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Does global warming worsen poverty and inequality? An updated review

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  • Dang, Hai Anh H.
  • Hallegatte, Stephane
  • Trinh, Trong Anh

Abstract

We offer an updated and comprehensive review of recent studies on the impacts of climate change, particularly global warming, on poverty and inequality, paying special attention to data sources as well as empirical methods. While studies consistently find negative impacts of higher temperatures on poverty across different geographical regions, with higher vulnerability especially in poorer Sub-Saharan Africa, there is inconclusive evidence on climate change impacts on inequality. Further analyzing a recently constructed global database at the subnational unit level derived from official national household income and consumption surveys, we find that temperature change has larger impacts in the short term and more impacts on chronic poverty than transient poverty. The results are robust to different model specifications and measures of chronic poverty and are more pronounced for poorer countries. Our findings offer relevant inputs into current efforts to fight climate change.

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  • Dang, Hai Anh H. & Hallegatte, Stephane & Trinh, Trong Anh, 2024. "Does global warming worsen poverty and inequality? An updated review," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123884, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:123884
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; inequality; poverty; subnational data; temperature;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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