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Iv-Based Cointegration Testing In Dependent Panels With Time-Varying Variance

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  • Matei Demetrescu
  • Christoph Hanck
  • Adina I. Tarcolea

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="jtsa12071-abs-0001"> The distributions of cointegration tests are affected when the innovation variance varies over time. In panels, one must also pay attention to dependence among units. To obtain a panel cointegration test robust to both heteroskedasticity and dependence, we adapt the nonlinear instruments method proposed for the Dickey–Fuller test by Chang (2002, J Econometrics 110, 261–292) to an error-correction framework. We show that IV-based testing of the no error-correction null in individual equations yields standard normal test statistics when computed with heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors. The result holds under endogenous regressors, irrespective of the number of integrated covariates and for any variance profile. A non-cointegration test combining single-equation tests retains these nice properties. In panels of fixed cross-sectional dimension, such test statistics from individual units are shown to be asymptotically independent even under dependence, leading to panel tests robust to dependence and heteroskedasticity. The tests perform well in finite panels.

Suggested Citation

  • Matei Demetrescu & Christoph Hanck & Adina I. Tarcolea, 2014. "Iv-Based Cointegration Testing In Dependent Panels With Time-Varying Variance," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(5), pages 393-406, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:35:y:2014:i:5:p:393-406
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    Cited by:

    1. Uwe Hassler & Mehdi Hosseinkouchack, 2016. "Panel Cointegration Testing in the Presence of Linear Time Trends," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-16, November.
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    3. Helmut Herwartz & Yabibal M. Walle, 2018. "A powerful wild bootstrap diagnosis of panel unit roots under linear trends and time-varying volatility," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 379-411, March.

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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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