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Affine Term Structure Models and the Forward Premium Anomaly
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Cited by:
- Park, Sunjin, 2022. "Heterogeneous beliefs in macroeconomic growth prospects and the carry risk premium," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Lucio Sarno & Giorgio Valente & Hyginus Leon, 2006.
"Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity: An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 10(3), pages 443-482, September.
- Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio & Leon, Hyginus, 2006. "Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity: An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle," CEPR Discussion Papers 5527, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giorgio Valente & Mr. Gene L. Leon & Lucio Sarno, 2006. "Nonlinearity in Deviations From Uncovered Interest Parity: An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle," IMF Working Papers 2006/136, International Monetary Fund.
- Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2011.
"Spot and forward volatility in foreign exchange,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 496-513, June.
- Sarno, Lucio & Della Corte, Pasquale & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2010. "Spot and Forward Volatility in Foreign Exchange," CEPR Discussion Papers 7893, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Astrid Eisenberg & Markus Rudolf, 2007. "Exchange Rates and the Conversion of Currency‐Specific Risk Premia," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 13(4), pages 672-701, September.
- Gavazzoni, Federico & Santacreu, Ana Maria, 2020.
"International R&D spillovers and asset prices,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 330-354.
- Federico Gavazzoni & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2015. "International R&D Spillovers and Asset Prices," Working Papers 2015-41, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Ana Maria Santacreu & Federico Gavazzoni, 2015. "International R&D Spillovers and Asset Prices," 2015 Meeting Papers 405, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Pegoraro, F. & Siegel, A. F. & Tiozzo Pezzoli, L., 2014. "Specification Analysis of International Treasury Yield Curve Factors," Working papers 490, Banque de France.
- Leippold, Markus & Wu, Liuren, 2002.
"Asset Pricing under the Quadratic Class,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(2), pages 271-295, June.
- Markus Leippold & Liuren Wu, 2002. "Asset Pricing Under The Quadratic Class," Finance 0207015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lloyd, S. P. & Marin, E. A., 2019.
"Exchange Rate Risk and Business Cycles,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
1996, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Lloyd, Simon & Marin, Emile, 2020. "Exchange rate risk and business cycles," Bank of England working papers 872, Bank of England.
- Hakon Tretvoll, 2018.
"Real Exchange Variability in a Two-Country Business Cycle Model,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 27, pages 123-145, January.
- Hakon Tretvoll, 2017. "Code and data files for "Real Exchange Variability in a Two-Country Business Cycle Model"," Computer Codes 13-34, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013.
"Exchange Rate Predictability,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1063-1119, December.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange rate predictability," Economics Working Papers 1369, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers 9575, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 690, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Peng Cheng & Olivier Scaillet, 2002.
"Linear-Quadratic Jump-Diffusion Modeling with Application to Stochastic Volatility,"
FAME Research Paper Series
rp67, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
- Olivier Scaillet., 2003. "Linear-Quadratic Jump-Diffusion Modelling with Application to Stochastic Volatility," THEMA Working Papers 2003-29, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Copeland, Laurence & Lu, Wenna, 2016. "Dodging the steamroller: Fundamentals versus the carry trade," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 115-131.
- David R. Haab & Thomas Nitschka, 2020.
"Carry trade and forward premium puzzle from the perspective of a safe‐haven currency,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 376-394, May.
- Thomas Nitschka & David Haab, 2018. "Carry trade and forward premium puzzle from the perspective of a safe-haven currency," Working Papers 2018-17, Swiss National Bank.
- Matteo Maggiori, 2013. "The U.S. Dollar Safety Premium," 2013 Meeting Papers 75, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Moore, Michael J. & Roche, Maurice J., 2010.
"Solving exchange rate puzzles with neither sticky prices nor trade costs,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 1151-1170, October.
- Maurice J. Roche & Michael J. Moore, 2007. "Solving Exchange Rate Puzzles with neither Sticky Prices nor Trade Costs," Economics Department Working Paper Series n1750507, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
- Maurice J. Roche & Michael J. Moore, 2009. "Solving Exchange Rate Puzzles with neither Sticky Prices nor Trade Costs," Working Papers 001, Toronto Metropolitan University, Department of Economics.
- Adolfson, Malin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias, 2008.
"Evaluating an estimated new Keynesian small open economy model,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 2690-2721, August.
- Linde, Jesper & Adolfson, Malin & LASEEN, PER & Villani, Mattias, 2007. "Evaluating An Estimated New Keynesian Small Open Economy Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 6027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Adolfson, Malin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias, 2007. "Evaluating An Estimated New Keynesian Small Open Economy Model," Working Paper Series 203, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2022. "The time-varying risk price of currency portfolios," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Adrien Verdelhan, 2018.
"The Share of Systematic Variation in Bilateral Exchange Rates,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(1), pages 375-418, February.
- Adrien Verdelhan, 2012. "The Share of Systematic Variation in Bilateral Exchange Rates," 2012 Meeting Papers 763, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Baillie, Richard T. & Cho, Dooyeon, 2014. "Time variation in the standard forward premium regression: Some new models and tests," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 52-63.
- Li, Shaoyu & Huang, Henry H. & Zhang, Teng, 2020. "Generalized affine transform on pricing quanto range accrual note," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Hans Dewachter & Kristien Smedts, 2007.
"Limits to international arbitrage: an empirical evaluation,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(3), pages 273-285.
- Hans Dewachter & Kristien Smedts, 2004. "Limits to International Arbitrage: an Empirical Evaluation," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces0401, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2009.
"On the Need for a New Approach to Analyzing Monetary Policy,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, pages 389-425,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the Need for a New Approach to Analyzing Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 14260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the need for a new approach to analyzing monetary policy," Working Papers 662, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the need for a new approach to analyzing monetary policy," Staff Report 412, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Faust, Jon & Rogers, John H., 2003.
"Monetary policy's role in exchange rate behavior,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(7), pages 1403-1424, October.
- Jon Faust & John H. Rogers, 1999. "Monetary policy's role in exchange rate behavior," International Finance Discussion Papers 652, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Mo, Henry & Wu, Liuren, 2007. "International capital asset pricing: Evidence from options," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 465-498, September.
- Markus Leippold & Liuren Wu, 2003.
"Design and Estimation of Quadratic Term Structure Models,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 47-73.
- Markus Leippold & Liuren Wu, 2002. "Design and Estimation of Quadratic Term Structure Models," Finance 0207014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ahmet Can Inci, 2006. "Co‐integrating currencies and yield differentials," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(2), pages 159-175.
- Wachter, Jessica A., 2006. "A consumption-based model of the term structure of interest rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 365-399, February.
- Anella Munro, 2014.
"Exchange rates, expected returns and risk,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2014/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Anella Munro, 2014. "Exchange rates, expected returns and risk: UIP unbound," CAMA Working Papers 2014-73, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hakon Tretvoll, 2013. "Investment-Specific Technology Shocks and Recursive Preferences," 2013 Meeting Papers 1207, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Giovanni Calice & Ming Zeng, 2021. "The term structure of sovereign credit default swap and the cross‐section of exchange rate predictability," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 445-458, January.
- Darrel Duffie & Damir Filipović & Walter Schachermayer, 2002. "Affine Processes and Application in Finance," NBER Technical Working Papers 0281, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kerstin Bernoth & Jürgen Von Hagen & Casper De Vries, 2022.
"The Term Structure of Currency Futures' Risk Premia,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(1), pages 5-38, February.
- Bernoth, Kerstin & von Hagen, Jürgen & de Vries, Caspar, 2022. "The Term Structure of Currency Futures' Risk Premia," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 5-38.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Tommy Sveen & Sepideh K. Zahiri, 2016. "Commodity Futures and Forecasting Commodity Currencies," Working Papers No 7/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Jiménez-Martín, Juan-Ángel & Cinca, Alfonso Novales, 2010.
"State-uncertainty preferences and the risk premium in the exchange rate market,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1043-1053, September.
- Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2009. "State-Uncertainty preferences and the Risk Premium in the Exchange rate market," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2009-17, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- S. Mouabbi, 2014. "An arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel term structure model with stochastic volatility for the determination of currency risk premia," Working papers 527, Banque de France.
- Sarno, Lucio & Schneider, Paul & Wagner, Christian, 2012.
"Properties of foreign exchange risk premiums,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(2), pages 279-310.
- Sarno, Lucio & Schneider, Paul & Wagner, Christian, 2011. "Properties of Foreign Exchange Risk Premiums," CEPR Discussion Papers 8503, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lucio Sarno & Paul Schneider & Christian Wagner, 2012. "Properties of Foreign Exchange Risk Premiums," Working Paper series 10_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Moore, Michael J. & Roche, Maurice J., 2002.
"Less of a puzzle: a new look at the forward forex market,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 387-411, December.
- Maurice J. Roche & Michael J. Moore, "undated". "Less of a puzzle: a new look at the forward forex market," Economics Department Working Paper Series n, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
- Maurice J. Roche & Michael J. Moore, 1999. "Less of a puzzle: a new look at the forward forex market," Economics Department Working Paper Series n910799, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
- Michael E Araki & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Antonio C. F. Pinto, 2018. "Carry trades and economic policy uncertainty: measuring the political dimension of the forward rate bias in emerging countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(3), pages 1476-1484.
- Inci, Ahmet Can & Lu, Biao, 2004. "Exchange rates and interest rates: can term structure models explain currency movements?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(8), pages 1595-1624, June.
- Patrick Augustin & Mikhail Chernov & Lukas Schmid & Dongho Song, 2024.
"The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(3), pages 2077-2114, June.
- Patrick Augustin & Mikhail Chernov & Lukas Schmid & Dongho Song, 2020. "The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations," NBER Working Papers 27231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2014.
"A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability,"
Borradores de Economia
857, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2014. "A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability," Borradores de Economia 12339, Banco de la Republica.
- Ojeda-Joya, Jair, 2019. "A consumption-based approach to exchange rate predictability," MPRA Paper 94231, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mikhail Golosov & David Evans & anmol bhandari, 2017. "Risk and Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model," 2017 Meeting Papers 1359, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2013.
"A Long-Run Risks Explanation of Predictability Puzzles in Bond and Currency Markets,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(1), pages 1-33.
- Ivan Shaliastovich & Ravi Bansal, 2012. "A Long-Run Risks Explanation of Predictability Puzzles in Bond and Currency Markets," 2012 Meeting Papers 778, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2012. "A Long-Run Risks Explanation of Predictability Puzzles in Bond and Currency Markets," NBER Working Papers 18357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pericoli, Marcello & Taboga, Marco, 2012.
"Bond risk premia, macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange rate,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 42-65.
- Taboga, Marco & Pericoli, Marcello, 2008. "Bond risk premia, macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange rate," MPRA Paper 9523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Marcello Pericoli & Marco Taboga, 2009. "Bond risk premia, macroeconomic fundamentals and the exchange rate," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 699, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Jotikasthira, Chotibhak & Le, Anh & Lundblad, Christian, 2015. "Why do term structures in different currencies co-move?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 58-83.
- Engel, Charles, 2014.
"Exchange Rates and Interest Parity,"
Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 453-522,
Elsevier.
- Charles Engel, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Interest Parity," NBER Working Papers 19336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Clark, Todd E. & West, Kenneth D., 2006.
"Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the martingale difference hypothesis,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 155-186.
- Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2004. "Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the Martingale difference hypothesis," Research Working Paper RWP 04-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Rabitsch, Katrin, 2016. "An incomplete markets explanation of the UIP puzzle," FinMaP-Working Papers 53, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Zhenzhen Fan & Juan M. Londono & Xiao Xiao, 2019. "US Equity Tail Risk and Currency Risk Premia," International Finance Discussion Papers 1253, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Hassan, Tarek A. & Mertens, Thomas M. & Zhang, Tony, 2016.
"Not so disconnected: Exchange rates and the capital stock,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(S1), pages 43-57.
- Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2016. "Not So Disconnected: Exchange Rates and the Capital Stock," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2015, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tarek Alexander Hassan & Thomas Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2015. "Not so Disconnected: Exchange Rates and the Capital Stock," NBER Working Papers 21445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2015. "Not so disconnected: exchange rates and the capital stock," Working Paper Series 2015-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Hassan, Tarek & Mertens, Thomas M. & Zhang, Tony, 2015. "Not so Disconnected: Exchange Rates and the Capital Stock," CEPR Discussion Papers 10744, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Sager, Michael & Taylor, Mark P., 2014. "Generating currency trading rules from the term structure of forward foreign exchange premia," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 230-250.
- Zhang, Shaojun, 2022.
"Dissecting currency momentum,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 154-173.
- Zhang, Shaojun, 2020. "Dissecting Currency Momentum," Working Paper Series 2020-15, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
- Jung, Kuk Mo & Lee, Seungduck, 2015. "A Liquidity-Based Resolution of the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle," MPRA Paper 64164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Luca Benati, 2006. "Affine term structure models for the foreign exchange risk premium," Bank of England working papers 291, Bank of England.
- Lukas Kremens & Ian Martin, 2019.
"The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(3), pages 810-843, March.
- Kremens, Lukas & Martin, Ian, 2017. "The quanto theory of exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118961, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Kremens, Lukas & Martin, Ian, 2019. "The quanto theory of exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 89839, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Kremens, Lukas & Martin, Ian, 2017. "The quanto theory of exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118945, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Martin, Ian & Kremens, Lukas, 2017. "The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 11970, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005. "Using Out-of-Sample Mean Squared Prediction Errors to Test the Martingale Difference," NBER Technical Working Papers 0305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Driessen, Joost & Melenberg, Bertrand & Nijman, Theo, 2005.
"Testing affine term structure models in case of transaction costs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 201-232, May.
- Driessen, J.J.A.G. & Melenberg, B. & Nijman, T.E., 1999. "Testing Affine Term Structure Models in Case of Transaction Costs," Discussion Paper 1999-84, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Joost Driessen & Bertrand Melenberg & Theo Nijman, 2000. "Testing Affine Term Structure Models in Case of Transaction Costs," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0553, Econometric Society.
- Kano, Takashi & Wada, Kenji, 2017.
"The first arrow hitting the currency target: A long-run risk perspective,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 337-352.
- KANO, Takashi & 加納, 隆 & カノウ, タカシ & WADA, Kenji & 和田, 健司, 2015. "The First Arrow Hitting the Currency Target: A Long-run Risk Perspective," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-13, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2008:i:15:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
- Seungduck Lee & Kuk Mo Jung, 2019. "A Liquidity-Based Resolution of the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle," Working Papers 1902, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).
- Eichenbaum, Martin & Rebelo, Sérgio & Burnside, Craig & Kleshchelski, Isaac, 2006.
"The Returns to Currency Speculation,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Isaac Kleshchelski & Sergio Rebelo, 2006. "The Returns to Currency Speculation," 2006 Meeting Papers 864, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Isaac Kleshchelski & Sergio Rebelo, 2006. "The Returns to Currency Speculation," NBER Working Papers 12489, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lothian, James R. & Koedijk, Kees & Mahieu, Ronald & Campbell, Rachel, 2007. "Irving Fisher, Expectational Errors, and the UIP Puzzle," CEPR Discussion Papers 6294, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fernando Alvarez & Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008.
"If exchange rates are random walks, then almost everything we say about monetary policy is wrong,"
Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Jul, pages 2-9.
- Fernando Alvarez & Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2007. "If Exchange Rates are Random Walks, Then Almost Everything We Say About Monetary Policy is Wrong," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(2), pages 339-345, May.
- Fernando Alvarez & Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2007. "If exchange rates are random walks, then almost everything we say about monetary policy is wrong," Staff Report 388, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Fernando Alvarez & Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2007. "If exchange rates are random walks then almost everything we say about monetary policy is wrong," Working Papers 650, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Dahlquist, Magnus & Pénasse, Julien, 2022. "The missing risk premium in exchange rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 697-715.
- Hodrick, Robert J. & Tomunen, Tuomas, 2021.
"Taking the Cochrane-Piazzesi Term Structure Model Out of Sample: More Data, Additional Currencies, and FX Implications,"
Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 10(1), pages 83-123, April.
- Robert J. Hodrick & Tuomas Tomunen, 2018. "Taking the Cochrane-Piazzesi Term Structure Model Out of Sample: More Data, Additional Currencies, and FX Implications," NBER Working Papers 25092, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Seungduck Lee & Kuk Mo Jung, 2020. "A Liquidity‐Based Resolution of the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(6), pages 1397-1433, September.
- Christophe Chamley, 2006. "Complementarities in information acquisition with short-term trades," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2006-042, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Atanasov, Victoria & Nitschka, Thomas, 2014.
"Currency excess returns and global downside market risk,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 268-285.
- Victoria Galsband & Thomas Nitschka, 2013. "Currency excess returns and global downside market risk," Working Papers 2013-07, Swiss National Bank.
- Devereux, Michael B. & Engel, Charles, 2002.
"Exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate volatility, and exchange rate disconnect,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(5), pages 913-940, July.
- Michael B. Devereux & Charles Engel, 2002. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Exchange Rate Volatility, and Exchange Rate Disconnect," NBER Working Papers 8858, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kumar, Vikram, 2020. "Liquidity shocks: A new solution to the forward premium puzzle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 445-454.
- Londono, Juan M. & Zhou, Hao, 2017.
"Variance risk premiums and the forward premium puzzle,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 415-440.
- Juan M. Londono & Hao Zhou, 2012. "Variance risk premiums and the forward premium puzzle," International Finance Discussion Papers 1068, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Egorov, Alexei V. & Li, Haitao & Ng, David, 2011. "A tale of two yield curves: Modeling the joint term structure of dollar and euro interest rates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(1), pages 55-70, May.
- Moran, Kevin & Nono, Simplice Aimé, 2018. "Gradual learning about shocks and the forward premium puzzle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 79-100.
- Lothian, James R. & Wu, Liuren, 2011.
"Uncovered interest-rate parity over the past two centuries,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 448-473, April.
- James R. Lothian & Liuren Wu, 2003. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Over the Past Two Centuries," International Finance 0311009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Benson Durham, 2014. "Arbitrage-free affine models of the forward price of foreign currency," Staff Reports 665, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Jairo Andrés Rendón, 2020. "Foreign exchange risk in stock returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 430-443, July.
- Charles Engel, 2016.
"Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(2), pages 436-474, February.
- Charles Engel, 2015. "Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium," NBER Working Papers 21042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Aloosh, Arash, 2014. "Global Variance Risk Premium and Forex Return Predictability," MPRA Paper 59931, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2010. "Infrequent Portfolio Decisions: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(3), pages 870-904, June.
- Elias, Nikolaos & Smyrnakis, Dimitris & Tzavalis, Elias, 2022. "Predicting future exchange rate changes based on interest rates and holding-period returns differentials net of the forward risk premium effects," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 694-715.
- Scholl, Almuth & Uhlig, Harald, 2008.
"New evidence on the puzzles: Results from agnostic identification on monetary policy and exchange rates,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 1-13, September.
- Scholl, Almuth & Uhlig, Harald, 2005. "New evidence on the puzzles: Results from agnostic identification on monetary policy and exchange rates," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-037, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Stavrakeva, Vania & Tang, Jenny, 2016. "Exchange rates and the yield curve," Working Papers 16-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- D.D. Evans, Martin, 2017.
"External balances, trade and financial conditions,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 165-184.
- Evans, Martin, 2015. "External Balances, Trade and Financial Conditions," MPRA Paper 66201, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martin D D Evans, 2015. "External Balances, Trade and Financial Conditions," Working Papers gueconwpa~15-15-08, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
- Hyoung-Seok Lim & Masao Ogaki, 2013.
"A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 74-87, February.
- Masao Ogaki, 1999. "A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 99-19, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
- Hyoung-Seok Lim & Masao Ogaki, 2003. "A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," RCER Working Papers 504, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
- Hanno Lustig & Adrien Verdelhan, 2011.
"The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk: Reply,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(7), pages 3477-3500, December.
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