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Impact of Drought on Poverty in Somalia

Author

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  • Pape,Utz Johann
  • Wollburg,Philip Randolph

Abstract

Understanding the magnitude and importance of income shocks, such as drought or conflict, in causing and perpetuating poverty is critical to designing policies aimed at building resilience and contributing toward the goal of ending poverty. This paper uses micro-data from two waves of the Somali High Frequency Survey to assess the impact of the severe drought that Somalia experienced in 2016/17 on poverty, hunger, and consumption. The analysis uses a regression framework to quantify the effects of the drought, relying on spatial variation in drought exposure and the timing of data collection, which took place before and during the drought, for identification. The drought is found to have a sizable effect on poverty, consumption, and hunger in rural areas, where agricultural households and those lacking access to infrastructure and basic services are most severely affected. A renewed drought shock could lead to an increase in poverty of 9 percentage points. The findings underscore the importance of investing in rural resilience, especially among agricultural households.

Suggested Citation

  • Pape,Utz Johann & Wollburg,Philip Randolph, 2019. "Impact of Drought on Poverty in Somalia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8698, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:8698
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ida Brzezinska & Paul Jasper, 2024. "The Negative Effect of Temperature Variability on Household Wealth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 417-452, November.
    2. Thomas Pave Sohnesen, 2020. "Two Sides to Same Drought: Measurement and Impact of Ethiopia’s 2015 Historical Drought," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 83-101, April.
    3. McCarthy, Nancy & Brubaker, Josh & Mabiso, Athur & Cavatassi, Romina, 2022. "IFAD Research Series 87: Incorporating the Impact of Climate and Weather Variables in Impact Assessments - An Application to an IFAD Grain Storage Project Implemented in Chad," IFAD Research Series 329498, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
    4. McCarthy, Nancy & Brubaker, Josh & Mabiso, Athur & Cavatassi, Romina, 2022. "IFAD Research Series 86: Incorporating the Impact of Climate and Weather Variables into Impact Assessments - An Application to an IFAD Production Project in Rwanda," IFAD Research Series 329321, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
    5. Song, Chun & Scognamillo, Antonio & Ignaciuk, Adriana, 2022. "A Matter of Place: Spatial Heterogeneity and the Effect of Market Price on the Drought- Conflict Nexus in Somalia," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322297, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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