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Does the Investment Model Explain Value and Momentum Simultaneously?

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  • Andrei S. Gonçalves
  • Chen Xue
  • Lu Zhang

Abstract

Two innovations in the structural investment model go a long way in explaining value and momentum jointly. Firm-level investment returns are constructed from firm-level accounting variables, and are then aggregated to the portfolio level to match with portfolio-level stock returns. In addition, current assets form a separate production input besides physical capital. The model fits well the value, momentum, investment, and profitability premiums jointly, and partially explains the positive stock-investment return correlations, the procyclicality and short-term dynamics of the momentum and profitability premiums, and the countercyclicality and long-term dynamics of the value and investment premiums. However, the model fails to explain momentum crashes.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrei S. Gonçalves & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2017. "Does the Investment Model Explain Value and Momentum Simultaneously?," NBER Working Papers 23910, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23910
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Qi Lin, 2020. "Idiosyncratic momentum and the cross‐section of stock returns: Further evidence," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(3), pages 579-627, June.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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