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The Effect of Ethanol Production on the U.S. National Corn Price

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  • Park, Hwanil
  • Fortenbery, T. Randall

Abstract

A system of equations representing corn supply, feed demand, export demand, food, alcohol and industrial (FAI) demand, and corn price is estimated by three-stage least squares. A price dependent reduced form equation is then formed to investigate the effect of ethanol production on the national average corn price. The elasticity of corn price with respect to ethanol production is then obtained. Results suggest that ethanol production has a positive impact on the national corn price and that the demand from FAI has a greater impact on the corn price than other demand categories. Thus, significant growth in ethanol production is important in explaining corn price determination.

Suggested Citation

  • Park, Hwanil & Fortenbery, T. Randall, 2007. "The Effect of Ethanol Production on the U.S. National Corn Price," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37565, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:nccsci:37565
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.37565
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    2. Arnade, Carlos & Hoffman, Linwood, 2016. "Maize Price Relationships in a Changing International Market: Have Brazil and/or Ukraine Crossed a Threshold?," 2017 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 6-8, 2017, Chicago, Illinois 250116, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Bastiaensen, Johan & Marchetti, Peter, 2011. "Crisis in Nicaraguan microfinance: between the Scylla of business for profit and the Charybdis of clientelism," IOB Working Papers 2011.04, Universiteit Antwerpen, Institute of Development Policy (IOB).
    4. José César Cruz Junior & Daniel H D Capitani & Rodrigo L F Silveira, 2018. "The effect of Brazilian corn and soybean crop expansion on price and volatility transmission," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 2273-2283.
    5. Leucci, A. C. & Ghinoi, S. & Sgargi, D. & Wesz, V. J., Jr., 2013. "Variation and links among food and energy international prices. An analysis through VAR models from 2000 to 2012," 2013 Second Congress, June 6-7, 2013, Parma, Italy 149923, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    6. Jung, Jinho & Sesmero, Juan Pablo & Balagtas, Joseph V., 2017. "Market Power in Feedstock Procurement and Economic Effects of Corn Ethanol," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258544, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Peter Maniloff & Sul-Ki Lee, 2015. "The Ethanol Mandate and Corn Price Volatility," Working Papers 2015-01, Colorado School of Mines, Division of Economics and Business.
    8. McPhail, Lihong Lu & Babcock, Bruce A., 2012. "Impact of US biofuel policy on US corn and gasoline price variability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 505-513.
    9. Seth Meyer, 2009. "Commentary," Regional Economic Development, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Apr, pages 74-77.
    10. Harthoorn, Austin & Walters, Cory G. & Brooks, Kathleen R., 2022. "Ethanol plant vs. local elevator: what is the value to Nebraska Corn producers?," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322457, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. John D. Anderson & Keith H. Coble, 2010. "Impact of renewable fuels standard ethanol mandates on the corn market," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 49-63.
    12. Dae-Heum Kwon & Jungho Baek & Won W. Koo, 2012. "A New Look at the Emergence of an Agro-Energy Nexus: A Graphical Causal Approach," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 2(2), pages 42-53, December.
    13. Blanco, Luisa & Isenhouer, Michelle, 2010. "Powering America: The impact of ethanol production in the Corn Belt states," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1228-1234, November.
    14. Katchova, Ani L., 2009. "The Spatial Effect of Ethanol Biorefinery Locations on Local Corn Prices," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49309, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Anton Bekkerman & Thomas Gumbley & Gary W. Brester, 2021. "The Impacts of Biofuel Policies on Spatial and Vertical Price Relationships in the US Fertilizer Industry," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 802-822, June.
    16. Andrian, Leandro Gaston, 2010. "Essays on energy economics: Microeconomic and macroeconomic dimensions," ISU General Staff Papers 201001010800002725, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

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