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A Supply Approach to Valuation

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  • Frederico Belo
  • Chen Xue
  • Lu Zhang

Abstract

A new methodology for equity valuation arises from the perspective of managers' supply of capital assets. Under q-theory, managers optimally adjust the supply of assets to changes in their market value. The first-order condition of investment then provides a valuation equation that infers asset prices from managers' costs of supplying the assets. This equation fits well the Tobin's q levels across many testing assets, including portfolios formed on q. With current investment-to-capital as the only input, the supply approach does not require cash flow forecasts or discount rate estimates, both of which are notoriously difficult to obtain in practice. The Author 2013. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Frederico Belo & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2013. "A Supply Approach to Valuation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(12), pages 3029-3067.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:26:y:2013:i:12:p:3029-3067
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hht067
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Yuanbo Qiao & Xiaoyan Shao & Zhuolin Han & Hao Duan, 2023. "The Impact of Investments in Physical Capital, Labor, and Knowledge Capital on Enterprise Market Value: Estimation and Optimization," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-19, September.
    4. Lu Zhang, 2017. "The Investment CAPM," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(4), pages 545-603, September.
    5. Jacoby, Gady & Li, Yingqi & Li, Tianze & Zheng, Steven Xiaofan, 2018. "Internal control weakness, investment and firm valuation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 165-171.
    6. Kewei Hou & Haitao Mo & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2017. "The Economics of Value Investing," NBER Working Papers 23563, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Chen, Jia & Xu, Xin & Yao, Tong, 2023. "Capital mobility and the long-run return–risk trade-offs of industry portfolios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 123-143.
    8. Suzuki, Kazuyuki & Chida, Ryokichi, 2017. "Contribution of R&D capital to differences in Tobin's q among Japanese manufacturing firms: Evidence from an investment-based asset pricing model," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 38-58.
    9. Calvet, Laurent E. & Betermier, Sebastien & Jo, Evan, 2019. "A Supply and Demand Approach to Equity Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 13974, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Cooper, Ilan & Priestley, Richard, 2016. "The expected returns and valuations of private and public firms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 41-57.

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