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Hydrogen market penetration feasibility assessment: Mobility and natural gas markets in the US, Europe, China and Japan

Author

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  • Olfa Tlili

    (TECH ECO (ex-ITESE) - Institut Technico-Economie - CEA-DES (ex-DEN) - CEA-Direction des Energies (ex-Direction de l'Energie Nucléaire) - CEA - Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives - Université Paris-Saclay)

  • Christine Mansilla

    (TECH ECO (ex-ITESE) - Institut Technico-Economie - CEA-DES (ex-DEN) - CEA-Direction des Energies (ex-Direction de l'Energie Nucléaire) - CEA - Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives - Université Paris-Saclay)

  • David Frimat

    (Air Liquide, Centre de Recherche Claude-Delorme, Paris-Saclay, France.)

  • Yannick Perez

    (LGI - Laboratoire Génie Industriel - EA 2606 - CentraleSupélec)

Abstract

Economy Market penetration Competitiveness Multi-regional Prospective a b s t r a c t Making it possible to bridge between different sectors thanks to its versatility, hydrogen is a promising enabler for a multi-sectorial decarbonisation. The remaining question is how feasible it is to substitute the current carbonized technologies already prevailing in the markets by new low-carbon hydrogen systems that can be more expensive today and by which timeframe hydrogen can reach the required competitiveness. The market entry feasibility in the transport and natural gas sectors is assessed for USA, Europe, Japan, and China, and for different timeframes (up to 2040). According to the results , the most promising market in the four regions is hydrogen for mobility. This market even presents a potential room for taxation in the medium term. In contrast, blending with natural gas struggles to reach competitiveness. Both industrial and political efforts are required in the two markets in order to lower the costs and prepare a suitable market penetration environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Olfa Tlili & Christine Mansilla & David Frimat & Yannick Perez, 2019. "Hydrogen market penetration feasibility assessment: Mobility and natural gas markets in the US, Europe, China and Japan," Post-Print hal-02265824, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02265824
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2019.04.226
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02265824
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Burandt, Thorsten, 2021. "Analyzing the necessity of hydrogen imports for net-zero emission scenarios in Japan," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    4. Roberto F. Aguilera & Julian Inchauspe, 2022. "An overview of hydrogen prospects: Economic, technical and policy considerations," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(1), pages 164-186, January.
    5. Tang, Ou & Rehme, Jakob & Cerin, Pontus & Huisingh, Donald, 2021. "Hydrogen production in the Swedish power sector: Considering operational volatilities and long-term uncertainties," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(PB).
    6. Maulén, Lucas & Castro, Margarita & Lorca, Álvaro & Negrete-Pincetic, Matías, 2023. "Optimization-based expansion planning for power and hydrogen systems with feedback from a unit commitment model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 343(C).
    7. de Vries, Harmen & Levinsky, Howard B., 2020. "Flashback, burning velocities and hydrogen admixture: Domestic appliance approval, gas regulation and appliance development," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    8. Anshuman Chaube & Andrew Chapman & Yosuke Shigetomi & Kathryn Huff & James Stubbins, 2020. "The Role of Hydrogen in Achieving Long Term Japanese Energy System Goals," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-17, September.
    9. Santanu Kumar Dash & Suprava Chakraborty & Michele Roccotelli & Umesh Kumar Sahu, 2022. "Hydrogen Fuel for Future Mobility: Challenges and Future Aspects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-22, July.

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