The benefits of being misinformed
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-03145270
Download full text from publisher
Other versions of this item:
- Marcus Roel & Manuel Staab, 2021. "The benefits of being misinformed," AMSE Working Papers 2108, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
References listed on IDEAS
- Anders Poulsen & Michael Roos, 2010.
"Do people make strategic commitments? Experimental evidence on strategic information avoidance,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 13(2), pages 206-225, June.
- Anders U. Poulsen & Michael W. M. Roos, 2009. "Do people make strategic commitments? Experimental evidence on strategic information avoidance," Working Paper series, University of East Anglia, Centre for Behavioural and Experimental Social Science (CBESS) 09-01, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Anders Poulsen & Michael Roos, 2010. "Do People Make Strategic Commitments? Experimental Evidence on Strategic Information Avoidance," University of East Anglia Applied and Financial Economics Working Paper Series 007, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2005.
"Optimal Expectations,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(4), pages 1092-1118, September.
- Brunnermeier, Markus K. & Parker, Jonathan A., 2002. "Optimal expectations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24954, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Brunnermeier, Markus & Parker, Jonathan A, 2004. "Optimal Expectation," CEPR Discussion Papers 4656, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2004. "Optimal Expectations," NBER Working Papers 10707, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jonathan A. Parker & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2004. "Optimal Expectations," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 426, Econometric Society.
- Jonathan Parker & Markus K Brunnermeier, 2002. "Optimal Expectations," FMG Discussion Papers dp434, Financial Markets Group.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Jonathan A. Parker, 2002. "Optimal Expectations," Working Papers 146, Princeton University, School of Public and International Affairs, Discussion Papers in Economics.
- Gul, Faruk, 2001.
"Unobservable Investment and the Hold-Up Problem,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(2), pages 343-376, March.
- F. Gul, 2000. "Unobservable Investment and the Hold-Up Problem," Princeton Economic Theory Papers 00s10, Economics Department, Princeton University.
- William P. Rogerson, 1992. "Contractual Solutions to the Hold-Up Problem," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 59(4), pages 777-793.
- de la Rosa, Leonidas Enrique, 2011.
"Overconfidence and moral hazard,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 429-451.
- Leonidas Enrique de la Rosa, 2007. "Overconfidence and Moral Hazard," Economics Working Papers 2007-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Jean-Pierre Benoît & Juan Dubra & Don A. Moore, 2015.
"Does The Better-Than-Average Effect Show That People Are Overconfident?: Two Experiments,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 293-329, April.
- Benoît, Jean-Pierre & Dubra, Juan & Moore, Don, 2009. "Does the Better-Than-Average Effect Show That People Are Overconfident?: Two Experiments," MPRA Paper 44956, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Mar 2013.
- Jean-Pierre Benoit & Juan Dubra & Don Moore, 2013. "Does the better –than- average effect show that people are Overconfident?: two experiments," Documentos de Trabajo/Working Papers 1301, Facultad de Ciencias Empresariales y Economia. Universidad de Montevideo..
- Roland Bénabou & Jean Tirole, 2005.
"Self-Confidence and Personal Motivation,"
International Economic Association Series, in: Bina Agarwal & Alessandro Vercelli (ed.), Psychology, Rationality and Economic Behaviour, chapter 2, pages 19-57,
Palgrave Macmillan.
- Roland Bénabou & Jean Tirole, 2002. "Self-Confidence and Personal Motivation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(3), pages 871-915.
- Olivier Compte & Andrew Postlewaite, 2004.
"Confidence-Enhanced Performance,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(5), pages 1536-1557, December.
- Olivier Compte & Andrew Postlewaite, 2001. "Confidence-Enhanced Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-023, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 01 May 2003.
- Olivier Compte & Andrew Postlewaite, 2003. "Confidence-Enhanced Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive 03-009, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Victor Stango & Jonathan Zinman, 2023.
"We Are All Behavioural, More, or Less: A Taxonomy of Consumer Decision-Making,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(3), pages 1470-1498.
- Victor Stango & Jonathan Zinman, 2020. "We are all Behavioral, More or Less: A Taxonomy of Consumer Decision Making," NBER Working Papers 28138, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hirshleifer, Jack, 1971. "The Private and Social Value of Information and the Reward to Inventive Activity," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(4), pages 561-574, September.
- Jakub Steiner & Colin Stewart, 2016.
"Perceiving Prospects Properly,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1601-1631, July.
- Steiner, Jakub & Stewart, Colin, 2014. "Perceiving Prospects Properly," CEPR Discussion Papers 10123, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jakub Steiner & Colin Stewart, 2014. "Perceiving Prospects Properly," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 245, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
- Steiner, Jakub & Stewart, Colin, 2014. "Perceiving Prospects Properly," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-39, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Stephen V. Burks & Jeffrey P. Carpenter & Lorenz Goette & Aldo Rustichini, 2013. "Overconfidence and Social Signalling," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 80(3), pages 949-983.
- Conrads, Julian & Irlenbusch, Bernd, 2013. "Strategic ignorance in ultimatum bargaining," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 104-115.
- Michael Blastland & Alexandra L. J. Freeman & Sander van der Linden & Theresa M. Marteau & David Spiegelhalter, 2020. "Five rules for evidence communication," Nature, Nature, vol. 587(7834), pages 362-364, November.
- David Eil & Justin M. Rao, 2011. "The Good News-Bad News Effect: Asymmetric Processing of Objective Information about Yourself," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 114-138, May.
- Nicholas Epley & Thomas Gilovich, 2016. "The Mechanics of Motivated Reasoning," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(3), pages 133-140, Summer.
- Tirole, Jean, 1986.
"Procurement and Renegotiation,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(2), pages 235-259, April.
- Jean Tirole, 1985. "Procurement and Renegotiation," Working papers 362, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
- Ludwig, Sandra & Wichardt, Philipp C. & Wickhorst, Hanke, 2011.
"Overconfidence can improve an agent's relative and absolute performance in contests,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 193-196, March.
- Ludwig, Sandra & Wichardt, Philipp C. & Wickhorst, Hanke, 2010. "Overconfidence Can Improve an Agent's Relative and Absolute Performance in Contests," Discussion Papers in Economics 11885, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Gary Charness & Aldo Rustichini & Jeroen Ven, 2018.
"Self-confidence and strategic behavior,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 21(1), pages 72-98, March.
- Gary Charness & Aldo Rustichini & Jeroen van de Ven, 2013. "Self-Confidence and Strategic Behavior," CESifo Working Paper Series 4517, CESifo.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Peter Schwardmann & Joël van der Weele, 2016.
"Deception and Self-Deception,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
16-012/I, Tinbergen Institute.
- Schwardmann, Peter & van der Weele, Joel, 2017. "Deception and Self-Deception," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 25, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Bobba, Matteo & Frisancho, Veronica, 2022.
"Self-perceptions about academic achievement: Evidence from Mexico City,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 58-73.
- Matteo Bobba & Veronica Frisancho, 2020. "Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City," Post-Print hal-03597939, HAL.
- Bobba, Matteo & Frisancho, Veronica, 2020. "Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City," TSE Working Papers 20-1070, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Bobba, Matteo & Frisancho, Veronica, 2020. "Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City," IZA Discussion Papers 12945, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Bobba, Matteo & Frisancho, Verónica, 2020. "Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 10117, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Banerjee, Ritwik & Gupta, Nabanita Datta & Villeval, Marie Claire, 2020.
"Feedback spillovers across tasks, self-confidence and competitiveness,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 127-170.
- Ritwik Banerjee & Nabanita Datta Gupta & Marie Claire Villeval, 2020. "Feedback Spillovers Across Tasks, Self-Confidence and Competitiveness," Working Papers halshs-01760347, HAL.
- Ritwik Banerjee & Nabanita Datta Gupta & Marie Claire Villeval, 2020. "Feedback spillovers across tasks, self-confidence and competitiveness," Post-Print halshs-02908182, HAL.
- Ritwik Banerjee & Nabanita Datta Gupta & Marie Claire Villeval, 2018.
"Self Confidence Spillovers and Motivated Beliefs,"
Working Papers
1806, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
- Ritwik Banerjee & Nabanita Datta Gupta & Marie Claire Villeval, 2018. "Self Confidence Spillovers and Motivated Beliefs," Economics Working Papers 2018-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kai Barron & Christina Gravert, 2022.
"Confidence and Career Choices: An Experiment,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 124(1), pages 35-68, January.
- Barron, Kai & Gravert, Christina, 2018. "Confidence and Career Choices: An Experiment," Working Papers in Economics 715, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
- Barron, Kai & Gravert, Christina, 2019. "Confidence and Career Choices: An Experiment," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 169, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Barron, Kai & Gravert, Christina, 2018. "Confidence and career choices: An experiment," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2018-301, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- Barron, Kai & Gravert, Christina, 2019. "Confidence and career choices: An experiment," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2018-301r, WZB Berlin Social Science Center, revised 2019.
- Barron, Kai & Gravert, Christina, 2020. "Confidence and career choices: An experiment," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2018-301r2, WZB Berlin Social Science Center, revised 2020.
- Lia Q. Flores & Miguel A. Fonseca, 2021.
"Do in-group biases lead to overconfidence in performance? Experimental evidence,"
Discussion Papers
2103, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
- Lia Q. Flores & Miguel A. Fonseca, 2022. "Do in-group biases lead to overconfidence in performance? Experimental evidence," CEF.UP Working Papers 2202, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Markus M. Möbius & Muriel Niederle & Paul Niehaus & Tanya S. Rosenblat, 2022.
"Managing Self-Confidence: Theory and Experimental Evidence,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(11), pages 7793-7817, November.
- Markus M. Mobius & Muriel Niederle & Paul Niehaus & Tanya S. Rosenblat, 2011. "Managing Self-Confidence: Theory and Experimental Evidence," NBER Working Papers 17014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Markus M. Mobius & Muriel Niederle & Paul Niehaus & Tanya Rosenblat, 2011. "Managing self-confidence: theory and experimental evidence," Working Papers 11-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Chen, Si & Schildberg-Hörisch, Hannah, 2019. "Looking at the bright side: The motivational value of confidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Kai Barron, 2021.
"Belief updating: does the ‘good-news, bad-news’ asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(1), pages 31-58, March.
- Barron, Kai, 2021. "Belief updating: does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 24(1), pages 31-58.
- Barron, Kai, 2016. "Belief updating: Does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2016-309, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- Barron, Kai, 2019. "Belief updating: Does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2016-309r, WZB Berlin Social Science Center, revised 2019.
- Barron, Kai, 2019. "Belief Updating: Does the \'Good-News, Bad-News\' Asymmetry Extend to Purely Financial Domains?," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 170, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Barron, Kai, 2020. "Belief updating: Does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Economics of Change SP II 2016-309r2, WZB Berlin Social Science Center, revised 2020.
- Barron, Kai, 2018. "Belief updating: Does the 'good-news, bad-news' asymmetry extend to purely financial domains?," MPRA Paper 84742, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Schrand, Catherine M. & Zechman, Sarah L.C., 2012. "Executive overconfidence and the slippery slope to financial misreporting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 311-329.
- Olivier Gossner & Jakub Steiner, 2016.
"Optimal Illusion of Control and Related Perception Biases,"
Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series
276, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
- Olivier Gossner & Jakub Steiner, 2016. "Optimal Illusion of Control and Related Perception Biases," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp571, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Steiner, Jakub & Gossner, Olivier, 2016. "Optimal Illusion of Control and Related Perception Biases," CEPR Discussion Papers 11478, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Olivier Gossner & Jakub Steiner, 2017. "Optimal Illusion of Control and Related Perception Biases," Working Papers 2017-50, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Andrea Amelio & Florian Zimmermann, 2023.
"Motivated Memory in Economics—A Review,"
Games, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Andrea Amelio & Florian Zimmermann, 2022. "Motivated Memory in Economics - a Review," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 213, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Silvia Saccardo & Marta Serra-Garcia, 2020. "Cognitive Flexibility or Moral Commitment? Evidence of Anticipated Belief Distortion," CESifo Working Paper Series 8529, CESifo.
- Gary Charness & Aldo Rustichini & Jeroen Ven, 2018.
"Self-confidence and strategic behavior,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 21(1), pages 72-98, March.
- Gary Charness & Aldo Rustichini & Jeroen van de Ven, 2013. "Self-Confidence and Strategic Behavior," CESifo Working Paper Series 4517, CESifo.
- Cavalan, Quentin & de Gardelle, Vincent & Vergnaud, Jean-Christophe, 2023.
"No evidence of biased updating in beliefs about absolute performance: A replication and generalization of Grossman and Owens (2012),"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 530-548.
- Quentin Cavalan & Vincent de Gardelle & Jean-Christophe Vergnaud, 2023. "No evidence of biased updating in beliefs about absolute performance: A replication and generalization of Grossman and Owens (2012)," Post-Print hal-04197586, HAL.
- Quentin Cavalan & Vincent de Gardelle & Jean-Christophe Vergnaud, 2023. "No evidence of biased updating in beliefs about absolute performance: A replication and generalization of Grossman and Owens (2012)," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04197586, HAL.
- Quentin Cavalan & Vincent de Gardelle & Jean-Christophe Vergnaud, 2023. "No evidence of biased updating in beliefs about absolute performance: A replication and generalization of Grossman and Owens (2012)," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-04197586, HAL.
- Anton Suvorov & Jeroen van de Ven & Marie Claire Villeval, 2024. "Selective Information Sharing and Group Delusion," Working Papers 2405, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
- Friehe, Tim & Pannenberg, Markus, 2019. "Overconfidence over the lifespan: Evidence from Germany," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Hestermann, Nina & Le Yaouanq, Yves, 2018.
"It\'s not my Fault! Self-Confidence and Experimentation,"
Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series
124, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Nina Hestermann & Yves Le Yaouanq, 2019. "It's not my Fault! Self-Confidence and Experimentation," CESifo Working Paper Series 7501, CESifo.
- Flores, Lia Q. & Fonseca, Miguel A., 2024. "Do in-group biases lead to overconfidence in performance? Experimental evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Coutts, Alexander, 2019.
"Testing models of belief bias: An experiment,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 549-565.
- Coutts, Alexander, 2015. "Testing Models of Belief Bias: An Experiment," MPRA Paper 67507, University Library of Munich, Germany.
More about this item
Keywords
ranking of experiments; information acquisition; misperception; confirmation bias; overconfidence; underconfidence;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles
- D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
- D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-MIC-2021-03-22 (Microeconomics)
- NEP-UPT-2021-03-22 (Utility Models and Prospect Theory)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-03145270. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.