IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/osfxxx/pu2yv.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Public and the Assembly: Foreign Public Opinion and Voting in the UNGA

Author

Listed:
  • Plouffe, Michael

    (University College London)

Abstract

Does public opinion of foreign countries matter for foreign policy? Scholars examining this question have largely focused on highly visible foreign-policy issues. I argue that public attitudes toward foreign countries influence foreign policy towards those countries beyond salient issues by shaping the environment within which foreign-policy decisions are made. Government interests in maintaining a coherent foreign-policy agenda and bureaucrats’ career incentives combine to link foreign public opinion to non-salient aspects of foreign policy. I analyze the relationship between mass attitudes toward foreign countries and measures of voting similarity in the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) using a crossnational dataset. I find evidence that public opinion toward a foreign country is associated with UNGA voting with that country. Consequently, when it comes to foreign policy, both salient and non-salient actions appear to be influenced by public opinion.

Suggested Citation

  • Plouffe, Michael, 2024. "The Public and the Assembly: Foreign Public Opinion and Voting in the UNGA," OSF Preprints pu2yv, Center for Open Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:pu2yv
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/pu2yv
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/65e600e285203701f7880d11/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/pu2yv?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew K. Rose, 2016. "Like Me, Buy Me: The Effect of Soft Power on Exports," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 216-232, July.
    2. Thompson, Alexander, 2006. "Coercion Through IOs: The Security Council and the Logic of Information Transmission," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 60(1), pages 1-34, January.
    3. Axel Dreher & Jan-Egbert Sturm & James Raymond Vreeland, 2015. "Politics and IMF Conditionality," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 59(1), pages 120-148, February.
    4. Jacobs, Lawrence R. & Page, Benjamin I., 2005. "Who Influences U.S. Foreign Policy?," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 99(1), pages 107-123, February.
    5. Axel Dreher & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2012. "Do the IMF and the World Bank influence voting in the UN General Assembly?," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 363-397, April.
    6. Andrew K. Rose, 2019. "Soft power and exports," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(5), pages 1573-1590, November.
    7. Binder, Martin & Lockwood Payton, Autumn, 2022. "With Frenemies Like These: Rising Power Voting Behavior in the UN General Assembly," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 381-398, January.
    8. Beck, Nathaniel & Katz, Jonathan N., 1995. "What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(3), pages 634-647, September.
    9. Voeten, Erik, 2000. "Clashes in the Assembly," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 54(2), pages 185-215, April.
    10. Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke, 2020. "International political alignment during the Trump presidency: voting at the UN general assembly," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 481-497, May.
    11. Rose, Andrew, 2018. "Agent Orange: Trump, Soft Power, and Exports," CEPR Discussion Papers 13139, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Yonatan Lupu, 2013. "The Informative Power of Treaty Commitment: Using the Spatial Model to Address Selection Effects," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 57(4), pages 912-925, October.
    13. Lijphart, Arend, 1963. "The Analysis of Bloc Voting in the General Assembly: A Critique and a Proposal," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 57(4), pages 902-917, December.
    14. Carter, David B. & Stone, Randall W., 2015. "Democracy and Multilateralism: The Case of Vote Buying in the UN General Assembly," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 69(1), pages 1-33, January.
    15. Christopher J. Casillas & Peter K. Enns & Patrick C. Wohlfarth, 2011. "How Public Opinion Constrains the U.S. Supreme Court," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(1), pages 74-88, January.
    16. Broz, J. Lawrence & Werfel, Seth H., 2014. "Exchange Rates and Industry Demands for Trade Protection," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 68(2), pages 393-416, April.
    17. Joshua D. Kertzer & Thomas Zeitzoff, 2017. "A Bottom‐Up Theory of Public Opinion about Foreign Policy," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 61(3), pages 543-558, July.
    18. Niklas Potrafke, 2009. "Does government ideology influence political alignment with the U.S.? An empirical analysis of voting in the UN General Assembly," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 245-268, September.
    19. Kiviet, Jan F., 1995. "On bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 53-78, July.
    20. Baker, Andy & Cupery, David, 2023. "Animosity, Amnesia, or Admiration? Mass Opinion Around the World Toward the Former Colonizer," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(4), pages 1132-1149, October.
    21. Michael A. Bailey & Erik Voeten, 2018. "A two-dimensional analysis of seventy years of United Nations voting," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 33-55, July.
    22. David H. Bearce & Thomas R. Cook, 2018. "The first image reversed: IGO signals and mass political attitudes," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 595-619, December.
    23. Erik Gartzke, 2007. "The Capitalist Peace," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(1), pages 166-191, January.
    24. Everaert, Gerdie & Pozzi, Lorenzo, 2007. "Bootstrap-based bias correction for dynamic panels," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1160-1184, April.
    25. Wonjae Hwang & Amanda G. Sanford & Junhan Lee, 2015. "Does Membership on the UN Security Council Influence Voting in the UN General Assembly?," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 256-278, March.
    26. Ignace De Vos & Gerdie Everaert & Ilse Ruyssen, 2015. "Bootstrap-based bias correction and inference for dynamic panels with fixed effects," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 15(4), pages 986-1018, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Henning Vöpel & Harms Bandholz & Gabriel Felbermayr & Christoph Spengel & Jost Heckemeyer & Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke & Henrik Müller & Gabriel J. Felbermayr, 2020. "Die USA vor dem Wahlkampf: Die Spuren Donald Trumps in Wirtschaft und Politik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(01), pages 03-29, January.
    2. Qi Haixia, 2023. "China’s partners or US allies: the dual status of major European states and their voting behaviour in the UNGA," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 225-250, June.
    3. Julia C. Morse & Bridget Coggins, 2024. "Your silence speaks volumes: Weak states and strategic absence in the UN General Assembly," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 515-544, September.
    4. Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke, 2020. "International political alignment during the Trump presidency: voting at the UN general assembly," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 481-497, May.
    5. Lamar Crombach & Frank Bohn, 2024. "Uninformed voters with (im)precise expectations: Explaining political budget cycle puzzles," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 275-311, March.
    6. Ali, Amin Masud & Savoia, Antonio, 2023. "Decentralisation or patronage: What determines government's allocation of development spending in a unitary country? Evidence from Bangladesh," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    7. Axel Dreher & Valentin F. Lang & B. Peter Rosendorff & James Raymond Vreeland, 2018. "Buying Votes and International Organizations: The Dirty Work-Hypothesis," CESifo Working Paper Series 7329, CESifo.
    8. Wellner, Lukas & Dreher, Axel & Fuchs, Andreas & Parks, Bradley & Strange, Austin, 2022. "Can Aid Buy Foreign Public Support? Evidence from Chinese Development Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 17128, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Eichenauer, Vera Z. & Fuchs, Andreas & Brückner, Lutz, 2021. "The effects of trade, aid, and investment on China's image in Latin America," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 483-498.
    10. Assi Okara, 2022. "Building Stronger Economic Institutions in Developing Countries, the Role of FDI," CERDI Working papers hal-03617915, HAL.
    11. Axel Dreher & Matthew Gould & Matthew Rablen & James Vreeland, 2014. "The determinants of election to the United Nations Security Council," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 158(1), pages 51-83, January.
    12. Brian Lai & Vanessa A. Lefler, 2017. "Examining the role of region and elections on representation in the UN Security Council," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 585-611, December.
    13. Jose M Alonso & Rhys Andrews, 2019. "Fiscal decentralisation and local government efficiency: Does relative deprivation matter?," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 37(2), pages 360-381, March.
    14. David Martinez-Miera & Rafael Repullo, 2019. "Monetary Policy, Macroprudential Policy, and Financial Stability," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 11(1), pages 809-832, August.
    15. Arye Hillman & Niklas Potrafke, 2015. "The UN Goldstone Report and retraction: an empirical investigation," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 247-266, June.
    16. Martin Mosler, 2020. "Autocrats in the United Nations General Assembly: A Test of the Decoy Voting Hypothesis," ifo Working Paper Series 340, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    17. José M. Alonso & Rhys Andrews, 2019. "Governance by targets and the performance of cross‐sector partnerships: Do partner diversity and partnership capabilities matter?," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 556-579, April.
    18. Steven Yamarik & Mariya Mileva, 2023. "Cultural institutes: Networks and determinants," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 1119-1143, April.
    19. Jaromír Baxa & Michal Paulus, 2024. "Exchange rate misalignments, growth, and institutions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1705-1799, October.
    20. Raphael Becker & Arye Hillman & Niklas Potrafke & Alexander Schwemmer, 2015. "The preoccupation of the United Nations with Israel: Evidence and theory," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 413-437, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:pu2yv. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://osf.io/preprints/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.