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From quadratic Hawkes processes to super-Heston rough volatility models with Zumbach effect

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  • Aditi Dandapani
  • Paul Jusselin
  • Mathieu Rosenbaum

Abstract

Using microscopic price models based on Hawkes processes, it has been shown that under some no-arbitrage condition, the high degree of endogeneity of markets together with the phenomenon of metaorders splitting generate rough Heston-type volatility at the macroscopic scale. One additional important feature of financial dynamics, at the heart of several influential works in econophysics, is the so-called feedback or Zumbach effect. This essentially means that past trends in returns convey significant information on future volatility. A natural way to reproduce this property in microstructure modeling is to use quadratic versions of Hawkes processes. We show that after suitable rescaling, the long term limits of these processes are refined versions of rough Heston models where the volatility coefficient is enhanced compared to the square root characterizing Heston-type dynamics. Furthermore the Zumbach effect remains explicit in these limiting rough volatility models.

Suggested Citation

  • Aditi Dandapani & Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2019. "From quadratic Hawkes processes to super-Heston rough volatility models with Zumbach effect," Papers 1907.06151, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1907.06151
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jingtang Ma & Wensheng Yang & Zhenyu Cui, 2021. "Semimartingale and continuous-time Markov chain approximation for rough stochastic local volatility models," Papers 2110.08320, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
    2. Mehdi Tomas & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2019. "From microscopic price dynamics to multidimensional rough volatility models," Papers 1910.13338, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    3. Giulia Di Nunno & Kk{e}stutis Kubilius & Yuliya Mishura & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2023. "From constant to rough: A survey of continuous volatility modeling," Papers 2309.01033, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    4. Enrico Dall’Acqua & Riccardo Longoni & Andrea Pallavicini, 2023. "Rough-Heston Local-Volatility Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 26(06n07), pages 1-18, November.
    5. Bruno Durin & Mathieu Rosenbaum & Gr'egoire Szymanski, 2023. "The two square root laws of market impact and the role of sophisticated market participants," Papers 2311.18283, arXiv.org.
    6. Jinniao Qiu & Antony Ware & Yang Yang, 2024. "Stochastic Path-Dependent Volatility Models for Price-Storage Dynamics in Natural Gas Markets and Discrete-Time Swing Option Pricing," Papers 2406.16400, arXiv.org.
    7. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Non-parametric Estimation of Quadratic Hawkes Processes for Order Book Events," Papers 2005.05730, arXiv.org.
    8. Mathieu Rosenbaum & Jianfei Zhang, 2021. "Deep calibration of the quadratic rough Heston model," Papers 2107.01611, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    9. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Non-parametric Estimation of Quadratic Hawkes Processes for Order Book Events," Working Papers hal-02998555, HAL.
    10. Mathieu Rosenbaum & Jianfei Zhang, 2022. "On the universality of the volatility formation process: when machine learning and rough volatility agree," Papers 2206.14114, arXiv.org.
    11. Mathieu Rosenbaum & Jianfei Zhang, 2022. "Multi-asset market making under the quadratic rough Heston," Papers 2212.10164, arXiv.org.

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