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Finance, Growth And Fragility

Author

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  • Panicos O. Demetriades
  • Peter L. Rousseau
  • Johan Rewilak

Abstract

We utilise a new international database of financial fragility indicators for 124 countries from 1998 to 2012 to investigate the effects of fragility on the finance-growth nexus. Cross-country growth regressions suggest that both financial fragility and private credit have negative effects on GDP growth over this period. The results are robust to controlling for systemic banking crises, confirming that financial fragility has additional negative effects on growth, even if a banking crisis is avoided. We also present results using interactions which suggest that (a) a large volume of impaired loans can amplify the negative effects of private credit on growth and (b) a sufficiently high z-score can eradicate the negative effects of private credit on growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Panicos O. Demetriades & Peter L. Rousseau & Johan Rewilak, 2017. "Finance, Growth And Fragility," Discussion Papers in Economics 17/13, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
    • Handle: RePEc:lec:leecon:17/13
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Maxime Fajeau, 2020. "The Adverse Effect of Finance on Growth," Working Papers hal-02549422, HAL.
    3. Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal, 2020. "The impact of Israeli Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market: A Destabilizer Multiplier," MPRA Paper 99376, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Zahid Mehmood Akhtar & Dr. Faid Gul & Dr. Fauzia Mubarak, 2024. "Economic Growth and Financial Intermediation Nexus in Pakistan: An ARDL Analysis," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(1), pages 542-551.
    5. Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2023. "Credit, banking fragility, and economic performance," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 75(2), pages 553-573.
    6. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2qqgdhhldi83pq6n0hl9nrguki is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Chletsos, Michael & Sintos, Andreas, 2021. "The effect of financial fragility on employment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 104-120.
    8. Yeþim Helhel, 2019. "Kýrýlgan Beþli Ülkelerde Hisse Senedi Piyasasý Geliþimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme Ýliþkisi," Isletme ve Iktisat Calismalari Dergisi, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 19-29.
    9. Stewart, Robert & Chowdhury, Murshed, 2021. "Banking sector distress and economic growth resilience: Asymmetric effects," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    10. Ijirshar, Victor Ushahemba & Andohol, Jerome, 2022. "Investment-growth nexus in West Africa: An assessment of whether fragility matter," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-17.
    11. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2qqgdhhldi83pq6n0hl9nrguki is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Svetlana Andrianova & Panicos O. Demetriades, 2018. "Financial Development and Financial Fragility: Two Sides of the Same Coin?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(1), pages 54-68, March.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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