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Refining opportunity cost estimates of not adopting GM cotton : An application in seven sub-saharan african countries

Author

Listed:
  • Antoine Bouet

    (Larefi)

  • Guillaume Gruère

    (IFPRI)

Abstract

A computable general equilibrium model is applied to evaluate the opportunity costs of not adopting Bt cotton, a genetically-modified (GM) insect resistant cotton, in Benin, Burkina- Faso, Mali, Senegal, Togo, Tanzania, and Uganda when it is adopted in other countries. Our model uniquely employs country-specific partial adoption rates and factor-biased productivity shocks in the cotton and oilseed sectors of all adopting regions. Assuming a 50% adoption rate, the opportunity cost of not adopting Bt cotton in the seven surveyed countries amounts to $41 million per year, which is a significant but lower cost than that suggested by the results of previous studies. Trade liberalization only marginally increases this estimate.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine Bouet & Guillaume Gruère, 2010. "Refining opportunity cost estimates of not adopting GM cotton : An application in seven sub-saharan african countries," Larefi Working Papers 201002, Larefi, Université Bordeaux 4.
    • Handle: RePEc:laf:wpaper:201002
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Biotechnology; international trade; Sub-Saharan Africa; cotton;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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