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The market sentiment in European private equity and venture capital: Impact of COVID-19

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  • Kraemer-Eis, Helmut
  • Botsari, Antonia
  • Lang, Frank
  • Pal, Kristian
  • Pavlova, Elitsa
  • Signore, Simone
  • Torfs, Wouter

Abstract

This paper provides unique insights into the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the European private equity (PE) and venture capital (VC) ecosystem. It achieves this purpose in two ways. By exploiting the recent survey wave of EIF's signature BA/VC/PE MM survey series, which was launched just prior to the COVID-19 outbreak in Europe, we are able to gauge how the pandemic changed the sentiment among European fund managers. This qualitative exercise is complemented by the results from a simple time series model that simulates the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the European PE and VC markets. Our analysis provides evidence that the European PE/VC ecosystem faces unprecedented challenges in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. A strong policy response in support of the PE/VC markets is imperative, to which EIF will be an indispensable contributor.

Suggested Citation

  • Kraemer-Eis, Helmut & Botsari, Antonia & Lang, Frank & Pal, Kristian & Pavlova, Elitsa & Signore, Simone & Torfs, Wouter, 2020. "The market sentiment in European private equity and venture capital: Impact of COVID-19," EIF Working Paper Series 2020/64, European Investment Fund (EIF).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:eifwps:202064
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Botsari, Antonia & Crisanti, Andrea & Lang, Frank, 2019. "EIF VC Survey 2019: Fund managers' market sentiment and policy recommendations," EIF Working Paper Series 2019/59, European Investment Fund (EIF).
    2. António Afonso & Jaromír Baxa & Michal Slavík, 2018. "Fiscal developments and financial stress: a threshold VAR analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 395-423, March.
    3. James A. Brander & Qianqian Du & Thomas Hellmann, 2015. "The Effects of Government-Sponsored Venture Capital: International Evidence," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(2), pages 571-618.
    4. Signore, Simone, 2016. "The European venture capital landscape: an EIF perspective. Volume II: Growth patterns of EIF-backed startups," EIF Working Paper Series 2016/38, European Investment Fund (EIF).
    5. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1996. "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(1), pages 11-30, January.
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    7. Kraemer-Eis, Helmut & Lang, Frank, 2014. "Guidelines for SME Access to Finance Market Assessments (GAFMA)," EIF Working Paper Series 2014/22, European Investment Fund (EIF).
    8. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    9. Guerini, Massimiliano & Quas, Anita, 2016. "Governmental venture capital in Europe: Screening and certification," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 175-195.
    10. Cameron Hepburn & Brian O’Callaghan & Nicholas Stern & Joseph Stiglitz & Dimitri Zenghelis, 0. "Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 36(Supplemen), pages 359-381.
    11. Kraemer-Eis, Helmut & Signore, Simone & Prencipe, Dario, 2016. "The European venture capital landscape: an EIF perspective. Volume I: The impact of EIF on the VC ecosystem," EIF Working Paper Series 2016/34, European Investment Fund (EIF).
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    Cited by:

    1. Botsari, Antonia & Kiefer, Kilian & Lang, Frank & Pal, Kristian, 2021. "Scale-up financing and IPOs: Evidence from three surveys," EIF Working Paper Series 2021/69, European Investment Fund (EIF).
    2. Krämer-Eis, Helmut & Botsari, Antonia & Lang, Frank & Mandys, Filip, 2021. "EIF Private Equity Mid-Market Survey: Fund managers' perception of EIF's value added," EIF Working Paper Series 2021/77, European Investment Fund (EIF).
    3. Kraemer-Eis, Helmut & Botsari, Antonia & Gvetadze, Salome & Lang, Frank & Torfs, Wouter, 2021. "European Small Business Finance Outlook 2021," EIF Working Paper Series 2021/75, European Investment Fund (EIF).

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