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How Teachers Respond to Pension System Incentives: New Estimates and Policy Applications

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  • Shawn Ni

    (University of Missouri - Columbia)

  • Michael Podgursky

    (University of Missouri - Columbia)

Abstract

Rising costs of public employee pension plans are a source of ?scal stress in many cities and states and have led to calls for reform. To assess the economic consequences of plan changes it is important to have reliable statistical models of employee retirement behavior. The authors estimate a structural model of teacher retirement using administrative panel data. A Stock-Wise option value model provides a good ?t to the data and predicts well out-of-sample on the e?ects of pension enhancements during the 1990s. The structural model is used to simulate the e?ect of alternatives to the current de?ned bene?t plan.

Suggested Citation

  • Shawn Ni & Michael Podgursky, 2015. "How Teachers Respond to Pension System Incentives: New Estimates and Policy Applications," Working Papers 1510, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    • Handle: RePEc:umc:wpaper:1510
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dongwoo Kim & Cory Koedel & Wei Kong & Shawn Ni & Michael Podgursky & Weiwei Wu, 2021. "Pensions and Late-Career Teacher Retention," Education Finance and Policy, MIT Press, vol. 16(1), pages 42-65, Winter.
    2. Vera, Celia Patricia, 2018. "A structural approach to assessing retention policies in public schools," MPRA Paper 90657, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Justin Falk & Nadia Karamcheva, 2018. "Comparing the Effects of Current Pay and Defined Benefit Pensions on Employee Retention: Working Paper 2018-06," Working Papers 54056, Congressional Budget Office.
    4. Morrill, Melinda Sandler & Westall, John, 2019. "Social security and retirement timing: evidence from a national sample of teachers," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 549-564, October.
    5. Ni, Shawn & Podgursky, Michael & Wang, Xiqian, 2022. "Teacher pension enhancements and staffing in an urban school district," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 613-633, October.
    6. Fuchsman, Dillon & McGee, Josh & Zamarro, Gema, 2022. "Teachers’ Knowledge and Preparedness for Retirement: Results from a Nationally Representative Teacher Survey," Working Papers 21-5, Sinquefield Center for Applied Economic Research, Saint Louis University.
    7. Quinby, Laura D. & Wettstein, Gal, 2021. "Do deferred benefit cuts for current employees increase separation?," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    8. Shawn Ni & Michael Podgursky & Xiqian Wang, 2022. "Teacher Pension Plan Incentives, Retirement Decisions, and Workforce Quality," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 57(1), pages 272-303.
    9. Vera Celia P., 2019. "A Structural Approach to Assessing Retention Policies in Public Schools," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 1-26, July.
    10. Laura D. Quinby, 2020. "Do Deferred Retirement Benefits Retain Government Employees?," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 469-509, March.
    11. Dan Goldhaber & Cyrus Grout & Kristian L. Holden & Josh B. McGee, 2024. "Evidence on the Relationship between Pension-Driven Financial Incentives and Late-Career Attrition: Implications for Pension Reform," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 77(2), pages 175-198, March.
    12. Knapp, David & Hosek, James & Mattock, Michael G. & Asch, Beth J., 2023. "Predicting teacher retention behavior: Ex ante prediction and ex post realization of a voluntary retirement incentive offer," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    13. Robert M. Costrell & Josh McGee, 2019. "Cross-Subsidization of Teacher Pension Costs: The Case of California," Education Finance and Policy, MIT Press, vol. 14(2), pages 327-354, Spring.
    14. Fitzpatrick, Maria D., 2019. "Pension reform and return-to-work policies," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 500-514, October.
    15. María del Carmen Valls Martínez & José Manuel Santos-Jaén & Fahim-ul Amin & Pedro Antonio Martín-Cervantes, 2021. "Pensions, Ageing and Social Security Research: Literature Review and Global Trends," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(24), pages 1-25, December.
    16. Kim, Dongwoo, 2020. "Worker retirement responses to pension incentives: Do they respond to pension wealth?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 365-385.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    teacher pensions; school staffing; school finance.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I21 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Analysis of Education
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy

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