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Costs of climate change: The effects of rising temperatures on health and productivity

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  • Hübler, Michael
  • Klepper, Gernot
  • Peterson, Sonja

Abstract

The aim of the study is to quantify climate induced health risks for Germany. Based on high resolution climate scenarios for the period 2071 to 2100 we forecast the number of days with heat load and cold stress. The heat frequency and intensity increases overall but more in the south. Referring to empirical studies on heat induced health effects we estimate an average increase in the number of heat induced casualties by a factor of more than 3. Heat related hospitalization costs increase 6-fold not including the cost of ambulant treatment. Heat also reduces the work performance resulting in an estimated output loss of between 0.12 % and 0.48 % of GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Hübler, Michael & Klepper, Gernot & Peterson, Sonja, 2007. "Costs of climate change: The effects of rising temperatures on health and productivity," Kiel Working Papers 1321 [rev.], Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1321r
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Weisskopf, M.G. & Anderson, H.A. & Foldy, S. & Hanrahan, L.P. & Blair, K. & Török, T.J. & Rumm, P.D., 2002. "Heat wave morbidity and mortality, Milwaukee, Wis, 1999 vs 1995: An improved response?," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 92(5), pages 830-833.
    2. Allan P. O. Williams, 2006. "Impact of Strategies," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: The Rise of Cass Business School, chapter 13, pages 167-181, Palgrave Macmillan.
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    Cited by:

    1. Medel, Carlos A., 2011. "The Effects of Global Warming on Fisheries," MPRA Paper 28373, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    costs of climate change; health effects; heat waves; mortality; hospitalization costs; labor productivity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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