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Revealing Cluster Structures Based on Mixed Sampling Frequencies

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Abstract

This paper proposes a new nonparametric mixed data sampling (MIDAS) model and develops a framework to infer clusters in a panel regression with mixed frequency data. The nonparametric MIDAS estimation method is more flexible and substantially simpler to implement than competing approaches. We show that the proposed clustering algorithm successfully recovers true membership in the cross-section, both in theory and in simulations, without requiring prior knowledge of the number of clusters. This methodology is applied to a mixed-frequency Okun's law model for state-level data in the U.S. and uncovers four meaningful clusters based 10 on the dynamic features of state-level labor markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Hie Joo Ahn & Yun Liu & Yeonwoo Rho, 2020. "Revealing Cluster Structures Based on Mixed Sampling Frequencies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-082, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2020-82
    DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2020.082
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liangjun Su & Zhentao Shi & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2016. "Identifying Latent Structures in Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 2215-2264, November.
    2. JÖrg Breitung & Christoph Roling, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation Rates Using Daily Data: A Nonparametric MIDAS Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 588-603, November.
    3. Shujie Ma & Jian Huang, 2017. "A Concave Pairwise Fusion Approach to Subgroup Analysis," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(517), pages 410-423, January.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Clustering; Forecasting; Mixed data sampling regression model; Panel data; Penalized regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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