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IFAD Research Series 87: Incorporating the Impact of Climate and Weather Variables in Impact Assessments - An Application to an IFAD Grain Storage Project Implemented in Chad

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  • McCarthy, Nancy
  • Brubaker, Josh
  • Mabiso, Athur
  • Cavatassi, Romina

Abstract

This paper outlines a methodological strategy for incorporating weather and long-term climate conditions into impact assessments, based on an IFAD-supported project that invested in grain storage in Chad. First, the paper explores a range of weather and climate variables from different sources to determine the best indicators of weather conditions and corresponding historical climate conditions. Next, the inclusion of climatic variables to match treatment and control households, and their impact on outcomes, is evaluated. During the crop season surveyed, rainfall and temperature patterns were favourable with few significant weather shocks. However, households in areas with lower rainfall and greater incidence of high temperatures had lower grain yields and dietary diversity.

Suggested Citation

  • McCarthy, Nancy & Brubaker, Josh & Mabiso, Athur & Cavatassi, Romina, 2022. "IFAD Research Series 87: Incorporating the Impact of Climate and Weather Variables in Impact Assessments - An Application to an IFAD Grain Storage Project Implemented in Chad," IFAD Research Series 329498, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:unadrs:329498
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.329498
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aslihan Arslan & Nancy McCarthy & Leslie Lipper & Solomon Asfaw & Andrea Cattaneo & Misael Kokwe, 2015. "Climate Smart Agriculture? Assessing the Adaptation Implications in Zambia," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(3), pages 753-780, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. McCarthy, Nancy & Cavatassi, Romina & Maggio, Giuseppe, 2023. "IFAD RESEARCH SERIES 88: The Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Production in Mozambique," IFAD Research Series 330875, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
    2. McCarthy, Nancy & Cavatassi, Romina & Mabiso, Athur, 2023. "IFAD RESEARCH SERIES 89: Incorporating the Impact of Climate and Weather Variables in Impact Assessments: An Application to an IFAD Climate Change Adaptation Project in Viet Nam," IFAD Research Series 330876, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).

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    Keywords

    Crop Production/Industries; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods;

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