IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/uersrr/338956.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

How China’s African Swine Fever Outbreaks Affected Global Pork Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Gale, Fred
  • Kee, Jennifer
  • Huang, Joshua

Abstract

After reaching China from Europe in 2018, the African swine fever (ASF) virus spread throughout the country, dramatically reducing China’s pork supplies. This report investigates the impacts on China’s pork market that resulted from the virus and how China’s increased demand for imported pork affected markets for pork-exporting countries. China’s swine herd experienced a 30-month cycle of decline and recovery, as the country lost an estimated 27.9 million metric tons of its pork output. Pork prices in China more than doubled despite a surge of pork exports from the European Union, United States, Canada, Brazil, and other countries. Pork exports to China prompted smaller price increases in exporting countries’ pork markets. As China’s domestic pork supplies recovered about 3 years after the first ASF outbreaks, Chinese pork prices declined to near their pre-ASF level. U.S. pork exports to China declined but remained above their pre-ASF volume. Volatility in China’s pork market is an ongoing source of uncertainty for exporters despite the rebound in China’s production.

Suggested Citation

  • Gale, Fred & Kee, Jennifer & Huang, Joshua, 2023. "How China’s African Swine Fever Outbreaks Affected Global Pork Markets," Economic Research Report 338956, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:uersrr:338956
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.338956
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/338956/files/ERR-326.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.338956?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michael Delgado & Meilin Ma & H. Holly Wang, 2021. "Exploring Spatial Price Relationships: The Case of African Swine Fever in China," NBER Chapters, in: Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ma, Meilin & Delgado, Michael S. & Wang, H. Holly, 2024. "Risk, arbitrage, and spatial price relationships: Insights from China's hog market under the African Swine Fever," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    2. Yan, Zhen & Han, Fei & Wang, Holly & Shen, Yun & Zhou, Jiehong, 2024. "Purchasing habits, age effects and Chinese consumers' willingness to pay for chilled pork: Evidence from a random Nth-price auction experiment," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 68(02), January.
    3. Lin, Wen & Ma, Baojie & Liang, Jiangyuan & Jin, Shaosheng, 2024. "Price response to government disclosure of food safety information in developing markets," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:uersrr:338956. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ersgvus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.