IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/uerssr/278148.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Shortrun Effects Of U.S. Macroeconomic Policies On U.S. Grain Exports

Author

Listed:
  • Denbaly, Mark

Abstract

Treating exchange rates as the only exogenous U.S.- macroeconomic variable, many studies are able to unambiguously predict the effects of changes in the value of the dollar on the volume, price, and share of U.S. grain exports and government program expenses. Using the neo-Keynesian paradigm, this study develops a theoretical framework to assess the overall impact of changes in U.S. macroeconomic policy on the same variables via real income, interest and exchange rates, and the general price level. The analysis demonstrates that the shortrun impacts cannot be always unambiguously predicted. The direction of the impacts are shown to be crucially dependent on (1) the initial equilibrium point, (2) the extent of the linkage variable responses, and (3) relative magnitudes of price and real income elasticities of domestic demand, the real interest elasticity of domestic supply, and the price elasticity of export demand curves.

Suggested Citation

  • Denbaly, Mark, 1988. "Shortrun Effects Of U.S. Macroeconomic Policies On U.S. Grain Exports," Staff Reports 278148, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:uerssr:278148
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.278148
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/278148/files/ers-report-382.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.278148?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chambers, Robert G. & Just, Richard E., 1982. "An investigation of the effect of monetary factors on agriculture," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 235-247.
    2. Kelly M. Harrison, 1980. "Performance of International Grain Marketing Systems: Discussion," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 62(5), pages 904-905.
    3. Bordo, Michael David, 1980. "The Effects of Monetary Change on Relative Commodity Prices and the Role of Long-Term Contracts," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(6), pages 1088-1109, December.
    4. Maury E. Bredahl & Leonardo Green, 1983. "Residual Supplier Model of Coarse Grains Trade," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 65(4), pages 785-790.
    5. G. Edward Schuh, 1974. "The Exchange Rate and U. S. Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 56(1), pages 1-13.
    6. Margaret S. Andrews & Gordon C. Rausser, 1986. "Some Political Economy Aspects of Macroeconomic Linkages with Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 68(2), pages 413-417.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Denbaly, Mark, 1987. "Short-Run Impact Of U.S. Macroeconomic Policy On U.S. Agricultural Markets," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 270108, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Dragan Miljkovic & Jungho Baek, 2019. "Monetary impacts and overshooting of energy prices: the case of the U.S. coal prices," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 32(3), pages 317-322, November.
    3. Denbaly, Massoud Said Mark, 1984. "U. S. monetary policy and the exchange rate: effects on the world coarse grain market," ISU General Staff Papers 198401010800008753, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    4. Ardeni, Pier-Giorgio & Rausser, Gordon C., 1990. "Alternative subsidy reduction paths: the role of fiscal and monetary policy linkages," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt5074f3vq, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    5. Tegene, Abebayehu, 1990. "The Impact of Macrovariables on the Farm Sector: Some Further Evidence," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 77-86, July.
    6. Awokuse, Titus O., 2005. "Impact of Macroeconomic Policies on Agricultural Prices," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 34(2), pages 1-12, October.
    7. Hushak, Leroy J., 1985. "The Exchange Rate And Agriculture: Real Issue Or Dead Horse!," 1985 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Ames, Iowa 278660, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2010. "How to Understand High Food Prices," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 398-425, June.
    9. Catherine Laroche-Dupraz & Marilyne Huchet-Bourdon & Anned-Linz Senadin, 2012. "Impact du taux de change sur la sécurité alimentaire des pays en développement," Post-Print hal-02746844, HAL.
    10. Poonyth, Daneswar & van Zyl, Johan, 2000. "The impact of real exchange rate changes on South African agricultural exports: An error correction model approach," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 39(4), pages 1-13, December.
    11. Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan & Ferto, Imre, 2005. "Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in a Transition Economy," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24711, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    12. O.A. Fadeyi & A.A. Ogundeji & B.J. Willemse, 2014. "Establishing the linkages between the South African agricultural trade balance and macroeconomic indicators," Agrekon, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(4), pages 92-105, November.
    13. Saghaian, Sayed & Reed, Michael, 2015. "Spillover Effects Of U.S. Federal Reserve’S Recent Quantitative Easing On Canadian Commodity Prices," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 3(1), pages 1-33, January.
    14. Meilke, Karl D. & Coleman, Jonathan R., 1986. "An Evaluation of the Influence of Exchange Rates on the Canadian Red Meat Sector," Working Papers 244739, University of Guelph, Department of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    15. Bente Castro Campos, 2020. "Are there asymmetric relations between real interest rates and agricultural commodity prices? Testing for threshold effects of US real interest rates and adjusted wheat, corn, and soybean prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 371-394, July.
    16. Colin A. Carter & Neil A. Hamilton, 1989. "Wheat inputs and the law of one price," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(5), pages 489-496.
    17. Wang, Vey & Lai, Chung-Hui & Hu, Shih-Wen & Cheng, Chia-Hui, 2007. "股票政策宣告對農產品價格與股票價格的動態影響 [The impact of stock market policy announcement on commodity prices and share prices]," MPRA Paper 31178, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Saghaian, Sayed H. & Reed, Michael R., 2014. "The Impact Of The Recent Federal Reserve Large-Scale Asset Purchases On The Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Historical Decomposition," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 2(2), pages 1-16, April.
    19. Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan & Ferto, Imre, 2005. "The Influence of Macroeconomic Variables on the Hungarian Agriculture," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19232, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    20. Palaskas, Theodosios & Varangis, Panos, 1989. "Primary commodity prices and macroeconomic variables : a long run relationship," Policy Research Working Paper Series 314, The World Bank.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:uerssr:278148. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ersgvus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.