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Sparse quantile regression

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  • Chen, Le-Yu
  • Lee, Sokbae

Abstract

We consider both ℓ0-penalized and ℓ0-constrained quantile regression estimators. For the ℓ0-penalized estimator, we derive an exponential inequality on the tail probability of excess quantile prediction risk and apply it to obtain non-asymptotic upper bounds on the mean-square parameter and regression function estimation errors. We also derive analogous results for the ℓ0-constrained estimator. The resulting rates of convergence are nearly minimax-optimal and the same as those for ℓ1-penalized and non-convex penalized estimators. Further, we characterize expected Hamming loss for the ℓ0-penalized estimator. We implement the proposed procedure via mixed integer linear programming and also a more scalable first-order approximation algorithm. We illustrate the finite-sample performance of our approach in Monte Carlo experiments and its usefulness in a real data application concerning conformal prediction of infant birth weights (with n≈103 and up to p>103). In sum, our ℓ0-based method produces a much sparser estimator than the ℓ1-penalized and non-convex penalized approaches without compromising precision.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Le-Yu & Lee, Sokbae, 2023. "Sparse quantile regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2195-2217.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:235:y:2023:i:2:p:2195-2217
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.02.014
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    Cited by:

    1. HONDA, Toshio & 本田, 敏雄, 2023. "Sparse quantile regression via ℓ0-penalty," Discussion Papers 2023-03, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quantile regression; Sparse estimation; Mixed integer optimization; Finite sample property; Conformal prediction; Hamming distance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis

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