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How the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake Shaped Economic Activity in the American West

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  • Philipp Ager
  • Katherine Eriksson
  • Casper Worm Hansen
  • Lars Lønstrup

Abstract

This paper examines the long-run effects of the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake on the spatial distribution of economic activity in the American West. Using variation in the potential damage intensity of the earthquake, we show that more severely affected cities experienced lower population increases relative to less affected cities until the late 20th century. This long lasting effect is largely a result of individuals’ high geographical mobility at that time. Less affected areas became more attractive migration destinations in the immediate aftermath of the earthquake, which permanently changed the spatial distribution of economic activity in the American West.

Suggested Citation

  • Philipp Ager & Katherine Eriksson & Casper Worm Hansen & Lars Lønstrup, 2019. "How the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake Shaped Economic Activity in the American West," NBER Working Papers 25727, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:25727
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    2. Yan Song & Zhenran Li & Xiao Zhang & Ming Zhang, 2021. "Study on indirect economic impacts and their causes of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 1971-1995, September.
    3. Escamilla-Guerrero, David & López-Alonso, Moramay, 2023. "Migrant Self-Selection and Random Shocks: Evidence from the Panic of 1907," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 83(1), pages 45-85, March.
    4. Edward L. Glaeser, 2021. "Urban Resilience," NBER Working Papers 29261, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Li, Yunmeng, 2024. "Do natural disaster affect rural labor migration? Evidence from the Wenchuan earthquake in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 996-1006.
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    7. Nicolas Berman & Björn Brey & Jérémy Laurent-Lucchetti, 2023. "Panic politics on the US West Coast," Discussion Papers 2023-06, Nottingham Interdisciplinary Centre for Economic and Political Research (NICEP).
    8. Pengyu Chen, 2022. "Analysis of the post-earthquake economic recovery of the most severely affected areas in the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(3), pages 2633-2655, December.
    9. Siodla, James, 2021. "Firms, fires, and firebreaks: The impact of the 1906 San Francisco disaster on business agglomeration," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    10. Edward L Glaeser, 2022. "Urban resilience," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 59(1), pages 3-35, January.
    11. Smith, Cory B. & Kulka, Amrita, 2024. "When is Long-run Agglomeration Possible? Evidence from County Seat Wars," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343859, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • N9 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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