An Inquiring Look From The Modern Monetary Theory," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 999-1022, October.
  42. Ms. Anja Baum & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro & Miss Anke Weber, 2012. "Fiscal Multipliers and the State of the Economy," IMF Working Papers 2012/286, International Monetary Fund.
  43. Zhongdong Yu & Wei Liu & Liming Chen & Serkan Eti & Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel, 2019. "The Effects of Electricity Production on Industrial Development and Sustainable Economic Growth: A VAR Analysis for BRICS Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-13, October.
  44. Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Hacioglu Hoke, Sinem, 2016. "Macroeconomic tail events with non-linear Bayesian VARs," Bank of England working papers 611, Bank of England.
  45. Saadaoui, Zied & BOUFATEH, Talel & JIAO, Zhilun, 2023. "On the transmission of oil supply and demand shocks to CO2 emissions in the US by considering uncertainty: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  46. Tommaso Ferraresi & Andrea Roventini & Giorgio Fagiolo, 2015. "Fiscal Policies and Credit Regimes: A TVAR Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(7), pages 1047-1072, November.
  47. Proaño, Christian R. & Schoder, Christian & Semmler, Willi, 2014. "Financial stress, sovereign debt and economic activity in industrialized countries: Evidence from dynamic threshold regressions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 17-37.
  48. Konstantin Makrelov & Channing Arndt & Rob Davies & Laurence Harris, 2018. "Fiscal multipliers in South Africa: The importance of financial sector dynamics," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-6, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  49. Michal Bencik, 2014. "Dual regime fiscal multipliers in converging economies - a simplified STVAR approach," Working and Discussion Papers WP 2/2014, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
  50. Pedro Gomis-Porqueras & Romina Ruprecht & Xuan Zhou, 2023. "A Financial Stress Index for a Small Open Economy: The Australian Case," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-029, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  51. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Tsagkanos, Athanasios, 2017. "Asymmetric effects of the international transmission of US financial stress. A threshold-VAR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 69-81.
  52. Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Evgenidis, Anastasios & Vartholomatou, Konstantina, 2018. "Financial and monetary stability across Euro-zone and BRICS: An exogenous threshold VAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 386-393.
  53. Sha Zhu & Fujun Lai & Jie Deng & Qian Wang, 2021. "Do Mutual Funds’ Exposure to Financial Stress Predict Their Future Returns? Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, October.
  54. Ganepola, Chanaka N. & Shubita, Moade & Lee, Lillian, 2023. "The electric shock: Causes and consequences of electricity prices in the United Kingdom," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  55. Goldberg, Andrew & Romalis, John, 2015. "Public Debt and Growth in U.S. States," Working Papers 2015-10, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
  56. Javier Andrés & José E. Boscá & Javier Ferri & Cristina Fuentes‐Albero, 2022. "Households' Balance Sheets and the Effect of Fiscal Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(4), pages 737-778, June.
  57. Ibrar Hussain & Jawad Hussain & Arshad Ali & Shabir Ahmad, 2021. "A Dynamic Analysis of the Impact of Fiscal Adjustment on Economic Growth: Evidence From Pakistan," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, June.
  58. Harun, Cicilia A. & Taruna, Aditya Anta & Ramdani,, 2021. "Capturing the nonlinear impact in distress state: Enhancing scenario design of stress test," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 265-288.
  59. Gerti Shijaku, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Pass-through Effects of Monetary Policy through Sign Restrictions Approach: In the Case of Albania," IHEID Working Papers 11-2015, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
  60. Matteo Deleidi & Davide Romaniello & Francesca Tosi, 2021. "Quantifying fiscal multipliers in Italy: A Panel SVAR analysis using regional data," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(5), pages 1158-1177, October.
  61. Kameda, Keigo, 2014. "What causes changes in the effects of fiscal policy? A case study of Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 14-31.
  62. Pablo Hernández de Cos & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2016. "Fiscal multipliers in turbulent times: the case of Spain," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1589-1625, June.
  63. Andisheh Saliminezhad & Pejman Bahramian, 2021. "The role of financial stress in the economic activity: Fresh evidence from a Granger‐causality in quantiles analysis for the UK and Germany," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1670-1680, April.
  64. Antonio Lemus, 2018. "Dynamic Effects of the Chilean Fiscal Policy," Working Papers hal-04141693, HAL.
  65. Sun, Hang, 2016. "Crisis-Contingent Dynamics of Connectedness: An SVAR-Spatial-Network “Tripod” Model with Thresholds," Research Memorandum 032, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
  66. Tigran Poghosyan, 2018. "How do financial cycles affect public debt cycles?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 425-460, March.
  67. Mirdala, Rajmund & Kameník, Martin, 2017. "Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks in CE3 Countries (TVAR Approach)," MPRA Paper 79918, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  68. Ricco, Giovanni & Callegari, Giovanni & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2014. "Signals from the Government: Policy Uncertainty and the Transmission of Fiscal Shocks," MPRA Paper 56136, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  69. Evgenidis, Anastasios, 2018. "Do all oil price shocks have the same impact? Evidence from the euro area," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 150-155.
  70. Björn Roye, 2014. "Financial stress and economic activity in Germany," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 101-126, February.
  71. Dany, Geraldine, 2016. "The credit channel during times of financial stress: A time varying VAR analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145899, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  72. Mencinger, Jernej & Aristovnik, Aleksander & Verbič, Miroslav, 2017. "Asymmetric effects of fiscal policy in EU and OECD countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 448-461.
  73. Gilles Dufrénot & Aurélia Jambois & Laurine Jambois & Guillaume Khayat, 2016. "Regime-Dependent Fiscal Multipliers in the United States," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 923-944, November.
  74. Jiang, Qisheng & Cheng, Sheng, 2021. "How the fiscal and monetary policy uncertainty of China respond to global oil price volatility: A multi-regime-on-scale approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  75. Jos Mauricio Gil Le n & John William Rosso Murillo & Edgar Alonso Ramirez Hern ndez, 2019. "Public Debt and Stability in Economic Growth: Evidence for Latin America," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 137-147.
  76. Michal Hlavacek & Ilgar Ismayilov, 2022. "Meta-analysis: Fiscal Multiplier," Working Papers IES 2022/07, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised May 2022.
  77. Sebastian Gechert & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2014. "Are Fiscal Multipliers Regime-Dependent? A Meta Regression Analysis," IMK Working Paper 139-2014, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
  78. António Afonso & Francisco Tiago Carvalho, 2021. "Euro area time-varying cyclicality of fiscal policy," Working Papers REM 2021/0202, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
  79. Chan, Ying Tung & Zhao, Hong, 2019. "How do credit market frictions affect carbon cycles? an estimated DSGE model approach," MPRA Paper 106987, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Dec 2020.
  80. Giuliana Birindelli & Paola Ferretti & Giovanni Ferri & Marco Savioli, 2022. "Regulatory reform and banking diversity: reassessing Basel 3," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 429-456, December.
  81. Charles J. Whalen & Felix Reichling, 2015. "The Fiscal Multiplier And Economic Policy Analysis In The United States," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(4), pages 735-746, October.
  82. Steven Fazzari & James Morley & Irina Panovska, 2013. "State-Dependent Effects of Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers 2012-27B, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
  83. Giovanni Callegari & Mr. Giovanni Melina & Nicoletta Batini, 2012. "Successful Austerity in the United States, Europe and Japan," IMF Working Papers 2012/190, International Monetary Fund.
  84. Ibrar Hussain & Umar Hayat & Md Shabbir Alam & Uzma Khan, 2024. "A Dynamic Analysis of the Twin-Deficit Hypothesis: the Case of a Developing Country," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 25-52, March.
  85. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Antonio Lemus, 2019. "Nonlinear effects of the Chilean fiscal policy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 132-153, December.
  86. Asma Arif & Umaima Arif, 2023. "Institutional Approach to the Budget Deficit: An Empirical Analysis," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, May.
  87. Agata Szymańska, 2018. "Wpływ polityki fiskalnej na PKB w krajach Unii Europejskiej spoza strefy euro," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 49-74.
  88. Rant, Vasja & Puc, Anja & Čok, Mitja & Verbič, Miroslav, 2024. "Macroeconomic impacts of monetary and fiscal policy in the euro area in times of shifting policies: A SVAR approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  89. Steven Fazzari & James Morley & Irina Panovska, 2013. "State-Dependent Effects of Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers 2012-27A, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
  90. Magkonis, Georgios & Tsopanakis, Andreas, 2014. "Exploring the effects of financial and fiscal vulnerabilities on G7 economies: Evidence from SVAR analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 343-367.
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