IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ocp/rpaeco/rp_08-22.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Input-Output Analysis of the Ukraine War: A Tool for Assessing the Internal Territorial Impacts of the Conflict

Author

Listed:
  • Eduardo A. Haddad
  • Inácio F. Araújo
  • Ademir Rocha
  • Karina Sass

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine’s economic structure, the damages to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruptions are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of production and income linkages. From a disaggregated analysis of multiregional and multisectoral linkages, this paper offers a systematic, integrated account of the structural linkages that allows modeling spillovers from one Ukrainian region to another. This approach breaks new ground by highlighting the internal economic effects of the conflict in Ukraine. We develop an interregional input-output system for Ukraine, providing the numerical basis for developing analytical frameworks to support knowledge building in the recovery process of distressed territories during the post-war period. We offer this database to the international scientific community to support modeling projects focusing on structural features of the Ukrainian economy. As shown in our illustrative exercises, understanding the structure of intersectoral and interregional linkages is critical to understanding better the propagation of exogenous shocks in the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Eduardo A. Haddad & Inácio F. Araújo & Ademir Rocha & Karina Sass, 2022. "Input-Output Analysis of the Ukraine War: A Tool for Assessing the Internal Territorial Impacts of the Conflict," Research papers & Policy papers on Economic Trends and Policies 2249, Policy Center for the New South.
    • Handle: RePEc:ocp:rpaeco:rp_08-22
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.policycenter.ma/sites/default/files/2022-08/RP_08-22-%20Eduardo%20Haddad_0.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eduardo A. Haddad & Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub & Vinicius A. Vale, 2020. "Water content in trade: a regional analysis for Morocco," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 565-584, October.
    2. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Natalia Cotarelli & Thiago Cavalcante Simonato & Vinicius Almeida Vale & Jaqueline Coelho Visentin, 2020. "The Grand Tour: Keynes and Goodwin go to Greece," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Eduardo A. Haddad & Nadim Farajalla & Marina Camargo & Ricardo L. Lopes & Flavio V. Vieira, 2014. "Climate change in Lebanon: Higher-order regional impacts from agriculture," REGION, European Regional Science Association, vol. 1, pages 9-24.
    4. repec:ocp:ppaper:pb47-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub & Vinicius A. Vale, 2018. "Water Content in Trade: A Regional Analysis for Morocco," Research papers & Policy papers on Economic Trends and Policies 1815, Policy Center for the New South.
    6. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Michael L. Lahr & Dina N. Elshahawany & Moisés Vassallo, 2016. "Regional analysis of domestic integration in Egypt: an interregional CGE approach," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 5(1), pages 1-33, December.
    7. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub & Vinicius A. Vale, 2018. "Water Content in Trade: A Regional Analysis for Morocco," Research papers & Policy papers on Trade Dynamics and Policies 1805, Policy Center for the New South.
    8. Haddad, Eduardo Amaral & Gonçalves Júnior, Carlos Alberto & Nascimento, Thiago Oliveira, 2017. "Matriz Interestadual de Insumo-Produto para o Brasil: Uma Aplicação do Método IIOAS," Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (ABER), vol. 11(4), pages 424-446.
    9. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub & Vinicius A. Vale, 2018. "Water Content in Trade: A Regional Analysis for Morocco," Research papers & Policy papers on Commodities & Energy 1803, Policy Center for the New South.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:ocp:rpaper:rp-0822 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Araujo, Inacio F. & Haddad, Eduardo A. & León, José Antonio, 2023. "Interregional Input-Output Table for Costa Rica: Database Description and Construction Steps Based on the IIOA Method," TD NEREUS 12-2023, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    3. Eduardo A. Haddad & Inácio F. Araújo & Ademir Rocha & Karina Simone Sass, 2023. "Input–output analysis of the Ukraine war: A tool for assessing the internal territorial impacts of the conflict," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 8-55, February.
    4. Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet & Francisco de Borja García-García, 2023. "Rural-Urban Linkages: Regional Financial Business Services’ Integration into Chilean Agri-Food Value Chains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-22, July.
    5. Elhoussaine Wahyana & Eduardo Amaral Haddad, 2024. "From Global to Local: Downscaling TiVA Indicators for Morocco Using an Interregional Input-Output Model," Research papers & Policy papers on Trade Dynamics and Policies 2406, Policy Center for the New South.
    6. Eduardo A. Haddad & Karim El Aynaoui & Abdelaaziz Ait Ali & Mahmoud Arbouch & Inácio F. Araújo, 2020. "The Impact Of Covid-19 In Morocco: Macroeconomic, Sectoral And Regional Effects," Research papers & Policy papers on Economic Trends and Policies 2080, Policy Center for the New South.
    7. Wissal Morchid & Eduardo A. Haddad & Luc Savard, 2024. "Measuring the Cost of the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism on Moroccan Exports," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-19, June.
    8. Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet & Augusto Mussi Alvim & Miguel Atienza & Adelar Fochezatto, 2021. "The subnational supply chain and the COVID‐19 pandemic: Short‐term impacts on the Brazilian regional economy," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(S1), pages 158-186, November.
    9. Eduardo A. Haddad & Renato S. Vieira & Inácio F. Araújo & Silvio M. Ichihara & Fernando S. Perobelli & Karina S. S. Bugarin, 2022. "COVID-19 crisis monitor: assessing the effectiveness of exit strategies in the State of São Paulo, Brazil," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 68(2), pages 501-525, April.
    10. repec:ocp:rpaper:rp-1122 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. El Mehdi Ouafiq & Rachid Saadane & Abdellah Chehri, 2022. "Data Management and Integration of Low Power Consumption Embedded Devices IoT for Transforming Smart Agriculture into Actionable Knowledge," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, February.
    12. repec:ocp:rpaper:rp-0124 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Abdeslam Boudhar & Said Boudhar & Mohamed Oudgou & Aomar Ibourk, 2023. "Assessment of Virtual Water Flows in Morocco’s Foreign Trade of Crop Products," Resources, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-23, April.
    14. repec:ocp:rpaper:rp-1910 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Adelar Fochezatto & Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet & Patricia Batistela & Rodrigo Valdes, 2023. "Income Leakage Regional Effects: Supply and Demand Shocks during the Pandemic in Brazil and Chile," Geographies, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-19, October.
    16. Osman, Rehab & Ferrari, Emanuele & McDonald, Scott, 2019. "Is improving Nile water quality ‘fruitful’?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 20-31.
    17. Eduardo A. Haddad & Natalia Q. Cotarelli, Thiago C. Simonato, Vinicius A. Vale & Jaqueline C. Vicentin, 2018. "Estimation of NUTS2 Interregional Input-Output Systems for Greece, 2010 and 2013," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2018_07, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    18. Eduardo A. Haddad & Jesús P. Mena-Chalco, Otavio J. G. Sidone, 2015. "Scholarly Collaboration in Regional Science in Developing Countries: The Case of the Brazilian REAL Network," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2015_12, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    19. repec:ocp:rpaper:rp-0324 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Amaral Haddad, Eduardo & Fernandes de Araújo, Inácio & Ibarraran, María Eugenia & Boyd, Roy & Elizondo, Alejandra & Liedo-Orozco, Pedro & Menchero-Garcia, Mariana & Belausteguigoitia, Juan Carlos, 2019. "Interregional Input-Output System for Mexico, 2013," TD NEREUS 7-2019, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    21. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Natalia Cotarelli & Thiago Cavalcante Simonato & Vinicius Almeida Vale & Jaqueline Coelho Visentin, 2020. "The Grand Tour: Keynes and Goodwin go to Greece," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    22. Fragaszy, S. & Fraj, M. B. & McKee, M. & Jobbins, G. & Fayad, A. & Fakih, M. & Lawrenson, L. & McDonnell, Rachael, 2022. "MENAdrought synthesis of drought vulnerability in Lebanon: final report. Project report prepared by the International Water Management Institute (IWMI) for the Bureau for the Middle East of the United," IWMI Reports 329161, International Water Management Institute.
    23. Seibert Fernandes Da Silva, Claudio Eurico & Valério, Victor Eduardo de Mello & Wolf, Rayan & Diniz Oliveira, Thais, 2021. "The Brumadinho dam rupture disaster in Minas Gerais (Brazil) and the productivity: regional economic impacts using a computable general equilibrium approach," Conference papers 333286, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    24. Eduardo A. Haddad & Jesús P. Mena-Chalco & Otávio J. G. Sidone, 2017. "Scholarly Collaboration in Regional Science in Developing Countries," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 40(5), pages 500-529, September.
    25. Suela, Attawan Guerino Locatel & Nazareth, Marcos Spínola & da Cunha, Dênis Antônio, 2021. "Environmental Effects of the Implementation of the ABC Plan in Matopiba: An Approach by Input-Output," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 314998, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ocp:rpaeco:rp_08-22. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Policy Center for the New South's Customer service (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ocppcma.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.