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The Market Microstructure Approach to Foreign Exchange: Looking Back and Looking Forward

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Listed:
  • Michael King

    (Ivey Business School, University of Western Ontario)

  • Carol Osler

    (International Business School, Brandeis University)

  • Dagfinn Rime

    (Norges Bank)

Abstract

Looking back, 30 years of research on foreign exchange (FX) market microstructure reveals that order flow, heterogeneity among agents, and private information are crucial determinants of short-run exchange rate dynamics. Microstructure researchers have produced empirically-driven models that fit the data surprisingly well. But currency markets are evolving rapidly in response to new electronic trading technologies. Transparency has risen, trading costs have tumbled, and transaction speed has accelerated as new players have entered the market and existing players have modified their behavior. These changes will have profound effects on exchange rate dynamics. Looking forward, we highlight fundamental yet unanswered questions on the nature of private information, the impact on market liquidity, and the changing process of price discovery. We also outline potential microstructure explanations for long-standing exchange rate puzzles.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael King & Carol Osler & Dagfinn Rime, 2012. "The Market Microstructure Approach to Foreign Exchange: Looking Back and Looking Forward," Working Papers 54, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:brd:wpaper:54
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rates; Market microstructure; Information; Liquidity; Electronic trading;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C42 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Survey Methods
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access

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