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Generating Synergistic Formulaic Alpha Collections via Reinforcement Learning

Author

Listed:
  • Shuo Yu
  • Hongyan Xue
  • Xiang Ao
  • Feiyang Pan
  • Jia He
  • Dandan Tu
  • Qing He

Abstract

In the field of quantitative trading, it is common practice to transform raw historical stock data into indicative signals for the market trend. Such signals are called alpha factors. Alphas in formula forms are more interpretable and thus favored by practitioners concerned with risk. In practice, a set of formulaic alphas is often used together for better modeling precision, so we need to find synergistic formulaic alpha sets that work well together. However, most traditional alpha generators mine alphas one by one separately, overlooking the fact that the alphas would be combined later. In this paper, we propose a new alpha-mining framework that prioritizes mining a synergistic set of alphas, i.e., it directly uses the performance of the downstream combination model to optimize the alpha generator. Our framework also leverages the strong exploratory capabilities of reinforcement learning~(RL) to better explore the vast search space of formulaic alphas. The contribution to the combination models' performance is assigned to be the return used in the RL process, driving the alpha generator to find better alphas that improve upon the current set. Experimental evaluations on real-world stock market data demonstrate both the effectiveness and the efficiency of our framework for stock trend forecasting. The investment simulation results show that our framework is able to achieve higher returns compared to previous approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuo Yu & Hongyan Xue & Xiang Ao & Feiyang Pan & Jia He & Dandan Tu & Qing He, 2023. "Generating Synergistic Formulaic Alpha Collections via Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2306.12964, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2306.12964
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Wentao Xu & Weiqing Liu & Chang Xu & Jiang Bian & Jian Yin & Tie-Yan Liu, 2021. "REST: Relational Event-driven Stock Trend Forecasting," Papers 2102.07372, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
    3. Xiao Yang & Weiqing Liu & Dong Zhou & Jiang Bian & Tie-Yan Liu, 2020. "Qlib: An AI-oriented Quantitative Investment Platform," Papers 2009.11189, arXiv.org.
    4. Zura Kakushadze, 2016. "101 Formulaic Alphas," Papers 1601.00991, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2016.
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    Cited by:

    1. Saizhuo Wang & Hang Yuan & Leon Zhou & Lionel M. Ni & Heung-Yeung Shum & Jian Guo, 2023. "Alpha-GPT: Human-AI Interactive Alpha Mining for Quantitative Investment," Papers 2308.00016, arXiv.org.
    2. Tao Ren & Ruihan Zhou & Jinyang Jiang & Jiafeng Liang & Qinghao Wang & Yijie Peng, 2024. "RiskMiner: Discovering Formulaic Alphas via Risk Seeking Monte Carlo Tree Search," Papers 2402.07080, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.

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