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The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Responses on Excess Mortality

Author

Listed:
  • Virat Agrawal
  • Jonathan H. Cantor
  • Neeraj Sood
  • Christopher M. Whaley

Abstract

As a way of slowing COVID-19 transmission, many countries and U.S. states implemented shelter-in-place (SIP) policies. However, the effects of SIP policies on public health are a-priori ambiguous. Using an event study approach and data from 43 countries and all U.S. states, we measure changes in excess deaths following the implementation of COVID-19 shelter-in-place (SIP) policies. We do not find that countries or U.S. states that implemented SIP policies earlier had lower excess deaths. We do not observe differences in excess deaths before and after the implementation of SIP policies, even when accounting for pre-SIP COVID-19 death rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Virat Agrawal & Jonathan H. Cantor & Neeraj Sood & Christopher M. Whaley, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Responses on Excess Mortality," NBER Working Papers 28930, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28930
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    Cited by:

    1. Matthew Owens & Ellen Townsend & Eleanor Hall & Tanisha Bhatia & Rosie Fitzgibbon & Francesca Miller-Lakin, 2022. "Mental Health and Wellbeing in Young People in the UK during Lockdown (COVID-19)," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-15, January.
    2. John Gibson, 2023. "Jabbing the economy back to life?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(21), pages 2999-3005, December.
    3. Chang-Lan Xia & An-Pin Wei & Yu-Ting Huang, 2022. "The COVID-19 Lockdown and Mental Wellbeing of Females in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-19, April.
    4. Harry J. Holzer & R. Glenn Hubbard & Michael R. Strain, 2021. "Did Pandemic Unemployment Benefits Reduce Employment? Evidence from Early State-Level Expirations in June 2021," NBER Working Papers 29575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Harry J. Holzer & Glenn Hubbard & Michael R. Strain, 2024. "Did pandemic unemployment benefits increase unemployment? Evidence from early state‐level expirations," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(1), pages 24-38, January.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy

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