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Valid post-selection inference in high-dimensional approximately sparse quantile regression models

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  • Alexandre Belloni
  • Victor Chernozhukov
  • Kengo Kato

Abstract

This work proposes new inference methods for the estimation of a regression coefficient of interest in quantile regression models. We consider high-dimensional models where the number of regressors potentially exceeds the sample size but a subset of them suffice to construct a reasonable approximation of the unknown quantile regression function in the model. The proposed methods are protected against moderate model selection mistakes, which are often inevitable in the approximately sparse model considered here. The methods construct (implicitly or explicitly) an optimal instrument as a residual from a density-weighted projection of the regressor of interest on other regressors. Under regularity conditions, the proposed estimators of the quantile regression coefficient are asymptotically root-n normal, with variance equal to the semi-parametric efficiency bound of the partially linear quantile regression model. In addition, the performance of the technique is illustrated through Monte-carlo experiments and an empirical example, dealing with risk factors in childhood malnutrition. The numerical results confirm the theoretical findings that the proposed methods should outperform the naive post-model selection methods in non-parametric settings. Moreover, the empirical results demonstrate soundness of the proposed methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Kengo Kato, 2014. "Valid post-selection inference in high-dimensional approximately sparse quantile regression models," CeMMAP working papers 53/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:azt:cemmap:53/14
    DOI: 10.1920/wp.cem.2014.5314
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    1. Lee, Sokbae, 2003. "Efficient Semiparametric Estimation Of A Partially Linear Quantile Regression Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 1-31, February.
    2. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Ying Wei, 2013. "Honest confidence regions for a regression parameter in logistic regression with a large number of controls," CeMMAP working papers CWP67/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    3. A. Belloni & D. Chen & V. Chernozhukov & C. Hansen, 2012. "Sparse Models and Methods for Optimal Instruments With an Application to Eminent Domain," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(6), pages 2369-2429, November.
    4. A. Belloni & V. Chernozhukov & L. Wang, 2011. "Square-root lasso: pivotal recovery of sparse signals via conic programming," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 98(4), pages 791-806.
    5. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Ivan Fernandez-Val & Christian Hansen, 2013. "Program evaluation with high-dimensional data," CeMMAP working papers CWP77/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    6. Koenker,Roger, 2005. "Quantile Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521845731.
    7. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Christian Hansen, 2014. "Inference on Treatment Effects after Selection among High-Dimensional Controlsâ€," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 81(2), pages 608-650.
    8. Belloni, Alexandre & Chernozhukov, Victor & Chetverikov, Denis & Fernández-Val, Iván, 2019. "Conditional quantile processes based on series or many regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 4-29.
    9. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Kengo Kato, 2013. "Uniform post selection inference for LAD regression and other z-estimation problems," CeMMAP working papers CWP74/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
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    Cited by:

    1. Park, Seyoung & Lee, Eun Ryung, 2021. "Hypothesis testing of varying coefficients for regional quantiles," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    2. Su, Liangjun & Ura, Takuya & Zhang, Yichong, 2019. "Non-separable models with high-dimensional data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 646-677.
    3. Zequn Jin & Lihua Lin & Zhengyu Zhang, 2022. "Identification and Auto-debiased Machine Learning for Outcome Conditioned Average Structural Derivatives," Papers 2211.07903, arXiv.org.
    4. Algo Carè & Simone Garatti & Marco C. Campi, 2017. "A coverage theory for least squares," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(5), pages 1367-1389, November.
    5. Chen, Le-Yu & Lee, Sokbae, 2023. "Sparse quantile regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2195-2217.
    6. Man, Rebeka & Tan, Kean Ming & Wang, Zian & Zhou, Wen-Xin, 2024. "Retire: Robust expectile regression in high dimensions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(2).
    7. Han, Dongxiao & Huang, Jian & Lin, Yuanyuan & Shen, Guohao, 2022. "Robust post-selection inference of high-dimensional mean regression with heavy-tailed asymmetric or heteroskedastic errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 416-431.
    8. Amel, Azzi & Ali, Laksaci & Elias, Ould Saïd, 2022. "On the robustification of the kernel estimator of the functional modal regression," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    9. Su, Miaomiao & Wang, Qihua, 2022. "A convex programming solution based debiased estimator for quantile with missing response and high-dimensional covariables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).

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