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Freight Futures: The Potential Impact of Road Freight on Climate Policy

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  • Carrara, Samuel
  • Longden, Thomas

Abstract

This paper describes changes to the modelling of the transport sector in the WITCH (World Induced Technical Change Hybrid) model to incorporate road freight and account for the intensity of freight with respect to GDP. Modelling freight demand based on the intensity of freight with respect to GDP allows for a focus on the importance of road freight with respect to the cost-effective achievement of climate policy targets. These climate policy targets are explored using different GDP pathways between 2005 and 2100, which are sourced from the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) database. Our modelling shows that the decarbonisation of the freight sector tends to occur in the second part of the century and the sector decarbonises by a lower extent than the rest of the economy. Decarbonising road freight on a global scale remains a challenge even when notable progress in biofuels and electric vehicles has been accounted for.

Suggested Citation

  • Carrara, Samuel & Longden, Thomas, 2017. "Freight Futures: The Potential Impact of Road Freight on Climate Policy," MITP: Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways 253731, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:feemmi:253731
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.253731
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/253731/files/NDL2017-008.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pietzcker, Robert C. & Longden, Thomas & Chen, Wenying & Fu, Sha & Kriegler, Elmar & Kyle, Page & Luderer, Gunnar, 2014. "Long-term transport energy demand and climate policy: Alternative visions on transport decarbonization in energy-economy models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 95-108.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Xun & Chase, Nicholas & Peng, Tianduo, 2021. "Economic structural change and freight transport demand in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. Randall Wigle, Istvan Kery, 2021. "Rationalizing Policy Support for Zero Emission Vehicles in Canada," LCERPA Working Papers bm0128, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis.
    3. Yan, Shiyu & de Bruin, Kelly & Dennehy, Emer & Curtis, John, 2021. "Climate policies for freight transport: Energy and emission projections through 2050," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 11-23.
    4. Carrara, Samuel, 2020. "Reactor ageing and phase-out policies: global and regional prospects for nuclear power generation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    5. Mariano Gallo & Mario Marinelli, 2023. "The Use of Hydrogen for Traction in Freight Transport: Estimating the Reduction in Fuel Consumption and Emissions in a Regional Context," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-20, January.
    6. Simone Speizer & Jay Fuhrman & Laura Aldrete Lopez & Mel George & Page Kyle & Seth Monteith & Haewon McJeon, 2024. "Integrated assessment modeling of a zero-emissions global transportation sector," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    7. Flávia Mendes de Almeida Collaço & Ana Carolina Rodrigues Teixeira & Pedro Gerber Machado & Raquel Rocha Borges & Thiago Luis Felipe Brito & Dominique Mouette, 2022. "Road Freight Transport Literature and the Achievements of the Sustainable Development Goals—A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, March.
    8. Yan, Shiyu & De Bruin, Kelly & Dennehy, Emer & Curtis, John, 2020. "A freight transport demand, energy and emission model with technological choices," Papers WP669, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    9. Mariano Gallo & Mario Marinelli, 2022. "The Impact of Fuel Cell Electric Freight Vehicles on Fuel Consumption and CO 2 Emissions: The Case of Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-17, October.
    10. Qiu, Rui & Xu, Jiuping & Ke, Ruimin & Zeng, Ziqiang & Wang, Yinhai, 2020. "Carbon pricing initiatives-based bi-level pollution routing problem," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 286(1), pages 203-217.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy;

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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