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Measuring Fairness in the U.S. Mortgage Market

Author

Listed:
  • Hadi Elzayn
  • Simon Freyaldenhoven
  • Ryan Kobler
  • Minchul Shin

Abstract

Black Americans are both substantially more likely to have their mortgage application rejected and substantially more likely to default on their mortgages than White Americans. We take these stark inequalities as a starting point to ask the question: How fair or unfair is the U.S. mortgage market? We show that the answer to this question crucially depends on the definition of fairness. We consider six competing and widely used definitions of fairness and find that they lead to markedly different conclusions. We then combine these six definitions into a series of stylized facts that offer a more comprehensive view of fairness in this market. To facilitate further exploration, an interactive Online Appendix allows the user to examine our fairness measurements further across both time and space.

Suggested Citation

  • Hadi Elzayn & Simon Freyaldenhoven & Ryan Kobler & Minchul Shin, 2025. "Measuring Fairness in the U.S. Mortgage Market," Working Papers 25-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedpwp:99500
    DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2025.04
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    File URL: https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/working-papers/2025/wp25-04.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fairness; discrimination; inequality; measurement; algorithmic decisions; HMDA;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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