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Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility

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Cited by:

  1. Pichler, Anton & Poledna, Sebastian & Thurner, Stefan, 2021. "Systemic risk-efficient asset allocations: Minimization of systemic risk as a network optimization problem," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  2. James T. Wilkinson & Jacob Kelter & John Chen & Uri Wilensky, 2024. "A Network Simulation of OTC Markets with Multiple Agents," Papers 2405.02480, arXiv.org.
  3. Marc van Kralingen & Diego Garlaschelli & Karolina Scholtus & Iman van Lelyveld, 2020. "Crowded trades, market clustering, and price instability," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-007/II, Tinbergen Institute.
  4. David Morton de Lachapelle & Damien Challet, 2009. "Turnover, account value and diversification of real traders: evidence of collective portfolio optimizing behavior," Papers 0912.4723, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2010.
  5. Yaping Zhou & Xundi Diao & Dayong Lv, 2023. "Role of OTC options in stock price efficiency: Evidence from the Chinese market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(4), pages 4629-4655, December.
  6. Frank McGroarty & Ash Booth & Enrico Gerding & V. L. Raju Chinthalapati, 2019. "High frequency trading strategies, market fragility and price spikes: an agent based model perspective," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 217-244, November.
  7. Po-Keng Cheng & Young Shin Kim, 2017. "Speculative bubbles and crashes： Fundamentalists and positive‐feedback trading," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1381370-138, January.
  8. Ana Fostel & John Geanakoplos, 2012. "Leverage and Default in Binomial Economies: A Complete Characterization," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1877R2, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Aug 2014.
  9. Breuer, Thomas & Jandačka, Martin & Summer, Martin & Vollbrecht, Hans-Joachim, 2015. "Endogenous leverage and asset pricing in double auctions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 144-160.
  10. Klimek, Peter & Poledna, Sebastian & Doyne Farmer, J. & Thurner, Stefan, 2015. "To bail-out or to bail-in? Answers from an agent-based model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 144-154.
  11. Al-Suwailem, Sami, 2014. "Complexity and endogenous instability," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 393-410.
  12. Karlis, Alexandros & Galanis, Giorgos & Terovitis, Spyridon & Turner, Matthew, 2015. "Hedging against Risk in a Heterogeneous Leveraged Market," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1084, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  13. Constantinides, George M. & Lian, Lei, 2021. "The Supply and Demand of S&P 500 Put Options," Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 10(1), pages 1-20, April.
  14. LeBaron, Blake, 2012. "Heterogeneous gain learning and the dynamics of asset prices," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 424-445.
  15. Sheri M Markose, 2013. "Systemic risk analytics: A data-driven multi-agent financial network (MAFN) approach," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 14(3-4), pages 285-305, July.
  16. Maarten P. Scholl & Anisoara Calinescu & J. Doyne Farmer, 2021. "How market ecology explains market malfunction," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118(26), pages 2015574118-, June.
  17. in ׳t Veld, Daan, 2016. "Adverse effects of leverage and short-selling constraints in a financial market model with heterogeneous agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 45-67.
  18. Aymanns, Christoph & Caccioli, Fabio & Farmer, J. Doyne & Tan, Vincent W.C., 2016. "Taming the Basel leverage cycle," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 263-277.
  19. Tzouras, Spilios & Anagnostopoulos, Christoforos & McCoy, Emma, 2015. "Financial time series modeling using the Hurst exponent," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 425(C), pages 50-68.
  20. Fischer, Thomas & Riedler, Jesper, 2014. "Prices, debt and market structure in an agent-based model of the financial market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 95-120.
  21. Gaffeo, Edoardo, 2019. "Leverage and evolving heterogeneous beliefs in a simple agent-based financial market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 272-279.
  22. Haijun Yang & Shuheng Chen, 2018. "A heterogeneous artificial stock market model can benefit people against another financial crisis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(6), pages 1-25, June.
  23. Erniel B. Barrios & Paolo Victor T. Redondo, 2024. "Nonparametric Test for Volatility in Clustered Multiple Time Series," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(2), pages 861-876, February.
  24. Doris Neuberger & Roger Rissi, 2014. "Macroprudential Banking Regulation: Does One Size Fit All?," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(1), pages 5-28, May.
  25. Wiersema, Garbrand & Kleinnijenhuis, Alissa M. & Wetzer, Thom & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2023. "Scenario-free analysis of financial stability with interacting contagion channels," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  26. Christoph Aymanns & J. Doyne Farmer & Alissa M. Keinniejenhuis & Thom Wetzer, 2017. "Models of Financial Stability and their Application in Stress Tests," Working Papers on Finance 1805, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  27. Christian Bongiorno & Marco Berritta, 2023. "Optimal Covariance Cleaning for Heavy-Tailed Distributions: Insights from Information Theory," Papers 2304.14098, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
  28. Richard Bookstaber & Michael D. Foley & Brian F. Tivnan, 2015. "Market Liquidity and Heterogeneity in the Investor Decision Cycle," Working Papers 15-03, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  29. Caccioli, Fabio & Shrestha, Munik & Moore, Cristopher & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2014. "Stability analysis of financial contagion due to overlapping portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 233-245.
  30. Daniel Fricke & Thomas Lux, 2015. "The effects of a financial transaction tax in an artificial financial market," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 10(1), pages 119-150, April.
  31. Poledna, Sebastian & Thurner, Stefan & Farmer, J. Doyne & Geanakoplos, John, 2014. "Leverage-induced systemic risk under Basle II and other credit risk policies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 199-212.
  32. Scheffknecht, Lukas & Geiger, Felix, 2011. "A behavioral macroeconomic model with endogenous boom-bust cycles and leverage dynamcis," FZID Discussion Papers 37-2011, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
  33. Chen, Xinxin & Guo, Yanhong & Song, Yingying, 2024. "Multiple time scales investor sentiment impact the stock market index fluctuation: From margin trading business perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
  34. Takanobu Mizuta & Shintaro Kosugi & Takuya Kusumoto & Wataru Matsumoto & Kiyoshi Izumi & Isao Yagi & Shinobu Yoshimura, 2016. "Effects of Price Regulations and Dark Pools on Financial Market Stability: An Investigation by Multiagent Simulations," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1-2), pages 97-120, January.
  35. Poledna, Sebastian & Molina-Borboa, José Luis & Martínez-Jaramillo, Serafín & van der Leij, Marco & Thurner, Stefan, 2015. "The multi-layer network nature of systemic risk and its implications for the costs of financial crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 70-81.
  36. Aymanns, Christoph & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2015. "The dynamics of the leverage cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 155-179.
  37. Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He, 2018. "Heterogeneous Agent Models in Finance," Research Paper Series 389, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  38. Karlis, Alexandros & Galanis, Girogos & Terovitis, Spyridon & Turner, Matthew, 2017. "Heterogeneity and Clustering of Defaults," Economic Research Papers 270011, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
  39. Ana Fostel & John Geanakoplos, 2013. "Leverage and Default in Binomial Economies: A Complete Characterization," Working Papers 2013-16, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
  40. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frédéric Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: II. Agent-based models," Post-Print hal-00621059, HAL.
  41. Lv, Dayong & Wu, Wenfeng, 2019. "Margin-trading volatility and stock price crash risk," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 179-196.
  42. Wolfgang Kuhle, 2016. "An Equilibrium Model with Computationally Constrained Agents," Papers 1611.01771, arXiv.org.
  43. Miguel Fuentes & Pablo Pincheira & Juan Manuel Julio & Hernán Rincón & Santiago García-Verdú & Miguel Zerecero & Marco Vega & Erick Lahura & Ramon Moreno, 2014. "The effects of intraday foreign exchange market operations in Latin America: results for Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru," Borradores de Economia 849, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  44. Yang, G. & Chen, Y. & Huang, J.P., 2016. "The highly intelligent virtual agents for modeling financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 443(C), pages 98-108.
  45. Kim Karlsson, Hyunjoo & Li, Yushu, 2024. "Investigation of Swedish krona exchange rate volatility by APARCH-Support Vector Regression," Working Papers in Economics and Statistics 10/2024, Linnaeus University, School of Business and Economics, Department of Economics and Statistics.
  46. Valderrama, Laura, 2015. "Macroprudential regulation under repo funding," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 178-199.
  47. Poledna, Sebastian & Bochmann, Olaf & Thurner, Stefan, 2017. "Basel III capital surcharges for G-SIBs are far less effective in managing systemic risk in comparison to network-based, systemic risk-dependent financial transaction taxes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 230-246.
  48. Llacay, Bàrbara & Peffer, Gilbert, 2017. "Impact of value-at-risk models on market stability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 223-256.
  49. John Geanakoplos, 2022. "Leverage Cycle Theory of Economic Crises and Booms," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2370, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  50. Forrest Jeffrey Yi-Lin & Gong Zaiwu & Köse Erkan & Galbraith Diane D. & Arık Oğuzhan A., 2021. "An Economy’s Emergent Properties and How Micro Agents with Inconsistent or Conflicting Interests Are Holistically Organized into Macro Entities," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 67(3), pages 53-66, September.
  51. Zhang, Ting & Li, Honggang, 2013. "Buying on margin, selling short in an agent-based market model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(18), pages 4075-4082.
  52. Fulvio Corsi & Stefano Marmi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2016. "When Micro Prudence Increases Macro Risk: The Destabilizing Effects of Financial Innovation, Leverage, and Diversification," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 1073-1088, October.
  53. Bernard, Carole & Vanduffel, Steven & Ye, Jiang, 2019. "A new efficiency test for ranking investments: Application to hedge fund performance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 203-207.
  54. Dayong Lv & Wenfeng Wu, 2020. "Margin trading and price efficiency: information content or price‐adjustment speed?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(3), pages 2889-2918, September.
  55. Mark Setterfield & Bill Gibson, 2013. "Real and financial crises: A multi-agent approach," Working Papers 1309, Trinity College, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2014.
  56. Antoaneta Sergueiva, 2013. "Systemic Risk Identification, Modelling, Analysis, and Monitoring: An Integrated Approach," Papers 1310.6486, arXiv.org.
  57. van der Veer, Koen & Levels, Anouk & Lambert, Claudia & Weistroffer, Christian & Chaudron, Raymond & van Stralen, René de Sousa & Molestina Vivar, Luis, 2017. "Developing macroprudential policy for alternative investment funds," Occasional Paper Series 202, European Central Bank.
  58. A. K. Karlis & G. Galanis & S. Terovitis & M. S. Turner, 2021. "Heterogeneity and clustering of defaults," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(9), pages 1533-1549, September.
  59. Richard Bookstaber & Mark Paddrik & Brian Tivnan, 2018. "An agent-based model for financial vulnerability," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(2), pages 433-466, July.
  60. Kuhle, Wolfgang, 2021. "Equilibrium with computationally constrained agents," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 77-92.
  61. Yanlai Song & Stanford Shateyi & Jianying He & Xueqing Cui, 2022. "Interactions of Logistic Distribution to Credit Valuation Adjustment: A Study on the Associated Expected Exposure and the Conditional Value at Risk," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(20), pages 1-15, October.
  62. Braun-Munzinger, Karen & Liu, Zijun & Turrell, Arthur, 2016. "An agent-based model of dynamics in corporate bond trading," Bank of England working papers 592, Bank of England.
  63. Lillo, Fabrizio & Pirino, Davide, 2015. "The impact of systemic and illiquidity risk on financing with risky collateral," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 180-202.
  64. Ouandlous, Arav & Barkoulas, John T. & Pantos, Themis D., 2022. "Extremity in bitcoin market activity," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
  65. Silvio M. Duarte Queiros & Evaldo M. F. Curado & Fernando D. Nobre, 2011. "Minding impacting events in a model of stochastic variance," Papers 1102.4819, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2011.
  66. Thomas Ankenbrand & Fabian Kostadinov & Faten Ben Bouheni & Mondher Bellalah, 2020. "Cyclical behaviour of the Swiss real estate market," International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 39(1/2), pages 71-99.
  67. Rodríguez-Aguilar, Román & Cruz-Aké, Salvador & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2014. "A Measure of Early Warning of Exchange-Rate Crises Based on the Hurst Coefficient and the Αlpha-Stable Parameter," MPRA Paper 59046, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  68. Nguyen, Q. & Nguyen, N.K. K. & Nguyen, L.H. N., 2019. "Dynamic topology and allometric scaling behavior on the Vietnamese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 235-243.
  69. Dufrénot, Gilles & Keddad, Benjamin, 2014. "Spillover effects of the 2008 global financial crisis on the volatility of the Indian equity markets: Coupling or uncoupling? A study on sector-based data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 17-32.
  70. Khaldoun Khashanah & Talal Alsulaiman, 2017. "Connectivity, Information Jumps, and Market Stability: An Agent-Based Approach," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-16, August.
  71. Sami Al-Suwailem, 2012. "Complexity and Endogenous Instability," ASSRU Discussion Papers 1203, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit.
  72. Ge, Jiaqi, 2014. "Stepping into new territory: Three essays on agent-based computational economics and environmental economics," ISU General Staff Papers 201401010800004899, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  73. Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2012. "Local Environment Analysis and Rules Inferring Procedure in an Agent-Based Model – Applications in Economics," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 128-143, March.
  74. Chenge Zhu & Guang Yang & Kenan An & Jiping Huang, 2014. "The Leverage Effect on Wealth Distribution in a Controllable Laboratory Stock Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(6), pages 1-10, June.
  75. Christopher D. Clack & Elias Court & Dmitrijs Zaparanuks, 2020. "Dynamic Coupling and Market Instability," Papers 2005.13621, arXiv.org.
  76. J. Farmer & Cameron Hepburn & Penny Mealy & Alexander Teytelboym, 2015. "A Third Wave in the Economics of Climate Change," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 62(2), pages 329-357, October.
  77. Charles-Cadogan, G., 2021. "Market Instability, Investor Sentiment, And Probability Judgment Error in Index Option Prices," CRETA Online Discussion Paper Series 71, Centre for Research in Economic Theory and its Applications CRETA.
  78. Li-Xin Wang, 2014. "Gaussian-Chain Filters for Heavy-Tailed Noise with Application to Detecting Big Buyers and Big Sellers in Stock Market," Papers 1405.2220, arXiv.org.
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