IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/ynmbe.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Modeling intervention: The Political element in Barbara Bergmann's micro-to-macro simulation projects

Author

Listed:
  • Chassonnery-Zaïgouche, Cléo

    (University of Lausanne)

  • Goutsmedt, Aurélien

    (UC Louvain - F.R.S-FNRS)

Abstract

Over a period of twelve years, Barbara Bergmann developed several models of the labor market using microsimulation, eventually integrated in a "Transactions Model" of the entire US economy, built with Robert Bennett and published in 1986. The paper reconstructs the history of this modelling enterprise in the context of the debates on the microfoundations of macroeconomics and the role of macroeconomic expertise from the 1970s stagflation to the late 1980s. It shows how a political element-her focus on distributional effects of policies-was central to her criticism of macroeconomic modelling and how both her epistemic and political positions were increasingly marginalized in the 1980s.

Suggested Citation

  • Chassonnery-Zaïgouche, Cléo & Goutsmedt, Aurélien, 2023. "Modeling intervention: The Political element in Barbara Bergmann's micro-to-macro simulation projects," SocArXiv ynmbe, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:ynmbe
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/ynmbe
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/650460073b15682f72d95821/
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/ynmbe?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aurélien Goutsmedt, 2017. "Stagflation and the crossroad in macroeconomics: the struggle between structural and New Classical macroeconometrics," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 17043, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    2. Bergmann, Barbara R, 1971. "The Effect on White Incomes of Discrimination in Employment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(2), pages 294-313, March-Apr.
    3. Acosta, Juan & Cherrier, Beatrice, 2021. "The Transformation Of Economic Analysis At The Board Of Governors Of The Federal Reserve System During The 1960s," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(3), pages 323-349, September.
    4. De Vroey,Michel, 2016. "A History of Macroeconomics from Keynes to Lucas and Beyond," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521898430, September.
    5. Magda Fontana, 2006. "Simulation in Economics: Evidence on Diffusion and Communication," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 9(2), pages 1-8.
    6. Paulette Olson, 2007. "On the Contributions of Barbara Bergmann to Economics," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 475-496.
    7. Cléo Chassonnery-Zaïgouche & Lauren Larrouy, 2017. "“From warfare to welfare”: Contextualising Arrow and Schelling's models of racial inequalities (1968–1972)," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(6), pages 1355-1387, November.
    8. Myra Strober, 1998. "Introduction: This One's For You, Barbara," Feminist Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(3), pages 1-1.
    9. Goutsmedt, Aurélien & Pinzón-Fuchs, Erich & Sergi, Francesco & Renault, Matthieu, 2019. "Reacting to the Lucas Critique: The Keynesians' Replies," OSF Preprints qxh46, Center for Open Science.
    10. Aurélien Goutsmedt & Danielle Guizzo & Francesco Sergi, 2019. "An Agenda without a Plan. Robert E. Lucas’s Trajectory through the Public Debate [Un programme sans plan. La trajectoire de Robert E. Lucas à travers le débat public]," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03228955, HAL.
    11. Ronald G. Bodkin & Lawrence R. Klein & Kanta Marwah, 1991. "A History of Macroeconometric Model-Building," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 51.
    12. Vickery, Clair & Bergmann, Barbara R & Swartz, Katherine, 1978. "Unemployment Rate Targets and Anti-inflation Policy as More Women Enter the Workforce," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 68(2), pages 90-94, May.
    13. Roberto Romani, 2018. "On science and reform: the parable of the new economics, 1960s–1970s," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 295-326, March.
    14. Rees, Albert, 1976. "H. Gregg Lewis and the Development of Analytical Labor Economics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(4), pages 3-8, August.
    15. Roger Backhouse & Béatrice Cherrier, 2019. "The Ordinary Business of Macroeconometric Modeling: Working on the Fed-MIT-Penn Model, 1964–74," Post-Print halshs-02725159, HAL.
    16. Rivlin, Alice M, 1974. "How Can Experiments Be More Useful?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 64(2), pages 346-354, May.
    17. Bergmann, Barbara R & Bennett, Robert L, 1977. "Macroeconomic Effects of a Humphrey-Hawkins Type Program," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(1), pages 265-270, February.
    18. Alberto Martini & Ugo Trivellato, 1997. "The Role of Survey Data in Microsimulation Models for Social Policy Analysis," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 11(1), pages 83-112, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Goutsmedt, Aurélien, 2019. "Macroeconomics at the Crossroads: Stagflation and the Struggle between "Keynesian" and New Classical Macroeconometric Programs," OSF Preprints y364t, Center for Open Science.
    2. Acosta, Juan & Cherrier, Beatrice, 2021. "The Transformation Of Economic Analysis At The Board Of Governors Of The Federal Reserve System During The 1960s," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(3), pages 323-349, September.
    3. Acosta, Juan & Rancan, Antonella & Sergi, Francesco, 2022. "Centralised and Decentralised Approaches to Multi-Country Macroeconometric Modelling at the Commission of the European Communities: The Short-Lived EUROLINK Model," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp22081, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
    4. Goutsmedt, Aurélien & Pinzón-Fuchs, Erich & Sergi, Francesco & Renault, Matthieu, 2019. "Reacting to the Lucas Critique: The Keynesians' Replies," OSF Preprints qxh46, Center for Open Science.
    5. Aurélien Goutsmedt & Danielle Guizzo & Francesco Sergi, 2019. "An Agenda without a Plan. Robert E. Lucas’s Trajectory through the Public Debate [Un programme sans plan. La trajectoire de Robert E. Lucas à travers le débat public]," Post-Print hal-03228955, HAL.
    6. Goutsmedt, Aurélien & Sergi, Francesco & Cherrier, Beatrice & Claveau, François & Fontan, Clément & Acosta, Juan, 2023. "To change or not to change The evolution of forecasting models at the Bank of England," SocArXiv m2cet, Center for Open Science.
    7. Acosta, Juan & Rancan, Antonella & Sergi, Francesco, 2023. "Multi-country modelling at the commission of the European communities: Centralised and decentralised approaches," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    8. Plassard, Romain, 2022. "Diagnosing unemployment: the dual project of the ENSAE's band," MPRA Paper 113584, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Aurélien Goutsmedt & Matthieu Renault & Francesco Sergi, 2021. "European Economics and the Early Years of the International Seminar on Macroeconomics," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 131(4), pages 693-722.
    10. Goutsmedt, Aurélien & Truc, Alexandre, 2023. "An independent European macroeconomics? A history of European macroeconomics through the lens of the European Economic Review," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    11. Matthieu Renault, 2018. "Edmond Malinvaud´s Criticisms of the New Classical Economics: Restoring the Nature and the Rationale of the Old Keynesians´ Opposition," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2018_21, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    12. Acosta, Juan & Cherrier, Beatrice, 2018. "The transformation of economic analysis at the Federal Reserve during the 1960s," SocArXiv vdy2z, Center for Open Science.
    13. Rancan, Antonella, 2021. "The “Place Of The Phillips Curve” in Macroeconometric Models: The Case of the First Federal Reserve Board’s Model (1966-1980s)," OSF Preprints t5jrx, Center for Open Science.
    14. Aurélien Goutsmedt & Matthieu Renault, Francesco Sergi, 2019. "European Economics and the Early Years of the “International Seminar on Macroeconomicsâ€," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2019_50, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    15. Robert W. Dimand, 2020. "Macroeconomic dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 564-581, July.
    16. Thomas Delcey & Francesco Sergi, 2019. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Rational Expectations. How Did They Meet and Live (Happily?) Ever After," Working Papers hal-02187362, HAL.
    17. Acosta, Juan & Assistant, JHET, 2021. "Book Review of 'Banks and Finance in Modern Macroeconomics' by Claudio Sardoni and Bruna Ingrao," OSF Preprints kfxhy, Center for Open Science.
    18. Matthieu Renault, 2020. "Theory to the Rescue of Large-scale Models: Edmond Malinvaud's Alternative View on the Search for Microfoundations," GREDEG Working Papers 2020-27, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France, revised Apr 2021.
    19. Thomas Delcey & Francesco Sergi, 2019. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Rational Expectations. How Did They Meet and Live (Happily?) Ever After," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-02187362, HAL.
    20. KAMKOUM, Arnaud Cedric, 2023. "The Federal Reserve’s Response to the Global Financial Crisis and its Effects: An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis of the Impact of its Quantitative Easing Programs," Thesis Commons d7pvg, Center for Open Science.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:ynmbe. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.