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Inflation Environment and Lower Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Brazil: Is There a Relationship?

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  • Nogueira Júnior, Reginaldo Pinto

Abstract

Recent studies have suggested that the shift from a high to a low inflation environment induces a decline in the degree of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into prices. In this paper we present empirical evidence on this matter for Brazil, applying a smooth transition regression model and testing lagged inflation as a potential transition variable. The results presented in this paper go in line with the literature, and suggest that the lower ERPT largely documented for Brazil in recent years may also be a corollary of low and stable inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Nogueira Júnior, Reginaldo Pinto, 2010. "Inflation Environment and Lower Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Brazil: Is There a Relationship?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(1), March.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:64:y:2010:i:1:a:1178
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lanzafame, Matteo & Nogueira, Reginaldo, 2013. "Inflation targeting and interest rates," MPRA Paper 46153, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Jeannine Bailliu & Eiji Fujii, 2004. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through and the Inflation Environment in Industrialized Countries: An Empirical Investigation," Staff Working Papers 04-21, Bank of Canada.
    3. Mr. Chorng-Huey Wong & Mr. Eric V. Clifton & Mr. Gene L. Leon, 2001. "Inflation Targeting and the Unemployment-Inflation Trade-off," IMF Working Papers 2001/166, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Choudhri, Ehsan U. & Hakura, Dalia S., 2006. "Exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices: Does the inflationary environment matter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 614-639, June.
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    6. Taylor, John B., 2000. "Low inflation, pass-through, and the pricing power of firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 1389-1408, June.
    7. Dimitris K. Christopoulos & Miguel A. Le√N-Ledesma, 2007. "A Long-Run Non-Linear Approach to the Fisher Effect," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(2-3), pages 543-559, March.
    8. Michele Ca’ Zorzi & Elke Hahn & Marcelo Sánchez, 2007. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets," The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(4), pages 84-102, November.
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    1. Weider Loureto Alves & Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira, 2023. "Phillips curve and the exchange rate pass-through: a time–frequency approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2165-2181, May.
    2. Eduardo Saucedo & Jorge Gonzalez, 2021. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Prices in Mexico: A Study of the Main Border and Non-Border Cities," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(2), pages 1-24, Abril - J.
    3. Eduardo Saucedo & Jorge Gonzalez, 2021. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Prices in Mexico: A Study of the Main Border and Non-Border Cities," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(2), pages 1-24, Abril - J.
    4. Tunç, Cengiz, 2017. "A Survey on Exchange Rate Pass through in Emerging Markets," Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, BETA Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 205-233, July-Sept.
    5. Mário Jorge Mendonça & Adolfo Sachsida, 2012. "Inflação Versus Desemprego: Novas Evidências Para o Brasil," Discussion Papers 1763, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.

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