IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/cfcp15/344338.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Towards Sustainable Agri-Food Systems: Assessment of Climate Risk and its impact on Rice Productivity for Indian States

Author

Listed:
  • Yadav, Nishi

Abstract

Sustainability is threatened by the changing climate, especially in the agricultural sector. The consequences of this changing climate can have strong repercussions on food security by affecting productivity through hazards like droughts and floods. The study employs a climate risk assessment, considering hazards, exposure, and vulnerability, aligning with SDG 13's goals. The study creates a climate risk index for 26 major states of India which correspond to different agro climatic zones. The study also explores the relationship between climate risk and rice productivity in Indian states using a panel data regression analysis. The results show that states such as Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu are most susceptible to climate risks. Whereas states such as Bihar, Uttarakhand and Jharkhand are least susceptible to climate risk. The regression analysis results show a negative relationship between climate risk and rice yield, indicating that an increase in climate risk can severely affect rice productivity and India’s food security. Since India is the second largest exporter of rice, climate risk can have global consequences. The results indicate immediate region-specific adaptation measures and advocate for sustainable mitigation practices.

Suggested Citation

  • Yadav, Nishi, 2024. "Towards Sustainable Agri-Food Systems: Assessment of Climate Risk and its impact on Rice Productivity for Indian States," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344338, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344338
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.344338
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/344338/files/21917.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.344338?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maximilian Auffhammer & V. Ramanathan & Jeffrey Vincent, 2012. "Climate change, the monsoon, and rice yield in India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(2), pages 411-424, March.
    2. Sarker, Md. Abdur Rashid & Alam, Khorshed & Gow, Jeff, 2012. "Exploring the relationship between climate change and rice yield in Bangladesh: An analysis of time series data," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 11-16.
    3. Shamsuddin Shahid & Houshang Behrawan, 2008. "Drought risk assessment in the western part of Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 46(3), pages 391-413, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zeenatul Islam & Mohammad Alauddin & Md. Abdur Rashid Sarker, 2017. "Farmers’ perception on climate change-driven rice production loss in drought-prone and groundwater-depleted areas of Bangladesh: An ordered probit analysis," Discussion Papers Series 579, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    2. Lechan Yang & Zhihao Qin & Lili Tu, 2015. "Responses of rice yields in different rice-cropping systems to climate variables in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 7(5), pages 951-963, October.
    3. Jeetendra Prakash Aryal & Tek B. Sapkota & Ritika Khurana & Arun Khatri-Chhetri & Dil Bahadur Rahut & M. L. Jat, 2020. "Climate change and agriculture in South Asia: adaptation options in smallholder production systems," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(6), pages 5045-5075, August.
    4. A. K. M. Abdullah Al-Amin & Tahmina Akhter & Abu Hayat Md. Saiful Islam & Hasneen Jahan & M. J. Hossain & Md. Masudul Haque Prodhan & Mohammed Mainuddin & Mac Kirby, 2019. "An intra-household analysis of farmers’ perceptions of and adaptation to climate change impacts: empirical evidence from drought prone zones of Bangladesh," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 156(4), pages 545-565, October.
    5. Rahman, Sanzidur & Anik, Asif Reza, 2020. "Productivity and efficiency impact of climate change and agroecology on Bangladesh agriculture," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    6. Li, Man, 2023. "Adaptation to expected and unexpected weather fluctuations: Evidence from Bangladeshi smallholder farmers," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    7. Md. Saiful Islam & Md. Zakir Hossain & Md. Bahuddin Sikder, 2019. "Drought adaptation measures and their effectiveness at Barind Tract in northwest Bangladesh: a perception study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(3), pages 1253-1276, July.
    8. Nath, Hiranya K. & Mandal, Raju, 2018. "Heterogeneous Climatic Impacts on Agricultural Production: Evidence from Rice Yield in Assam, India," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), vol. 15(1), June.
    9. Alam, Khorshed, 2015. "Farmers’ adaptation to water scarcity in drought-prone environments: A case study of Rajshahi District, Bangladesh," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 196-206.
    10. Saowanit Prabnakorn & Shreedhar Maskey & F. X. Suryadi & Charlotte Fraiture, 2019. "Assessment of drought hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and risk for rice cultivation in the Mun River Basin in Thailand," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(2), pages 891-911, June.
    11. Dasgupta, Susmita & Hossain, Md. Moqbul & Huq, Mainul & Wheeler, David, 2018. "Climate Change, Salinization and High-Yield Rice Production in Coastal Bangladesh," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 66-89, April.
    12. Nicholas Kilimani, 2015. "Vulnerability to Climatic Variability: An Assessment of Drought Prevalence on Water Resources Availability and Implications for the Ugandan Economy," Working Papers 201562, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Ping-Fu Hou & Yao-Tsung Chang & Jung-Mao Lai & Kuo-Lung Chou & Shun-Fa Tai & Kuan-Chieh Tseng & Chi-Nga Chow & Shuen-Lin Jeng & Hao-Jen Huang & Wen-Chi Chang, 2020. "Long-Term Effects of Fertilizers with Regional Climate Variability on Yield Trends of Sweet Corn," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-17, April.
    14. Rabijita Buragohain & Hemanta Saikia & Dhruba Das, 2023. "Winter Rice Trend Analysis and Change Point Detection in Assam’s North Bank Plains Zone (NBPZ): A Non-Parametric Approach," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(39), pages 1-9, December.
    15. Mohammad Saiful Islam & Kazunobu Okubo & Abu Hayat Md. Saiful Islam & Masayuki Sato, 2022. "Investigating the effect of climate change on food loss and food security in Bangladesh," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 1-24, January.
    16. Shaobo Zhong & Zhixiang Fang & Min Zhu & Quanyi Huang, 2017. "A geo-ontology-based approach to decision-making in emergency management of meteorological disasters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(2), pages 531-554, November.
    17. Md Abdullah Salman & Faisal Ahmed, 2020. "Climatology In Barishal, Bangladesh: A Historical Analysis Of Temperature, Rainfall, Wind Speed And Relative Humidity Data," Malaysian Journal of Geosciences (MJG), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 4(1), pages 43-53, September.
    18. Acharjee, Tapos Kumar & Halsema, Gerardo van & Ludwig, Fulco & Hellegers, Petra, 2017. "Declining trends of water requirements of dry season Boro rice in the north-west Bangladesh," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 180(PA), pages 148-159.
    19. Théo Benonnier & Katrin Millock & Vis Taraz, 2022. "Long-term migration trends and rising temperatures: the role of irrigation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 307-330, July.
    20. Mobin-ud Ahmad & Mac Kirby & Mohammad Islam & Md. Hossain & Md. Islam, 2014. "Groundwater Use for Irrigation and its Productivity: Status and Opportunities for Crop Intensification for Food Security in Bangladesh," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(5), pages 1415-1429, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:cfcp15:344338. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://iaae-agecon.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.