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Inflation targeting and interest rates

Author

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  • Lanzafame, Matteo
  • Nogueira, Reginaldo

Abstract

Inflation Targeting (IT) can be expected to play a role in structurally reducing nominal interest rates, by lowering a country’s inflation expectations and risk premium. Relying on a panel of 52 advanced and emerging economies over the 1975-2009 years, we carry out a formal investigation of this hypothesis. Our econometric strategy adopts a flexible and efficient panel estimation framework, controlling for a number of issues usually neglected in the literature, such as parameter heterogeneity and cross-section dependence. Our findings are supportive of the optimistic view on IT, indicating that adoption of this monetary regime leads to lower nominal interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Lanzafame, Matteo & Nogueira, Reginaldo, 2013. "Inflation targeting and interest rates," MPRA Paper 46153, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:46153
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Jambaldorj Bolortuya, 2019. "Inflation Targeting and the Pass-through Effect in Mongolia," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 9(2), pages 57-71, June.
    2. Nogueira Júnior, Reginaldo Pinto, 2010. "Inflation Environment and Lower Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Brazil: Is There a Relationship?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(1), March.
    3. Martín Tobal & Renato Yslas, 2018. "Two Models of FX Market Interventions: The Cases of Brazil and Mexico," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Alberto Ortiz-Bolaños (ed.), Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in Latin America and the Caribbean, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 7, pages 221-257, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    4. Helder Mendonça & Felipe Tostes, 2015. "The Effect of Monetary and Fiscal Credibility on Exchange Rate Pass-Through in an Emerging Economy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 787-816, September.
    5. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Caio Ferrari Ferreira, 2019. "Does monetary policy credibility mitigate the effects of uncertainty about exchange rate on uncertainties about both inflation and interest rate?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 649-678, October.
    6. Torrejón-Flores, Fernando & García-Solanes, José, 2015. "Exchange-rate variations and the rate of inflation in emerging economies," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    7. Felipe Santos Tostes & Helder Ferreira De Mendonça, 2016. "Credibility On Pass-Through In Brazil," Anais do XLII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 42nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 022, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    8. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2019. "Inflation targeting and the pass-through effect: The case of Mongolia," MPRA Paper 92988, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık & Mehmet Karaçuka & Barış Gök, 2016. "A Time-Varying Parameter VAR Investigation of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(5), pages 563-579, December.
    10. Oluwasheyi Oladipo, 2017. "Inflation targeting and exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: evidence from South Africa," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 5(5), pages 1-11, October.
    11. Oluwasheyi Oladipo, 2017. "The Effects of Inflation Targeting on Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices: A Case Study of South Africa," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 7(6), pages 1-4.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation targeting; Interest rates; panel data; multifactor modeling.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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